Weatherford International plc Ordinary Shares
WFRD
$97.71
+3.37%
Weatherford International plc is a global oilfield services company that provides equipment and services for drilling, evaluation, well construction, completions, and production to oil and gas operators across national, integrated, and independent markets. The company operates across multiple upstream markets, including offshore and onshore, with a strategic focus on international regions like the Middle East, North Africa, and Asia, which account for over 25% of sales. As a mid-tier player in the oilfield services industry, Weatherford has carved out a niche by leveraging its technology and manufacturing capabilities to compete with larger peers. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to sustain profitability and growth amid volatile energy prices, with recent quarterly results showing a slight revenue decline but strong earnings, and the stock has rebounded sharply over the past month, reflecting optimism about its operational efficiency and international expansion.…
WFRD
Weatherford International plc Ordinary Shares
$97.71
Investment Opinion: Should I buy WFRD Today?
Based on the analysis, WFRD is rated a Buy. The thesis is that the stock is undervalued relative to its earnings power, with a trailing PE of 13.13x and a forward PE of 13.29x, while the consensus target price of $116.92 implies 24.7% upside. The company's ROE of 25.4% and operating margin of 15.37% demonstrate strong profitability, and its free cash flow of $466 million supports debt reduction and shareholder returns. The stock's 1-year performance of +46.48% outperforms the S&P 500, indicating positive momentum.
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WFRD 12-Month Price Forecast
The AI assessment leans bullish due to the stock's low valuation and strong profitability metrics, but confidence is medium given the recent revenue decline and macro sensitivity. If revenue growth resumes and oil prices stabilize, the stock could reach the average target. However, a sustained downturn in energy prices would invalidate the bullish stance. Key factors to monitor are quarterly revenue trends and oil price movements.
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Weatherford International plc Ordinary Shares's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $116.92 and implied upside of +19.7% versus the current price.
Average Target
$116.92
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+19.7%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$93 - $151
Analyst target range
The target price range spans from a low of $93.00 to a high of $151.00, reflecting a wide dispersion of expectations. The low target is essentially at the current price, suggesting that some analysts see limited upside, possibly due to concerns about revenue growth or oil price volatility. The high target of $151.00 implies a 61% upside, which would require significant multiple expansion or earnings growth, likely driven by international expansion and operational efficiency. Recent ratings actions have been stable, with no downgrades, and firms like Raymond James, Citigroup, and Barclays have maintained or reiterated their positive stances, indicating a consistent bullish sentiment. The wide target spread highlights the uncertainty in the oilfield services sector, but the overall consensus remains positive.
Bulls vs Bears: WFRD Investment Factors
Weatherford presents a mixed picture: strong profitability, attractive valuation, and positive analyst sentiment are countered by recent revenue declines and high leverage. The bull case is supported by a low PE and high ROE, while the bear case is driven by revenue deceleration and macro sensitivity. Currently, the bull case has slightly stronger evidence given the stock's low valuation and analyst upside, but the key tension is whether revenue growth can resume. If international expansion and operational efficiency offset the cyclical downturn, the stock could re-rate higher; otherwise, the current valuation may be justified.
Bullish
- Strong profitability with high ROE: Weatherford's return on equity (ROE) is 25.4%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. This is supported by a net margin of 8.76% and an operating margin of 15.37%, demonstrating robust profitability despite revenue headwinds.
- Attractive valuation with low PE: The trailing PE is 13.13x and forward PE is 13.29x, which is modest for an energy services company. This valuation is supported by a price-to-sales ratio of 1.15x and EV/EBITDA of 6.56x, suggesting the stock is not overvalued relative to earnings.
- Analyst consensus is Buy with upside: With a consensus rating of 'Buy' and an average target price of $116.92, the stock implies a 24.7% upside from the current price of $93.79. The high target of $151.00 suggests even greater potential if international expansion succeeds.
- Strong 1-year price performance: The stock has gained 46.48% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 18.56% return. This reflects investor confidence in the company's strategic direction and operational improvements.
Bearish
- Revenue decline in recent quarters: Revenue fell 3.44% year-over-year in Q1 2026 to $1.152 billion, and has declined sequentially from $1.289 billion in Q4 2025. This indicates a softening demand environment, which could pressure future earnings.
- High debt-to-equity ratio: The debt-to-equity ratio is 1.03, indicating significant leverage. While manageable, this increases financial risk, especially if energy prices decline and cash flows weaken.
- Negative relative strength over 3 and 6 months: The stock has underperformed the S&P 500 by 11.2% over the past 3 months and 23.2% over the past 6 months, suggesting recent momentum is negative. This could indicate waning investor enthusiasm.
- Wide analyst target range: The analyst target price ranges from $93.00 to $151.00, with the low target essentially at the current price. This wide dispersion reflects uncertainty about the company's growth prospects and oil price volatility.
WFRD Technical Analysis
Weatherford's stock is in a clear long-term uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +46.48%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +18.56% over the same period. The current price of $93.79 sits at 83% of its 52-week range (between $60.235 low and $113.15 high), indicating the stock is trading closer to its highs, which suggests strong momentum but also potential overextension. The stock has recovered from a recent pullback, and its position within the range reflects a market that is optimistic about the company's fundamentals.
Beta
0.89
0.89x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-29.8%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$60-$113
Price range past year
Annual Return
+50.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | WFRD Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +10.6% | +1.0% |
| 3m | -5.8% | +1.1% |
| 6m | +7.6% | +13.8% |
| 1y | +50.8% | +19.5% |
| ytd | +20.8% | +12.2% |
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WFRD Fundamental Analysis
Weatherford's revenue has shown a slight decline, with the most recent quarter (Q1 2026) reporting $1.152 billion, a 3.44% decrease year-over-year, and down from $1.289 billion in Q4 2025. This marks a deceleration from earlier quarters, as Q2 2025 revenue was $1.204 billion and Q3 2025 was $1.232 billion, indicating a flattening trend. The company's product and service segments generated $441 million and $711 million respectively in the latest quarter, with services being the primary driver. The revenue decline suggests a challenging macro environment, but the company's ability to maintain profitability is a positive sign.
Quarterly Revenue
$1.2B
2026-03
Revenue YoY Growth
-3.4%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
29.5%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$466000000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is WFRD Overvalued?
Given that Weatherford has positive net income, the PE ratio is the most appropriate valuation metric. The trailing PE is 13.13x, while the forward PE is 13.29x, indicating that the market expects earnings to remain relatively stable. The gap between trailing and forward PE is minimal, suggesting that the market does not anticipate significant earnings growth or decline in the near term. This is consistent with the company's recent revenue trends, which have been slightly negative, but its profitability has been resilient.
PE
13.1x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 7x~21x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
6.6x
Enterprise Value Multiple
Investment Risk Disclosure
Financial risks include a high debt-to-equity ratio of 1.03, which could strain cash flows if energy prices fall. The company's revenue has declined 3.44% year-over-year, and its net margin of 8.76% is thin, leaving little room for error. However, free cash flow of $466 million provides a cushion, and the current ratio of 2.19 indicates good short-term liquidity. The main financial risk is that continued revenue decline could erode profitability and trigger covenant issues with lenders.
FAQ
The key risks are: 1) Financial risk from high debt-to-equity of 1.03, which could strain cash flows if earnings decline. 2) Market risk from oil price volatility, as a drop in oil prices would reduce drilling activity and revenue. 3) Competitive risk from larger peers like SLB and HAL, which may have more resources. 4) Company-specific risk from revenue concentration in international markets, which are subject to geopolitical and regulatory changes. The most severe risk is a prolonged oil price downturn, which could lead to a 36% downside to the 52-week low.
The 12-month forecast is moderately bullish. The base case (50% probability) targets $95-$117, aligning with the average analyst target of $116.92. The bull case (30% probability) targets $110-$151, driven by strong international growth and stable oil prices. The bear case (20% probability) targets $80-$93, if oil prices collapse. The most likely scenario is the base case, assuming revenue stabilizes and margins hold.
WFRD is undervalued relative to its earnings, with a trailing PE of 13.13x and forward PE of 13.29x, which is below the typical range for energy services companies. The price-to-sales ratio of 1.15x and EV/EBITDA of 6.56x also suggest a discount to peers. The market is pricing in modest growth, as indicated by the minimal gap between trailing and forward PE. If the company can resume revenue growth, the stock has room to re-rate higher.
WFRD appears to be a good buy for investors with a moderate risk tolerance, given its low PE of 13.13x and analyst upside of 24.7% to the average target. The company's strong ROE of 25.4% and free cash flow of $466 million provide a solid foundation. However, the recent revenue decline of 3.44% and high debt-to-equity of 1.03 are risks. For investors who believe oil prices will stabilize or rise, WFRD offers attractive value; otherwise, it may be a value trap.
WFRD is more suitable for long-term investment, given its cyclical nature and current revenue decline. The stock's beta of 0.89 indicates lower volatility than the market, but energy prices can cause significant swings. The company's focus on international expansion and operational efficiency could drive long-term growth. A minimum holding period of 3-5 years is recommended to ride out oil price cycles and benefit from potential re-rating. Short-term traders may find opportunities, but the stock's recent 3-month underperformance suggests caution.