APA Corporation
APA
$34.00
+4.74%
APA Corporation is an independent exploration and production company focused on developing crude oil, natural gas, and natural gas liquids across four key segments: Egypt, the North Sea, Suriname, and the United States. As a mid-cap E&P player with a diversified international portfolio, APA distinguishes itself through its exposure to high-impact exploration plays like Suriname and its strategic position in the Permian Basin. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to navigate volatile commodity prices, with recent news highlighting a strategic acquisition in Alaska to bolster its North Slope position, while the stock has been pressured by a sharp decline in oil prices following the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz in April 2026.…
APA
APA Corporation
$34.00
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APA 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on APA Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $44.20 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$44.20
7 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
7
covering this stock
Price Range
$27 - $44
Analyst target range
APA is covered by 7 analysts, with a consensus leaning bearish based on recent ratings actions. The average EPS estimate for the next fiscal year is $3.21, with a range of $2.86 to $3.60, while revenue estimates average $7.692 billion. The implied upside or downside cannot be calculated without a target price, but the distribution of ratings shows a mix of Hold, Underweight, and Sell, with recent downgrades from Truist Securities (Buy to Hold) and Barclays (Underweight to Equal Weight), signaling cautious sentiment.
APA Technical Analysis
APA's 1-year price change of +66.0% reflects a strong recovery from its 52-week low of $17.86, but the stock has pulled back significantly from its high. As of July 2, 2026, the stock closed at $32.36, which is 70.9% of its 52-week range (from low to high), indicating it is trading well below the peak of $45.66 but still above the midpoint. This positioning suggests the stock is in a corrective phase after a powerful rally, potentially offering a value entry if the downtrend reverses, but also carrying risk of further downside if momentum remains negative.
Beta
0.35
0.35x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-28.2%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$18-$46
Price range past year
Annual Return
+75.2%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | APA Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -7.0% | +1.4% |
| 3m | -12.3% | +10.6% |
| 6m | +34.0% | +8.4% |
| 1y | +75.2% | +20.5% |
| ytd | +34.1% | +9.7% |
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APA Fundamental Analysis
APA's revenue trajectory has been volatile, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.991 billion representing a 26.6% year-over-year decline from Q4 2024's $2.712 billion. The multi-quarter trend shows revenue decelerating from $2.636 billion in Q1 2025 to $1.991 billion in Q4 2025, driven by lower commodity prices and production mix shifts. The company's oil and gas segment generated $6.805 billion in annual revenue, with oil and gas (excluding purchased) contributing $1.668 billion in the most recent quarter, indicating a reliance on upstream operations that are sensitive to price swings.
Quarterly Revenue
$2.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
-0.26%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.39%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.8B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is APA Overvalued?
Since APA has positive net income ($279 million in Q4 2025), the trailing P/E ratio of 6.13x is the primary valuation metric. The forward P/E of 7.60x implies a modest premium, suggesting the market expects earnings to decline slightly, which aligns with the recent revenue downturn. The gap between trailing and forward P/E is narrow, indicating limited growth expectations in the near term.
PE
6.1x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range -24x~20x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
2.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple