EOG

EOG Resources

$139.61

+4.11%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
EOG Resources is an independent oil and gas exploration and production company focused on developing unconventional shale resources, primarily in the Permian Basin and Eagle Ford. As a low-cost producer with a strong balance sheet and a disciplined capital allocation strategy, EOG is recognized as a premier operator in the U.S. upstream sector. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to generate substantial free cash flow amid elevated oil prices, driven by geopolitical supply disruptions and record inventory draws, while also returning capital to shareholders through dividends and buybacks. Recent news highlights EOG as a key beneficiary of the Iran conflict-driven oil price surge above $100 per barrel, reinforcing its position as a high-quality energy play.

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EOG 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $139.61
Average Target $139.61
High Target $160.55
Low Target $118.67

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on EOG Resources's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $181.49 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$181.49

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$112 - $181

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Insufficient analyst coverage available. Only 2 analysts provide estimates, with an average EPS estimate of $14.50 for the current year. The limited coverage suggests EOG is a large-cap stock with adequate institutional interest, but the small sample size reduces the reliability of consensus targets. The estimated revenue range of $25.5 billion to $31.4 billion indicates significant uncertainty about future production and pricing. Without a consensus price target or buy/sell/hold distribution, investors should rely on fundamental analysis and technical levels. The lack of broad analyst coverage may lead to less efficient price discovery, but EOG's size and liquidity mitigate this risk.

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EOG Technical Analysis

EOG's 1-year price change of +10.2% reflects a sustained uptrend, though the stock has pulled back from its 52-week high of $151.87. Currently trading at $134.10, the stock sits at 88% of its 52-week range, indicating it remains in the upper half but has retreated from peak levels. This positioning suggests the stock is consolidating after a strong run, with the potential for further upside if momentum resumes, but also risk of deeper correction if support levels fail. Over the past 3 months, EOG has declined 1.5%, while the 1-month change shows a sharper drop of 4.4%, signaling short-term weakness. This divergence from the 1-year uptrend could indicate a temporary pullback or profit-taking, especially as the stock's relative strength versus the S&P 500 has been negative over the past month (-8.5%) and three months (-12.6%). The recent price action suggests waning momentum, but the longer-term trend remains intact. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $101.59, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $151.87. A breakout above $151.87 would signal renewed strength and a potential continuation of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $101.59 would be a bearish signal. EOG's beta of 0.26 indicates significantly lower volatility than the market, making it a relatively defensive holding within the energy sector, which may appeal to risk-averse investors.

Beta

0.26

0.26x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-19.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$102-$152

Price range past year

Annual Return

+13.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodEOG ReturnS&P 500
1m+2.2%+1.0%
3m+4.5%+7.9%
6m+26.1%+8.5%
1y+13.5%+20.1%
ytd+30.1%+9.9%

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EOG Fundamental Analysis

EOG's revenue trajectory has been relatively stable, with Q4 2025 revenue of $5.638 billion nearly flat year-over-year (-0.2%). However, the multi-quarter trend shows some variability: Q1 2025 revenue was $5.842 billion, followed by $5.355 billion in Q2, $5.732 billion in Q3, and $5.638 billion in Q4. The slight decline from Q1 to Q4 reflects modest production or price fluctuations. Revenue is heavily weighted toward oil and condensate, which contributed $2.991 billion in Q4 2025 (53% of total), while natural gas production added $847 million and gathering/processing contributed $1.149 billion. The flat growth suggests a mature production profile, but the company benefits from high oil prices, which have boosted cash flows. EOG is highly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $701 million and a net margin of 12.4%. Gross margin was strong at 77.8%, though down from 97.7% in Q4 2024 due to a change in cost structure. Operating margin of 44.1% reflects efficient operations, but net margin compressed from 22.1% in Q4 2024 to 12.4% in Q4 2025, partly due to higher other expenses. The company's profitability remains solid, with trailing twelve-month net income of approximately $4.98 billion, supporting a robust return on equity of 16.7%. EOG maintains a fortress balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.28 and a current ratio of 1.92, indicating ample liquidity. Free cash flow for Q4 2025 was $1.069 billion, bringing trailing twelve-month free cash flow to $3.562 billion. The company generated $2.612 billion in operating cash flow in Q4, easily covering capital expenditures of $1.543 billion and dividends of $550 million. With $3.396 billion in cash at the end of Q4 2025, EOG has significant financial flexibility to fund growth, return capital to shareholders, or pursue acquisitions.

Quarterly Revenue

$5.6B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.2%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

77.8%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$3.6B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Other, Net
Natural Gas, Gathering, Transportation, Marketing and Processing
Natural Gas, Production
Oil and Condensate

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Valuation Analysis: Is EOG Overvalued?

Since EOG has positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 11.5x, while the forward P/E is 9.1x, based on estimated EPS of $14.50. The discount in the forward multiple implies the market expects earnings growth, likely driven by sustained high oil prices and operational efficiencies. Compared to the industry average P/E (not provided), EOG's trailing P/E of 11.5x appears reasonable for an energy producer, but without sector data, we note the stock trades at a P/S ratio of 2.5x and EV/EBITDA of 5.5x, both suggesting moderate valuation relative to cash flows. Historically, EOG's trailing P/E has ranged from roughly 6x to 20x over the past five years. The current 11.5x is near the middle of this range, indicating the stock is neither excessively cheap nor expensive by its own standards. The P/B ratio of 1.9x is below the 5-year average of around 2.5x, suggesting the stock may be undervalued relative to book value. Overall, the valuation appears fair, with the forward P/E implying modest growth expectations, while the historical context suggests room for multiple expansion if oil prices remain elevated.

PE

11.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 6x~44x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

5.5x

Enterprise Value Multiple