DVN

Devon Energy

$45.13

+2.17%
Jul 31, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Devon Energy Corporation is a leading independent oil and gas producer with a primary focus on the Permian Basin, complemented by operations in the Anadarko, Eagle Ford, and Bakken basins, and now the Appalachian Basin following its merger with Coterra Energy. The company is a major player in the U.S. shale industry, distinguished by its scale, low-cost structure, and commitment to returning capital to shareholders. The current investor narrative centers on the transformative merger with Coterra, which is expected to generate significant cost synergies and enhance its inventory depth, while the company also benefits from elevated oil prices driven by geopolitical tensions and supply constraints. However, recent quarterly results have shown a decline in revenue and net income, raising questions about the pace of integration and the sustainability of its growth trajectory.

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DVN 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $45.13
Average Target $45.13
High Target $51.90
Low Target $38.36

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Devon Energy's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $59.38 and implied upside of +31.6% versus the current price.

Average Target

$59.38

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+31.6%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$44 - $68

Analyst target range

The target price range is $44.00 to $68.00, with a spread of $24.00, indicating a moderate level of uncertainty among analysts. The high target of $68.00 implies an upside of 50.6% from the current price, suggesting that some analysts expect significant value creation from the Coterra merger and a favorable oil price environment. The low target of $44.00 is slightly below the current price, implying a downside of 2.5%, which suggests that even the most bearish analyst sees limited downside risk. The recent ratings actions have been predominantly positive, with firms like UBS, Truist, and JP Morgan maintaining or reiterating Buy ratings, and Evercore ISI upgrading from In Line to Outperform. This pattern indicates that analysts are becoming more confident in the company's prospects, which could support further upside in the stock price.

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DVN Technical Analysis

Key technical levels are the 52-week low of $31.47 and the 52-week high of $52.71. The stock is currently trading closer to the high, with support at the $40 level, which was tested in early July, and resistance at the $52.71 high. A breakout above the 52-week high would signal a continuation of the uptrend and could attract momentum buyers, while a breakdown below the $40 support could indicate a deeper correction. The stock's beta of 0.43 is significantly lower than the market, indicating that it is less volatile than the S&P 500, which may appeal to risk-averse investors. This low beta suggests that the stock's price movements are less sensitive to market swings, providing some downside protection in turbulent times.

Beta

0.43

0.43x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-22.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$31-$53

Price range past year

Annual Return

+35.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodDVN ReturnS&P 500
1m+12.1%+0.3%
3m-10.7%+4.0%
6m+12.2%+8.3%
1y+35.9%+20.2%
ytd+19.2%+9.6%

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DVN Fundamental Analysis

The balance sheet appears manageable, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.57, which is moderate for the industry. The current ratio of 0.98 indicates that current liabilities slightly exceed current assets, which could pose a liquidity risk, but the company generates strong operating cash flow, with $1.655 billion in Q1 2026. Free cash flow was $626 million in Q1 2026, down from $1.0 billion in Q1 2025, but still positive. The return on equity (ROE) is 17.01%, which is solid, and the return on assets (ROA) is 6.07%. The company's ability to generate free cash flow is crucial for funding its dividend and share buybacks, and while the recent decline is notable, the overall financial health appears stable.

Quarterly Revenue

$3.8B

2026-03

Revenue YoY Growth

-14.5%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

12.1%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.6B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

N G L Product Sales

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Valuation Analysis: Is DVN Overvalued?

Historically, Devon Energy's valuation has been volatile, with the trailing PE ranging from a low of 4.65x in Q2 2022 to a high of 66.21x in Q1 2026. The current PE of 8.70x is near the lower end of this range, indicating that the stock is trading at a historically low multiple. This suggests that the market is currently pessimistic about the company's near-term earnings prospects, possibly due to the recent revenue decline and margin compression. However, it could also present a value opportunity if the company can successfully execute its merger integration and benefit from a recovery in oil prices. The price-to-book ratio of 1.48x is also below the historical average of around 2.5x, further supporting the view that the stock is undervalued.

PE

8.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 5x~13x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

4.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple