AUGO

Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares

$65.46

+8.20%
Jul 2, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Aura Minerals Inc. is a mid-tier gold and copper production company focused on developing and operating precious and base metal projects across the Americas, with key operating segments including the Aranzazu, Minosa, and Apoena mines. The company positions itself as a growth-oriented, diversified miner with a portfolio spanning multiple jurisdictions, distinct from larger majors through its operational agility and project pipeline. The current investor narrative is dominated by a significant post-IPO price surge and fresh institutional capital inflows, signaling strong confidence in its operational execution and the growth potential of its expansion projects like Matupa in Brazil and Era Dorada in Guatemala.

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AUGO 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $65.46
Average Target $65.46
High Target $75.27899999999998
Low Target $55.64099999999999

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Aura Minerals Inc. Common Shares's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $85.10 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$85.10

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$52 - $85

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Analyst coverage for Aura Minerals is limited but constructive, with 7 analysts providing estimates and recent institutional ratings from Goldman Sachs and BofA Securities maintaining 'Buy' recommendations. The consensus revenue estimate for the forward period is $2.51 billion, with a range from $2.31 billion to $2.87 billion, indicating analysts see continued top-line growth, though specific price targets are not provided in the dataset to calculate an implied upside or downside from the current price. The wide revenue estimate range (a $557 million spread between low and high) signals high uncertainty regarding the company's future output, metal prices, and project timelines, which is typical for a mining company; the maintained 'Buy' ratings from major firms suggest underlying confidence in the long-term story despite near-term volatility and the lack of dense coverage points to its mid-tier status, which can lead to less efficient price discovery.

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AUGO Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend from its recent highs, with the price declining 11.08% over the past month and currently trading near $63.54, which is approximately 58% of its 52-week range ($22.24 to $110.32). This positioning, significantly off the highs, suggests the momentum from its earlier surge has reversed, potentially presenting a value opportunity if fundamentals hold, but also risks catching a 'falling knife' amid the sell-off. Recent momentum is decisively negative, with the 1-month price change of -11.08% starkly contrasting the positive 3-month change of 4.04%, indicating a sharp short-term reversal and deceleration from the intermediate-term uptrend; this divergence likely signals a significant pullback or profit-taking phase following the explosive rally earlier in the year. Key technical support is the 52-week low area near $22.24, while immediate overhead resistance is the 52-week high near $110.32; a sustained breakdown below recent lows could accelerate the downtrend, whereas reclaiming the $80-90 zone would be needed to signal trend recovery. The stock's beta of 0.213 indicates it has been significantly less volatile than the broader market (SPY), which is unusual for a mining stock and may reflect its specific trading dynamics or lower liquidity.

Beta

0.21

0.21x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-51.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$22-$110

Price range past year

Annual Return

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodAUGO ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.8%-1.9%
3m-25.4%+13.6%
6m+30.9%+9.0%
1y+20.0%
ytd+30.9%+9.2%

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AUGO Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is robust but volatile on a quarterly basis, with Q4 2025 revenue reaching $321.66 million, representing an impressive 87.5% year-over-year growth; however, this follows a weaker Q3 at $247.83 million, indicating lumpy performance likely tied to metal prices and production schedules. The company's profitability is inconsistent, as evidenced by a net loss of -$19.86 million in Q4 2025 against a gross margin of 62.27%, highlighting significant operating leverage but also substantial non-operating expenses (like a $61.8 million income tax expense) that swung the quarter to a loss, contrasting with profitable quarters like Q3 2025's net income of $5.63 million. Balance sheet health shows a leveraged but cash-generative profile, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.55 and positive trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $92.09 million; the current ratio of 0.97 indicates tight liquidity, but the company's ability to generate operating cash flow ($70.93 million in Q4) provides internal funding for its capital-intensive growth projects.

Quarterly Revenue

$321661000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.87%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.62%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$92088660.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

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Valuation Analysis: Is AUGO Overvalued?

Given the company's negative trailing net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is 4.47x, while the forward-looking metric, EV/Sales, is 4.80x; the close alignment suggests the market is not pricing in a major acceleration in sales growth or margin expansion in the near term. Compared to typical industry averages for mid-tier precious metals miners, a PS ratio around 4.5x is generally in line or at a slight premium, which may be justified by Aura's high growth profile (87.5% YoY revenue growth) and diversified asset base, though the premium is tempered by its inconsistent profitability. Historically, the stock's own PS ratio has fluctuated significantly, from a high of 14.09x at the end of 2023 to a recent low near 4.47x; the current multiple sits at the lower end of this historical band, suggesting the market is pricing in more conservative expectations or reflecting the recent price correction, potentially offering a valuation entry point if operational execution improves.

PE

-52.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -74x~135x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

27.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple