Newmont Mining Corporation
NEM
$95.21
+0.49%
Newmont Corporation is the world's largest gold miner, operating a portfolio of 11 mines and interests in two joint ventures across the Americas, Africa, Australia, and Papua New Guinea. As the industry leader by production scale, Newmont distinguishes itself through a low-cost, diversified asset base and a disciplined capital allocation strategy following the transformative acquisition of Newcrest in November 2023. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to navigate a bear market in gold—down 25% from its peak—while leveraging strong cash flows and a net cash position to return capital to shareholders, as evidenced by a $6 billion buyback announced in April 2026. Debates persist around near-term cost pressures and production declines from divested mines, but the stock's attractive valuation and robust balance sheet have drawn bullish calls from analysts like TD Cowen.…
NEM
Newmont Mining Corporation
$95.21
Related headlines
NEM 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Newmont Mining Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $133.47 and implied upside of +40.2% versus the current price.
Average Target
$133.47
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+40.2%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$67 - $175
Analyst target range
Newmont is covered by 15 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish—recent ratings include multiple Buy and Outperform actions from firms like B of A Securities, RBC Capital, Jefferies, and UBS. The average EPS estimate for the current fiscal year is $8.95, with a low of $8.05 and a high of $10.67, while average revenue is estimated at $24.66 billion. Although specific price targets are not provided, the strong buy consensus and recent upgrades (e.g., TD Cowen on valuation) imply an optimistic outlook. The implied upside from the current price of $95.21 to the average target (not available) cannot be calculated, but the bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant value. The target range, if available, would likely span from conservative estimates factoring in lower gold prices to optimistic scenarios assuming a gold recovery and successful cost management. The wide range in EPS estimates ($8.05 to $10.67) indicates uncertainty around gold prices and production, but the consistent buy ratings from major banks signal conviction in Newmont's long-term value proposition as the premier gold miner.
NEM Technical Analysis
Newmont's 1-year price change of +66.0% reflects a sustained uptrend from its 52-week low of $56.73, but the stock has pulled back sharply from its 52-week high of $134.88, currently trading at $95.21—just 70.6% of the high. This positioning near the lower end of the range suggests the stock is in a corrective phase within a longer-term uptrend, potentially offering a value entry if the pullback is mean-reverting rather than the start of a new downtrend. The 52-week low was set in mid-2025, and the stock has since rallied over 67% from that level, indicating strong underlying momentum before the recent decline.
Beta
0.48
0.48x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-29.7%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$57-$135
Price range past year
Annual Return
+66.0%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | NEM Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -10.0% | +0.6% |
| 3m | -16.0% | +6.3% |
| 6m | -16.6% | +9.1% |
| 1y | +66.0% | +20.9% |
| ytd | -5.9% | +10.7% |
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NEM Fundamental Analysis
Newmont's revenue trajectory is robust, with Q1 2026 revenue of $7.183 billion representing a 47.5% year-over-year surge, driven by higher gold prices and contributions from the Newcrest acquisition. However, sequential revenue declined from Q4 2025's $6.571 billion, and the company expects to sell roughly 5.3 million ounces of gold in 2026, down from prior levels due to divestitures of six higher-cost mines. The revenue growth is heavily reliant on gold prices, which have entered a bear market, posing a risk to future top-line expansion. The company is highly profitable, with Q1 2026 net income of $3.262 billion and a gross margin of 62.4%, up from 41.7% in Q1 2025, reflecting operational leverage and cost control. Operating margin expanded to 60.6% from 38.3% a year ago, while net margin reached 45.4%, well above the industry average for gold miners. The balance sheet is fortress-like, with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.17 and free cash flow of $3.144 billion in Q1 2026, bringing trailing twelve-month FCF to $12.273 billion. The current ratio of 2.29 indicates ample liquidity, and the company ended Q1 with $8.811 billion in cash, supporting its $6 billion buyback and dividend program.
Quarterly Revenue
$7.2B
2026-03
Revenue YoY Growth
+47.5%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
62.4%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$12.3B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is NEM Overvalued?
Given Newmont's positive net income of $3.262 billion in Q1 2026, the trailing P/E ratio of 15.6x is the primary valuation metric. The forward P/E of 8.8x implies a steep discount, reflecting market expectations of lower earnings due to falling gold prices and production declines. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests the market is pricing in a significant earnings contraction, which may already be discounted at current levels. Compared to the industry average P/E of 22x (estimated for gold miners), Newmont's trailing P/E of 15.6x represents a 29% discount, while its forward P/E of 8.8x is a 60% discount. This discount is justified by the company's exposure to gold price volatility and declining production, but it also offers a margin of safety if gold prices stabilize. Historically, Newmont's trailing P/E has ranged from 7x to 65x over the past five years, with the current 15.6x near the lower end of the band, suggesting the stock is cheap relative to its own history. The P/E was as high as 35x in early 2022 and as low as 7x in mid-2025, indicating that current levels are below the historical median, which could signal a value opportunity if earnings do not deteriorate as much as feared.
PE
15.6x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range 7x~65x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
7.3x
Enterprise Value Multiple

