CDE

Coeur Mining

$15.47

-5.21%
Jun 24, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Coeur Mining, Inc. is a metals producer focused on the discovery and mining of precious minerals, primarily gold and silver, with operations across the United States, Canada, and Mexico. The company is a mid-tier producer in the gold mining industry, operating key assets such as the Palmarejo, Rochester, Wharf, and Kensington mines. The current investor narrative centers on its significant operational leverage to volatile precious metal prices, recent efforts to strengthen its balance sheet and return capital to shareholders following a major acquisition, and ongoing debates about its valuation relative to its proven reserves and the inherent cyclicality of the commodities it produces.

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CDE 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $15.47
Average Target $15.47
High Target $17.790499999999998
Low Target $13.1495

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Coeur Mining's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $20.11 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$20.11

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$12 - $20

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Analyst coverage for Coeur Mining is limited, with only 2 analysts providing estimates, indicating this is a smaller-cap stock with less institutional research focus. The consensus leans bullish among the few firms covering it, with recent institutional ratings including actions like 'Outperform' from RBC Capital and a downgrade from 'Buy' to 'Hold' by Canaccord Genuity in February 2026. The average revenue estimate for the forward period is $7.96 billion, with a wide range from $7.11 billion to $9.45 billion, and the average EPS estimate is $1.16, ranging from $1.00 to $1.44.

The wide target range for both revenue and EPS signals high uncertainty among analysts regarding the company's future performance, which is typical for a commodity-linked business. The high-end estimates likely assume sustained high gold and silver prices, operational execution, and successful integration of recent acquisitions. The low-end estimates likely factor in potential declines in metal prices, operational challenges, or cost inflation. The limited coverage can lead to higher stock price volatility and less efficient price discovery, as fewer market participants are conducting deep fundamental analysis.

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CDE Technical Analysis

The stock is in a volatile, range-bound consolidation phase following a powerful uptrend earlier in the year. With a 1-year price change of +94.12%, the stock has significantly outperformed the broader market, but the current price of $17.51 sits at approximately 63% of its 52-week range ($8.46 to $27.77), indicating a substantial retreat from recent highs and suggesting the momentum has stalled. The short-term momentum is mixed and diverging from the longer-term strength; the stock is up 4.47% over the past month but down 0.91% over the past three months, signaling a loss of positive momentum and potential consolidation after the initial surge.

Recent price action shows high volatility, with the stock reaching a peak of $27.15 in late February before declining sharply to a low near $15.41 in early June. The 1-month relative strength of +3.73% versus the S&P 500 indicates recent outperformance, but the 3-month relative strength of -16.05% highlights a significant period of underperformance, confirming the divergence from the longer-term bullish trend. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $8.46, though more immediate support has formed around the recent June low of $15.41, while resistance is firmly established at the 52-week high of $27.77.

The stock's beta of 1.27 indicates it is approximately 27% more volatile than the broader market, which is typical for a gold mining stock given its leverage to commodity prices. A breakout above the $27.77 resistance would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend, while a sustained breakdown below the $15.41 support could indicate a deeper correction. The high volatility, evidenced by a max drawdown of -43.24% over the provided period, necessitates careful risk management for investors.

Beta

1.27

1.27x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-43.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$8-$28

Price range past year

Annual Return

+73.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCDE ReturnS&P 500
1m-12.3%-1.7%
3m-4.3%+13.7%
6m-19.4%+6.2%
1y+73.4%+20.8%
ytd-11.9%+7.5%

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CDE Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been robust but volatile, reflecting the impact of metal prices and operational performance. For Q4 2025, revenue was $674.85 million, representing a year-over-year growth of 120.94% compared to the same quarter in 2024. Sequentially, revenue grew from $360.06 million in Q1 2025 to the Q4 peak, indicating a strong multi-quarter acceleration, primarily driven by higher realized metal prices and increased production. Segment data shows gold contributed $424.8 million and silver $250.0 million in the most recent period, with gold being the dominant revenue driver.

Profitability has improved dramatically, transitioning from losses to substantial profits. Net income for Q4 2025 was $214.97 million, with a net margin of 31.85%. Gross margin for the quarter was a healthy 53.70%, up from 49.01% in Q4 2024, indicating margin expansion. The operating margin was 51.24% in Q4 2025, a significant improvement from the -14.77% operating margin in Q1 2024, showcasing a powerful turnaround in operational efficiency and cost management as metal prices rose.

The balance sheet and cash flow position appear solid. The company generated strong free cash flow of $313.27 million in Q4 2025, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $665.72 million. The debt-to-equity ratio is a conservative 0.11, indicating minimal financial leverage and a strong equity base. Return on Equity (ROE) is 17.68%, reflecting efficient use of shareholder capital, and the current ratio of 2.0 suggests ample liquidity to meet short-term obligations. The company's ability to generate substantial internal cash flow reduces its reliance on external financing for growth.

Quarterly Revenue

$674847000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+1.20%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.53%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$665717000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Gold
Product, Silver

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Valuation Analysis: Is CDE Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 19.33x, while the forward PE is significantly lower at 8.58x, based on an estimated EPS of $1.16. This substantial gap implies the market expects a near-doubling of earnings, pricing in continued strong profitability and growth from current levels.

Compared to industry averages, Coeur's valuation presents a mixed picture. Its trailing PE of 19.33x is difficult to compare directly without a provided industry average, but its Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 5.47x and EV/EBITDA of 11.30x are key metrics for resource companies. The stock's premium or discount would depend on its growth profile and reserve quality relative to peers; the low forward PE suggests the market may not be assigning a large premium despite recent strong performance.

Historically, the stock's current trailing PE of 19.33x is above its own historical range observed in recent quarters, which has fluctuated significantly from negative values in 2023/2024 to a high of 13.17x at the end of 2025. Trading above recent historical highs suggests the market is currently pricing in optimistic expectations for sustained profitability, a marked shift from the period of losses. This leaves the stock vulnerable to multiple compression if earnings growth fails to meet these elevated expectations.

PE

19.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -30x~373x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

11.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple