AVGO

Broadcom

$384.05

-3.98%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Broadcom is a leading semiconductor and infrastructure software company, designing custom AI accelerators, networking chips, and connectivity solutions for computing and communications, while also providing virtualization, security, and enterprise software through its VMware, CA, and Symantec acquisitions. It holds a dominant position as a key supplier to Apple and a top custom AI chip partner for hyperscalers, distinguishing itself through a unique blend of hardware and software capabilities. The current investor narrative centers on Broadcom's AI-driven growth acceleration, highlighted by a $30 billion Apple deal and a custom AI chip collaboration with OpenAI, which together reinforce its long-term revenue visibility and competitive moat in the AI infrastructure buildout. Debate persists around customer concentration risks and valuation after a significant pullback from highs, but the stock remains a focal point for AI and semiconductor investors.

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AVGO 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $384.05
Average Target $384.05
High Target $441.66
Low Target $326.44

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Broadcom's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $499.27 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$499.27

18 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

18

covering this stock

Price Range

$307 - $499

Analyst target range

Buy
5 (28%)
Hold
9 (50%)
Sell
4 (22%)

Broadcom is covered by 18 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The distribution includes 8 Buy/Overweight ratings, 1 Hold/Sector Perform, and no Sell ratings based on recent actions. The average analyst target price is not explicitly provided, but using the estimated EPS average of $35.00 and a forward P/E of 20.6x implies a target of approximately $721 (35 * 20.6), representing 80% upside from the current price of $399.97. However, this is a rough calculation; actual targets may vary. The consensus recommendation is Overweight/Buy, reflecting strong conviction in Broadcom's AI growth story. The target range spans from a low of $27.06 EPS estimate (implying ~$558 at 20.6x P/E) to a high of $38.82 EPS (implying ~$800). The high target assumes continued AI acceleration, successful VMware integration, and margin expansion, while the low target prices in potential customer concentration risks or a slowdown in AI spending. The wide spread in EPS estimates (27% difference between low and high) indicates high uncertainty around the pace of growth. Recent analyst actions show no downgrades; all ratings have been reaffirmed as Buy or Overweight since March 2026, signaling sustained positive sentiment. The absence of negative revisions suggests analysts remain confident in Broadcom's trajectory despite the stock's pullback from highs.

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AVGO Technical Analysis

Broadcom is in a long-term uptrend, with the stock up 45.2% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 20.6% gain. The current price of $399.97 sits at 80.8% of its 52-week range ($269.58 low to $495.00 high), indicating it is trading in the upper portion of its range but well below the peak. This positioning suggests the stock has recovered from its June sell-off but still has room to run if momentum continues, though it is not yet at overbought levels near the high. Short-term momentum is positive, with the stock gaining 7.5% over the past month and 7.6% over the past three months, outpacing the S&P 500's 4.1% and 11.1% gains respectively. However, the 1-month relative strength of 3.4% versus the S&P 500 shows outperformance, while the 3-month relative strength is slightly negative at -3.5%, indicating a divergence where the stock lagged the broader market in the medium term. This could signal a recent reacceleration of momentum after a period of underperformance, potentially marking a trend reversal. The 52-week high of $495.00 acts as key resistance, while the 52-week low of $269.58 provides support. A breakout above $495 would signal a resumption of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $270 would indicate a major trend reversal. With a beta of 1.46, Broadcom is 46% more volatile than the S&P 500, meaning larger swings in both directions, which is typical for high-growth semiconductor stocks and requires careful risk management.

Beta

1.46

1.46x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-28.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$270-$495

Price range past year

Annual Return

+40.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodAVGO ReturnS&P 500
1m+0.5%+1.0%
3m+0.9%+7.9%
6m+13.0%+8.5%
1y+40.0%+20.1%
ytd+10.5%+9.9%

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AVGO Fundamental Analysis

Broadcom's revenue trajectory is strongly accelerating, driven by AI demand. In the most recent quarter (Q1 FY2026, ended Feb 1, 2026), revenue reached $19.31 billion, up 29.5% year-over-year, compared to 20.6% growth in the prior quarter (Q4 FY2025). The Semiconductor Solutions segment generated $12.52 billion, while Infrastructure Software contributed $6.80 billion, with both segments benefiting from AI-related spending. The multi-quarter trend shows revenue growth accelerating from 7.2% in Q2 FY2025 to 29.5% in Q1 FY2026, driven by custom AI accelerators and VMware integration. This growth trajectory supports the investment case that Broadcom is a primary beneficiary of the AI infrastructure buildout. Profitability is robust and improving. Net income in Q1 FY2026 was $7.35 billion, with a net margin of 38.1%, up from 33.1% in Q2 FY2025. Gross margin expanded to 65.6% from 62.3% a year ago, reflecting a favorable mix shift toward higher-margin software and custom chips. Operating margin reached 45.0%, well above the semiconductor industry average of around 25-30%, demonstrating Broadcom's operational efficiency and pricing power. The company is consistently profitable with expanding margins, a key positive for investors. Broadcom maintains a strong balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.80, manageable for its cash flow generation. Free cash flow (FCF) for the trailing twelve months is $28.91 billion, yielding a FCF yield of 1.7% based on the current market cap. The company generated $8.26 billion in operating cash flow in Q1 FY2026, easily covering capital expenditures of $250 million and dividends of $3.09 billion. Return on equity (ROE) is 28.4%, indicating efficient capital use. The current ratio of 1.71 suggests adequate liquidity, though the company carries significant debt, with interest coverage of 11.6x, providing ample cushion.

Quarterly Revenue

$19.3B

2026-02

Revenue YoY Growth

+29.47%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

65.57%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$28.9B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Infrastructure Software
Semiconductor Solutions

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Valuation Analysis: Is AVGO Overvalued?

Since Broadcom has positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 73.8x, while the forward P/E is 20.6x, a massive gap that implies the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. This forward multiple is more reasonable and reflects the anticipated earnings surge from AI chip sales and software margins. The PEG ratio of 0.26 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate, though this depends on the accuracy of growth estimates. Compared to the semiconductor industry average P/E of approximately 25x (based on industry data), Broadcom's trailing P/E of 73.8x appears expensive, but its forward P/E of 20.6x is at a 17.6% discount to the industry average, indicating the market is pricing in above-average earnings growth. The premium on trailing earnings is justified by Broadcom's superior net margin of 38.2% versus the industry average of around 20%, as well as its dominant position in AI custom chips. Historically, Broadcom's trailing P/E has ranged from 14x to 106x over the past five years. The current trailing P/E of 73.8x is near the higher end of its historical range, suggesting the market is pricing in optimistic expectations. However, the forward P/E of 20.6x is closer to the historical median of around 25x, indicating that if earnings materialize as expected, the stock could be reasonably valued. The PB ratio of 21.0x is elevated, reflecting the high ROE and intangible assets from acquisitions.

PE

73.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -88x~106x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

50.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple