BE

Bloom Energy

$233.49

-4.55%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Bloom Energy designs, manufactures, sells, and installs solid oxide fuel cell systems for on-site power generation, operating in the electrical equipment and parts industry. As a pioneer in stationary fuel cell technology, the company differentiates itself with fuel-flexible servers that can run on natural gas, biogas, or hydrogen to provide 24/7 electricity. The current investor narrative centers on explosive growth driven by AI data center demand and a landmark $25 billion partnership with Brookfield, which has propelled the stock to a 846% one-year gain but also raised concerns about valuation sustainability and execution risk.

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BE 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $233.49
Average Target $233.49
High Target $268.51
Low Target $198.47

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Bloom Energy's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $303.54 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$303.54

11 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

11

covering this stock

Price Range

$187 - $304

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (27%)
Hold
5 (46%)
Sell
3 (27%)

Bloom Energy is covered by 11 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The distribution includes 1 Buy (BTIG), 2 Overweight (Morgan Stanley, JP Morgan), 2 Hold/Neutral (Mizuho, Roth Capital), 1 Equal Weight (Wells Fargo), 1 Market Perform (BMO Capital), 1 Underperform (Jefferies, B of A Securities), and 1 Hold (Clear Street). The average EPS estimate for the next fiscal year is $13.90, with a low of $10.69 and high of $17.03. Revenue estimates average $15.97 billion, implying significant growth from current levels. The average price target is not explicitly provided, but based on the forward P/E of 54.9x and EPS estimates, the implied target would be around $763 (54.9 * $13.90), representing over 200% upside from the current price of $244.61. The high target of $17.03 EPS implies a potential price of $935, while the low target of $10.69 EPS implies $587. The wide spread in EPS estimates (from $10.69 to $17.03) indicates high uncertainty about the company's future earnings trajectory. Recent ratings actions have been stable, with no major upgrades or downgrades in the past six months, suggesting analysts are waiting for more evidence of sustained profitability. The bullish consensus reflects optimism about AI-driven demand and the Brookfield partnership, but the lofty targets also imply that much of the good news is already priced in.

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BE Technical Analysis

Bloom Energy is in a powerful long-term uptrend, with the stock surging 846.3% over the past year. The current price of $244.61 sits at 69.6% of its 52-week range ($24.04 low to $351.28 high), indicating the stock is still in the upper half of its range but has pulled back from the peak. This positioning suggests the uptrend remains intact but may be experiencing a corrective phase after an extraordinary rally. Over the last three months, the stock has gained 46.7%, while the one-month change is +4.4%, showing a deceleration in momentum compared to the longer-term trend. The 1-year relative strength vs. SPY is an extraordinary 825.6%, but the 1-month relative strength is only 0.36, indicating the stock is underperforming the market in the very near term. This divergence could signal a period of consolidation or a potential trend reversal if the short-term weakness persists. The 52-week high of $351.28 represents key resistance; a breakout above that level would signal a resumption of the uptrend and could target new highs. Support lies near the 52-week low of $24.04, but more immediate support may be around the $200 level. With a beta of 3.737, Bloom Energy is nearly 274% more volatile than the S&P 500, meaning sharp swings are normal and position sizing must account for extreme risk.

Beta

3.74

3.74x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-45.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$24-$351

Price range past year

Annual Return

+819.3%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodBE ReturnS&P 500
1m-10.3%+1.0%
3m+6.6%+7.9%
6m+75.0%+8.5%
1y+819.3%+20.1%
ytd+136.6%+9.9%

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BE Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been robust, with the most recent quarter (Q4 2025) reporting $777.7 million, a 35.9% year-over-year increase. This marks an acceleration from the prior quarter's $519.0 million (Q3 2025) and from $572.4 million in Q4 2024. The growth is driven by product revenue of $638.5 million, which accounts for 82% of total sales, while installation ($68.3M), service ($61.7M), and electricity ($10.2M) contribute smaller portions. The trajectory suggests strong demand for Bloom's fuel cell systems, particularly for data center and industrial applications. The company turned profitable in Q4 2025, reporting net income of $1.1 million compared to a loss of $23.1 million in Q3 2025 and a loss of $57.5 million in Q1 2025. Gross margin improved to 30.9% in Q4 2025 from 29.2% in Q3 2025 and 27.2% in Q1 2025, indicating expanding profitability. Operating margin reached 11.3% in Q4 2025, a significant improvement from negative margins earlier in the year, suggesting operating leverage is kicking in as revenue scales. Bloom Energy's balance sheet shows a current ratio of 5.98, indicating strong short-term liquidity. However, the debt-to-equity ratio is high at 3.89, reflecting significant leverage. Free cash flow turned positive in Q4 2025 at $398.5 million, a dramatic improvement from negative free cash flow in prior quarters. The company generated $421.4 million in operating cash flow in Q4 2025, and cash at end of period stood at $2.48 billion, providing ample liquidity for growth investments.

Quarterly Revenue

$777683000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+35.87%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

30.85%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$60538000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Electricity
Installation
Product
Service

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Valuation Analysis: Is BE Overvalued?

Since net income is positive (TTM net income of $1.1 million in Q4 2025), the P/E ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing P/E is -234.8x due to negative earnings over the trailing twelve months, but the forward P/E is 54.9x, reflecting expectations of strong earnings growth. The gap between trailing and forward P/E implies the market anticipates a sharp earnings recovery, which is consistent with the recent profitability inflection. Compared to the Electrical Equipment & Parts industry, Bloom Energy trades at a significant premium. The forward P/E of 54.9x is well above the industry average of roughly 20-25x, representing a 120-175% premium. The PS ratio of 10.3x is also elevated versus the industry average of around 2-3x. This premium may be justified by the company's explosive revenue growth (35.9% YoY) and its unique position in the AI-driven power market, but it leaves little room for error. Historically, Bloom Energy's P/E has been negative or extremely high due to past losses. The current forward P/E of 54.9x is near the lower end of its historical range when profitable, but the stock's price-to-book of 27.2x is near the high end of its historical PB range (which has fluctuated between 5x and 30x over the past two years). This suggests the market is pricing in optimistic future growth and profitability, leaving the stock vulnerable to any disappointment.

PE

-234.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -215x~5250x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

1068.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple