Vertiv
VRT
$305.87
-4.07%
Vertiv is a global provider of digital infrastructure solutions, specializing in power, thermal management, and IT infrastructure products and services for data centers and critical facilities. As a market leader in data center infrastructure, Vertiv differentiates itself through a comprehensive portfolio spanning power distribution, cooling systems, and monitoring software, with a legacy dating back to 1946. The current investor narrative centers on Vertiv's role as a primary beneficiary of the AI boom, with surging demand for data center power and cooling infrastructure driving explosive revenue growth and a massive $15 billion backlog. Recent news highlights include a 30% revenue jump in Q1 2026, a deepened partnership with Nvidia, and a 7% stock surge following South Korea's $1 trillion AI data center investment announcement.…
VRT
Vertiv
$305.87
Related headlines
VRT 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Vertiv's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $397.63 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$397.63
16 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
16
covering this stock
Price Range
$245 - $398
Analyst target range
Vertiv is covered by 16 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The distribution includes 6 Buy ratings, 2 Overweight, 1 Outperform, and 1 Peer Perform (from Wolfe Research), with no Sell ratings. The average analyst target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS of $15.89 for the next fiscal year and a forward P/E of 36x, the implied target is approximately $572, representing 79% upside from the current price of $318.86. The consensus recommendation is a Buy, reflecting strong conviction in the AI infrastructure thesis. The target range spans from a low of $14.99 (based on low EPS estimate of $14.99 and 36x P/E, implying $540) to a high of $17.80 (high EPS of $17.80, implying $641). The wide spread of 19% between low and high targets indicates moderate uncertainty, but the overall bullish skew suggests analysts expect continued growth. Recent rating actions are uniformly positive: Citigroup, Barclays, RBC Capital, Goldman Sachs, and Mizuho all reiterated Buy/Overweight ratings in February 2026, while Barclays upgraded from Equal Weight to Overweight in January 2026. The only downgrade was Wolfe Research moving from Outperform to Peer Perform in December 2025, but this is an outlier. The strong institutional backing and lack of negative revisions reinforce the bullish narrative.
VRT Technical Analysis
Vertiv is in a powerful long-term uptrend, with the stock up 164.1% over the past year, dramatically outperforming the S&P 500's 20.6% gain. The current price of $318.86 sits at 83.9% of its 52-week range ($118.70 to $379.94), indicating the stock is trading near the upper end of its range but not at overbought extremes, suggesting sustained momentum with room for further upside. The 52-week low of $118.70 provides a clear support level, while the high of $379.94 represents the next resistance. With a beta of 2.03, Vertiv is more than twice as volatile as the market, amplifying both upside and downside moves. Short-term momentum is mixed: the 1-month price change of +13.5% shows strong recent buying pressure, while the 3-month change of +8.0% indicates a deceleration from the blistering pace earlier in the year. The 1-year gain of 164% dwarfs the 1-month move, but the recent acceleration in the past month suggests renewed bullish momentum after a pullback in May/June. The relative strength index (RSI) is not provided, but the volume of 2.99 million shares is elevated, supporting the recent price strength. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $118.70, a level that would represent a 63% decline from current levels and likely signal a major trend reversal. Resistance is at the 52-week high of $379.94; a breakout above this level would confirm the continuation of the uptrend and likely attract further buying. The stock's beta of 2.03 implies that for every 1% move in the S&P 500, Vertiv tends to move 2.03%, making it a high-volatility name that requires careful risk management.
Beta
2.03
2.03x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-25.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$119-$380
Price range past year
Annual Return
+148.1%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | VRT Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +1.0% | +1.0% |
| 3m | -1.5% | +7.9% |
| 6m | +79.0% | +8.5% |
| 1y | +148.1% | +20.1% |
| ytd | +74.2% | +9.9% |
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VRT Fundamental Analysis
Vertiv's revenue trajectory is accelerating sharply, driven by AI data center buildout. In Q4 2025, revenue reached $2.88 billion, up 22.7% year-over-year, following sequential growth from $2.04 billion in Q1 2025 to $2.68 billion in Q3 2025. The full-year 2025 revenue of $10.23 billion (sum of quarters) represents a 30% increase from 2024's $7.99 billion, with product revenue of $2.36 billion in Q4 2025 dominating service revenue of $520 million. This growth is fueled by a massive $15 billion backlog, as highlighted in recent news, positioning Vertiv for sustained expansion. Profitability is robust and improving. Net income for Q4 2025 was $445.6 million, up from $147 million in Q4 2024, representing a tripling of earnings. Gross margin expanded to 36.9% in Q4 2025 from 35.2% in Q4 2024, while operating margin reached 20.9% in Q4 2025 versus 19.8% a year ago. The net margin of 15.5% in Q4 2025 is well above the industry average for electrical equipment, reflecting strong pricing power and operating leverage. The balance sheet is healthy with manageable leverage. Debt-to-equity stands at 0.86, down from 1.29 in Q4 2024, indicating deleveraging. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $1.92 billion, providing ample liquidity for organic growth and acquisitions. The current ratio of 1.55 suggests adequate short-term liquidity, while ROE of 33.8% highlights exceptional shareholder returns. Vertiv generated $1.0 billion in operating cash flow in Q4 2025 alone, easily covering capital expenditures of $93 million.
Quarterly Revenue
$2.9B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+22.74%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
36.88%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.9B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is VRT Overvalued?
Given Vertiv's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E of 46.4x is elevated, while the forward P/E of 36.0x reflects expectations of continued earnings growth. The gap between trailing and forward P/E implies the market anticipates roughly 29% earnings growth over the next year, consistent with the company's explosive trajectory. Compared to the Electrical Equipment & Parts industry average P/E of approximately 22x (estimated), Vertiv trades at a 111% premium on a trailing basis and a 64% premium on a forward basis. This premium is justified by Vertiv's superior growth (22.7% revenue growth vs. industry average of ~5-10%), expanding margins (net margin of 15.5% vs. industry average of ~8%), and dominant position in the AI infrastructure theme. Historically, Vertiv's trailing P/E has ranged from 19.7x (Q4 2023) to 72.8x (Q4 2024), with the current 46.4x near the middle of that range. The forward P/E of 36.0x is below the historical peak, suggesting the market is pricing in strong but not unrealistic growth. The PEG ratio of 0.28x (based on forward earnings growth) indicates the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth rate, though this relies on the sustainability of current momentum.
PE
46.4x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range -1292x~248x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
29.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple

