BSX

Boston Scientific

$44.65

-0.27%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Boston Scientific Corp. is a global medical device company specializing in less invasive technologies for interventional cardiology, cardiac rhythm management, endoscopy, urology, and neuromodulation. As a diversified leader in the medical devices industry, it competes with Medtronic, Abbott, and Johnson & Johnson, leveraging a broad portfolio and strong R&D pipeline. The current investor narrative centers on the company's strategic $1.5 billion investment in MiRus to enter the high-growth transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) market, which has garnered Wall Street attention despite recent stock weakness from underwhelming trial results and broad market sell-offs.

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BSX 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $44.65
Average Target $44.65
High Target $51.35
Low Target $37.95

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Boston Scientific's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $58.05 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$58.05

15 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

15

covering this stock

Price Range

$36 - $58

Analyst target range

Buy
4 (27%)
Hold
7 (47%)
Sell
4 (27%)

Boston Scientific is covered by 15 analysts, with a consensus recommendation leaning bullish (all recent ratings from major firms like Needham, Goldman Sachs, and UBS are Buy or Overweight). The average analyst target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS average of $5.195 and a forward P/E of 12.1x, the implied target price is approximately $62.86 (5.195 * 12.1), representing 40.4% upside from the current price of $44.77. The consensus is clearly bullish, with no sell ratings visible in the institutional ratings data. The target range, inferred from EPS estimates, spans from a low of $5.066 (implying $61.30 at 12.1x P/E) to a high of $5.423 (implying $65.62), suggesting a relatively tight spread of about 7%. This tight range indicates strong conviction among analysts. The high target assumes successful execution of the TAVR strategy and continued margin expansion, while the low target may reflect risks from competitive pressures or slower-than-expected growth. Recent upgrades from multiple firms in March 2026 reinforce positive sentiment, despite the stock's decline. The wide gap between current price and analyst targets suggests that the market is pricing in significant uncertainty, but the analyst community sees substantial upside.

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BSX Technical Analysis

Boston Scientific is in a severe downtrend, with the stock price declining 56.9% over the past year and currently trading at $44.77, just 2.5% above its 52-week low of $42.25 and 59.1% below the 52-week high of $109.50. This positioning near the low end of the range suggests persistent selling pressure and a lack of bullish conviction, though it could also indicate a potential value opportunity if fundamentals stabilize. The 1-year price change of -56.9% and the 52-week range positioning highlight the depth of the bearish trend. Short-term momentum remains negative but shows some deceleration: the 1-month price change is -7.4%, while the 3-month change is -27.5%, indicating that the pace of decline has slowed relative to the longer-term trend. The 1-month relative strength versus SPY is -11.5%, confirming underperformance, but the divergence between the 1-month and 1-year trends could signal a potential bottoming process or a temporary pause before further downside. The stock's beta of 0.577 implies it is 42% less volatile than the S&P 500, meaning the decline is not driven by market-wide moves but by company-specific factors. Key support lies at the 52-week low of $42.25; a breakdown below this level could open the door to further losses, while resistance at the 52-week high of $109.50 remains distant. The current price is near support, and a bounce from this level would need to clear the $50 area to suggest a reversal. The low beta suggests that the stock's volatility is muted relative to the market, which may appeal to risk-averse investors but also limits upside participation in rallies.

Beta

0.58

0.58x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-60.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$42-$110

Price range past year

Annual Return

-56.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodBSX ReturnS&P 500
1m-4.8%+1.0%
3m-30.0%+7.9%
6m-52.4%+8.5%
1y-56.7%+20.1%
ytd-52.9%+9.9%

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BSX Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is robust and accelerating: the most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) was $5.286 billion, up 15.9% year-over-year from $4.561 billion in Q4 2024, and the trailing twelve-month revenue reached approximately $20.08 billion. The growth is driven by the Cardiovascular segment ($3.493 billion in the latest quarter) and MedSurg ($1.814 billion), with cardiovascular products leading. The multi-quarter trend shows sequential acceleration from 8.4% YoY growth in Q2 2024 to 15.9% in Q4 2025, indicating strong demand for the company's less invasive devices. This growth trajectory supports the investment case, though the stock's decline suggests the market is pricing in risks to sustainability. Profitability is solid and improving: net income for Q4 2025 was $668 million, with a net margin of 12.6%, up from 12.4% in Q4 2024. Gross margin expanded to 74.5% from 58.6% a year earlier, reflecting favorable product mix and cost efficiencies. Operating margin improved to 22.8% from 12.9%, indicating strong operational leverage. The company is profitable and generating healthy margins, which are above typical medical device industry averages (gross margins often 60-70%, operating margins 15-20%). The balance sheet is healthy: debt-to-equity is 0.51, and the current ratio is 1.62, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow (TTM) is $3.625 billion, providing ample internal funding for growth initiatives and the MiRus investment. ROE is 11.9%, and ROA is 6.1%, reflecting efficient capital use. The FCF yield (FCF/market cap) is approximately 2.6%, which is modest but supported by strong cash generation.

Quarterly Revenue

$5.3B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+15.9%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

74.5%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$3.6B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Cardiovascular
MedSurg

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Valuation Analysis: Is BSX Overvalued?

Since net income is positive ($668 million in Q4 2025), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 48.6x, while the forward P/E is 12.1x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. The large gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests that the market is pricing in a sharp earnings recovery, likely driven by the MiRus TAVR investment and operational improvements. Compared to the medical devices industry average P/E of approximately 22x, Boston Scientific's trailing P/E of 48.6x represents a 121% premium, reflecting its growth profile and market position. However, the forward P/E of 12.1x is at a 45% discount to the industry average, indicating that the current price already reflects a pessimistic near-term outlook. Historically, the stock's trailing P/E has ranged from 36.9x (Q3 2021) to 161x (Q4 2021), with the current 48.6x near the lower end of the historical band. This suggests that the stock is not excessively valued by historical standards, but the low forward P/E implies the market expects earnings to rebound strongly. The PEG ratio of 0.88 indicates that the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate, supporting a potential value opportunity.

PE

48.6x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 37x~161x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

29.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple