GPOR

Gulfport Energy Corporation

$155.75

-4.94%
Aug 4, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Gulfport Energy Corporation is an independent natural gas-weighted exploration and production company focused on the exploration, acquisition, and production of natural gas, crude oil, and natural gas liquids, with assets in the Appalachia and Anadarko basins. As a pure-play E&P operator, it distinguishes itself through its concentrated asset base in the Utica and Marcellus shales and SCOOP Woodford and Springer formations. The current investor narrative centers on the stock's significant underperformance amid a natural gas price downturn, with shares down over 26% year-to-date, raising questions about the company's ability to navigate a low-price environment while maintaining its cost structure and production levels.

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GPOR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $155.75
Average Target $155.75
High Target $179.11
Low Target $132.39

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Gulfport Energy Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $231.08 and implied upside of +48.4% versus the current price.

Average Target

$231.08

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+48.4%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$190 - $265

Analyst target range

Only one analyst covers Gulfport Energy, indicating limited institutional interest. The consensus recommendation is not explicitly provided, but the single analyst estimates an average EPS of $32.99 for the current fiscal year, with a range of $31.46 to $34.40. The average revenue estimate is $1.70 billion, with a range of $1.64 billion to $1.75 billion. Without a price target, we cannot calculate implied upside or downside. The limited coverage suggests the stock is a small-cap or mid-cap name with less efficient price discovery, which can lead to higher volatility and potential mispricing. The wide EPS range (approximately 9% spread) indicates uncertainty about the company's earnings trajectory, likely tied to volatile natural gas prices. Investors should monitor natural gas fundamentals and any updates from the company's operations to assess whether the current valuation adequately reflects the risks.

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GPOR Technical Analysis

Gulfport Energy is in a sustained downtrend, with the stock declining 13.5% over the past year and currently trading at 67% of its 52-week range (current price $152.10 vs. 52-week high of $225.78 and low of $149.79). The price sits near the bottom of the range, just 1.5% above the 52-week low, indicating bearish sentiment and potential value opportunity if fundamentals support a floor. The stock's beta of 0.403 suggests it is significantly less volatile than the market, which may provide some cushion but also reflects limited upside participation in broader rallies. Short-term momentum is decisively negative, with a 1-month decline of 8.6% and a 3-month plunge of 25.3%, accelerating the longer-term downtrend. The 1-month relative strength versus the S&P 500 is -12.7%, confirming severe underperformance. This divergence between the stock's persistent decline and the market's positive 1-month return of 4.1% suggests company-specific headwinds rather than macro factors. The 52-week low at $149.79 serves as critical support; a breakdown below this level could trigger further selling, while resistance at the 52-week high of $225.78 represents a 48% upside. The stock's low beta of 0.403 implies it is less reactive to market swings, but the current price action indicates a strong downtrend that may persist until fundamental catalysts emerge.

Beta

0.41

0.41x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-32.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$149-$226

Price range past year

Annual Return

-6.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodGPOR ReturnS&P 500
1m-7.8%+3.6%
3m-13.7%+5.1%
6m-24.6%+13.8%
1y-6.7%+22.2%
ytd-24.5%+13.1%

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GPOR Fundamental Analysis

Gulfport Energy's revenue trajectory is under pressure, with the most recent quarterly revenue estimated at $1.70 billion (consensus), but the company has not reported recent quarterly figures in the provided data. The trailing twelve-month revenue implied by the PS ratio of 2.86 and market cap of $3.79 billion suggests revenue of approximately $1.32 billion, indicating a potential decline from prior periods. The year-to-date stock decline of 26.2% reflects market concerns about natural gas prices and production volumes. Profitability metrics are mixed: the company has a net margin of 32.3% and gross margin of 70.7%, indicating strong operational efficiency, but the trailing PE of 9.57 and forward PE of 5.18 suggest earnings are expected to decline sharply. The ROE of 23.3% and ROA of 16.9% are robust, but these may be inflated by low equity base. The balance sheet appears manageable with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.43, but the current ratio of 0.68 indicates potential liquidity concerns, as current liabilities exceed current assets. Free cash flow data is not provided, but the PCF ratio of 4.72 suggests the company generates positive cash flow relative to its market cap. However, the negative PEG ratio of -0.04 indicates expected earnings declines, which could pressure the stock further if natural gas prices remain weak.

Quarterly Revenue

N/A

N/A

Revenue YoY Growth

N/A

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

N/A

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Last 12 Months

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Valuation Analysis: Is GPOR Overvalued?

Given that net income is positive (EPS of $0.11, though this appears low relative to trailing PE), we lead with the PE ratio. The trailing PE is 9.57x, while the forward PE is 5.18x, implying the market expects a significant earnings decline in the coming year. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests that current earnings are not sustainable, and the market is pricing in lower future profitability. Compared to the industry average (not provided), the stock's PE of 9.57x appears low, but this likely reflects the cyclical nature of the E&P sector and the current downturn in natural gas prices. The PS ratio of 2.86x and EV/Sales of 2.62x provide alternative valuation lenses; these multiples are moderate for the sector. Historically, without historical ratio data, we cannot assess whether current multiples are near the top or bottom of the stock's own range. However, the low forward PE suggests the market is pricing in a pessimistic earnings outlook, which could either be a value trap or an opportunity if natural gas prices recover.

PE

9.6x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

N/A

5-Year PE Range 17x~59x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

5.1x

Enterprise Value Multiple