Intuitive Machines, Inc. Class A Common Stock
LUNR
$0.00
+18.53%
Intuitive Machines Inc is a space infrastructure and services company focused on enabling sustained human activity beyond Earth, operating within the Aerospace & Defense industry. The company is a notable player in the emerging commercial space sector, positioning itself as a provider of infrastructure-as-a-service across various orbital regimes. The current investor narrative is intensely focused on the company's role in a rapidly maturing space industry, driven by recent news of a significant new NASA contract and broader sector excitement fueled by anticipated IPOs like SpaceX, which is creating a major re-rating of public space stocks. However, this optimism is tempered by serious questions about its path to profitability, as evidenced by a recent quarterly loss that was far worse than expected.…
LUNR
Intuitive Machines, Inc. Class A Common Stock
$0.00
Related headlines
LUNR 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Intuitive Machines, Inc. Class A Common Stock's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $0.00 and implied upside of — versus the current price.
Average Target
$0.00
1 analysts
Implied Upside
—
vs. current price
Analyst Count
1
covering this stock
Price Range
$0 - $0
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for LUNR appears limited, with only one analyst providing explicit estimates for EPS and revenue, though the institutional ratings data shows several firms issuing actions. The consensus sentiment among the rated firms leans bullish, with recent actions including 'Buy' from Canaccord Genuity, Deutsche Bank, and Keybanc, and 'Overweight' from Cantor Fitzgerald, though there is a notable 'Hold' from Stifel and an 'Underperform' from B of A Securities. The average target price and implied upside cannot be calculated from the provided data as explicit price targets are missing. The range of analyst opinions signals high uncertainty, with bullish views likely banking on the SpaceX IPO tailwind and contract wins, while bearish views focus on the lack of profitability and high valuation. The recent downgrade by Stifel from 'Buy' to 'Hold' in January 2026 may indicate growing caution following the disappointing Q4 earnings report. The wide dispersion in ratings—from Underperform to Buy—coupled with the limited number of explicit estimates, suggests this is a highly speculative stock with a narrative-driven valuation, leading to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery typical of early-stage, story-based investments.
LUNR Technical Analysis
The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 188.86% one-year price change, significantly outperforming the SPY's 22.2% gain. With a current price near the provided data's end of $23.99, the stock is trading at approximately 99% of its 52-week high of $24.3, indicating extreme momentum and potential overextension as it tests the upper bounds of its range. Recent momentum shows acceleration, with a 31.81% gain over one month and a 34.17% gain over three months, both dramatically outpacing the SPY's negative returns of -4.28% and -4.0% respectively, confirming strong relative strength. This short-term surge aligns with the longer-term uptrend, suggesting continued bullish sentiment, though the proximity to the 52-week high introduces risk of a pullback. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate resistance at the 52-week high of $24.3 and support at the 52-week low of $6.135. A decisive breakout above $24.3 could signal a new leg higher, while a failure and reversal could see a test of lower support levels. The stock's beta of 1.315 indicates it is approximately 32% more volatile than the broader market, which is critical for risk management given its recent parabolic move and a maximum drawdown of -55.56% within the observed period.
Beta
1.31
1.31x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-54.1%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$6-$24
Price range past year
Annual Return
+188.9%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | LUNR Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +31.8% | -2.5% |
| 3m | +34.2% | -4.6% |
| 6m | +109.7% | -2.0% |
| 1y | +188.9% | +29.8% |
| ytd | +34.2% | -3.8% |
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LUNR Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth is volatile and currently negative on a year-over-year basis, with Q4 2025 revenue of $44.8 million representing an 18.6% decline from the prior year period. The multi-quarter trend shows significant fluctuation, from $62.5 million in Q1 2025 down to $44.8 million in Q4, indicating inconsistent execution and contract timing. The lack of detailed segment data limits analysis, but the overall trajectory raises questions about near-term growth stability despite ambitious long-term targets. The company is deeply unprofitable, with a Q4 2025 net income of -$40.0 million and a gross margin of 30.24%, which improved from a deeply negative gross margin of -23.5% in Q2 2025. However, operating and net margins remain severely negative at -73.9% and -89.4% respectively for Q4, highlighting significant operating inefficiencies and a clear lack of scalability. The path to profitability is uncertain, as losses have widened sequentially from -$6.8 million in Q3 to -$40.0 million in Q4. The balance sheet shows a strong liquidity position with a current ratio of 4.96, but this is overshadowed by persistent cash burn. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow is deeply negative at -$55.95 million, indicating the company is consuming cash to fund operations and growth. The debt-to-equity ratio is negative at -0.50, a peculiar figure often resulting from accumulated deficits, but the negative ROA of -9.8% confirms assets are not generating positive returns.
Quarterly Revenue
$44785000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
-0.18%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.30%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-55952000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is LUNR Overvalued?
Given the company's negative net income and EBITDA, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is extremely elevated at 9.22x, while the Enterprise Value-to-Sales (EV/Sales) is even higher at 21.76x, reflecting a premium valuation for anticipated future growth. The forward PE ratio of 111.58x, based on analyst EPS estimates, underscores the market's expectation of a dramatic earnings recovery, but the wide gap between this and the negative trailing PE of -23.25 highlights the speculative nature of the investment case. Compared to industry averages, data is not available in the provided inputs for a direct sector PS comparison, but the elevated absolute multiples suggest the market is pricing in significant future growth from its space infrastructure ambitions. The stock's valuation appears stretched on a sales basis, demanding flawless execution on its contract pipeline to justify the premium. Historically, the stock's own PS ratio has fluctuated wildly, from a low around 1.76x in late 2023 to the current 9.22x. Trading near the top of its historical valuation band suggests the market is currently pricing in highly optimistic expectations for contract wins and margin expansion, leaving little room for error. Any disappointment in revenue growth or further margin deterioration could trigger a significant de-rating.
PE
-23.3x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -45x~4x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-26.6x
Enterprise Value Multiple

