MAS

Masco

$71.82

+0.79%
Apr 30, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Masco Corporation is a leading manufacturer of home improvement and building products, operating primarily in the plumbing and decorative architectural segments with well-known brands like Delta, Hansgrohe, Behr, and Kilz. The company is a significant player in the construction industry, leveraging its strong brand portfolio and distribution to serve both professional contractors and DIY consumers. The current investor narrative is focused on the company's demonstrated operational resilience and margin expansion, as highlighted by a recent stock surge attributed to impressive pricing power and cost management despite ongoing challenges in the broader housing market.

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MAS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $71.82
Average Target $71.82
High Target $82.59299999999999
Low Target $61.04699999999999

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Masco's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $93.37 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$93.37

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$57 - $93

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Analyst coverage for Masco is limited, with only three analysts providing estimates, which is typical for a mid-cap industrial stock and can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The consensus sentiment, based on recent institutional ratings, leans neutral to cautiously optimistic, with firms like Citigroup and RBC Capital maintaining 'Neutral' or 'Sector Perform' ratings, while Wells Fargo has an 'Overweight' stance. The average revenue estimate for the coming period is $8.39 billion, with a tight EPS estimate range between $5.37 and $5.56, but a specific consensus price target is not provided in the data. The target price range and implied upside cannot be calculated from the given data. The recent pattern of analyst actions shows stability, with most firms reaffirming their ratings following earnings, and a notable upgrade from Wells Fargo from 'Equal Weight' to 'Overweight' in December 2025, which may signal growing confidence in the company's execution amid market challenges.

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MAS Technical Analysis

The stock is in a volatile but recovering uptrend, having gained 23.02% over the past year. As of the latest close at $74.18, the price is trading at approximately 82% of its 52-week range (between $58.16 and $79.19), positioning it closer to the upper bound and indicating strong momentum but also potential vulnerability to a pullback from resistance. Recent momentum has been exceptionally strong, with the stock surging 20.58% over the past month and 7.93% over the past three months, significantly outpacing the S&P 500's gains of 8.7% and 3.59% over the same periods, respectively. This sharp short-term acceleration suggests a powerful bullish impulse, though the stock's beta of 1.291 indicates it is roughly 29% more volatile than the broader market, which investors must factor into risk management. Key technical levels are clearly defined by the 52-week high of $79.19 as immediate resistance and the 52-week low of $58.16 as major support. A decisive breakout above $79.19 would signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a breakdown below the recent March lows near $58.60 would suggest a failure of the recovery. The stock's elevated beta of 1.291 confirms its status as a higher-volatility name within the industrials sector, implying larger price swings that require careful position sizing.

Beta

1.29

1.29x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-24.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$58-$79

Price range past year

Annual Return

+18.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodMAS ReturnS&P 500
1m+19.0%+10.5%
3m+8.7%+3.9%
6m+10.9%+5.4%
1y+18.5%+29.6%
ytd+11.4%+5.4%

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MAS Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been negative recently, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.79 billion representing a year-over-year decline of 1.9%, continuing a sequential downtrend from $2.05 billion in Q2 2025. The Plumbing Products segment, at $1.25 billion for the latest quarter, is the larger revenue driver compared to the $545 million Decorative Architectural Products segment, indicating the overall top-line pressure is broad-based. Despite the revenue headwinds, profitability remains robust, with the company posting a net income of $165 million in Q4 2025 and a trailing net margin of 10.7%. Gross margin for the quarter was 33.7%, slightly below the trailing twelve-month gross margin of 35.5%, suggesting some modest pressure, but the operating margin of 14.4% demonstrates effective cost control. The balance sheet and cash flow generation are strong pillars of the investment case, with a current ratio of 1.81 indicating solid liquidity and trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $867 million providing ample financial flexibility. The negative debt-to-equity ratio of -18.47 is an accounting anomaly typically resulting from significant share buybacks reducing shareholder equity, but the company's robust free cash flow, which funds consistent dividends and repurchases, underscores a healthy financial position with low reliance on external debt financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.8B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.01%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.33%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$867000000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Decorative Architectural Products
Plumbing Products

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Valuation Analysis: Is MAS Overvalued?

Given the positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. Masco trades at a trailing P/E of 16.37x and a forward P/E of 15.80x, based on estimated EPS. The narrow gap between trailing and forward multiples suggests the market anticipates only modest earnings growth in the near term. Compared to sector averages, Masco's valuation presents a mixed picture; its trailing P/E of 16.37x is below the typical market average for profitable industrials, while its Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.75x and EV/EBITDA of 11.60x also appear reasonable, indicating the stock is not trading at a significant premium relative to its cash flow and sales. Historically, the stock's current trailing P/E of 16.37x sits well below its own historical range observed in recent quarters, which has seen P/E ratios fluctuate dramatically from the low teens to over 40x. This positioning near the lower end of its historical valuation band suggests the market may be pricing in a cyclical slowdown or offering a value opportunity if the company's margin resilience and cash flow generation persist.

PE

16.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -103x~44x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

11.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple