Motorola Solutions
MSI
$389.44
-0.71%
Motorola Solutions, Inc. is a leading global provider of mission-critical communications and analytics solutions, primarily serving public safety and enterprise customers with land mobile radios, network infrastructure, command center software, and video security. The company is a dominant market leader in public safety communications, leveraging its entrenched relationships with government agencies and a comprehensive, integrated hardware-to-software ecosystem. The current investor narrative is shaped by its aggressive expansion into high-growth security analytics, highlighted by its recent $1.5 billion debt-funded acquisition of counter-drone specialist D-Fend, and the ongoing debate around balancing this acquisitive growth strategy with its historically strong cash generation and shareholder returns.…
MSI
Motorola Solutions
$389.44
Related headlines
MSI 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Motorola Solutions's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $506.27 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$506.27
6 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
6
covering this stock
Price Range
$312 - $506
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for MSI appears limited in the provided dataset, with only 6 analysts providing estimates, which is relatively low for a large-cap company and may indicate it is a specialized niche within the tech/communications sector. The consensus sentiment is bullish, as evidenced by recent institutional ratings from major firms like Barclays, JP Morgan, and Morgan Stanley, which have maintained or initiated 'Overweight' or 'Buy' equivalents. The average target price is not explicitly provided in the data, but the implied upside or downside cannot be calculated without it. The target price range is also not available in the provided data points. The recent upgrade from Morgan Stanley from 'Equal Weight' to 'Overweight' in December 2025 suggests a positive shift in sentiment, likely tied to growth initiatives like the D-Fend acquisition. The wide dispersion in historical valuation multiples suggests analyst targets could have a broad range, reflecting uncertainty around the integration and payoff of its strategic acquisitions versus its core, slower-growth government business.
MSI Technical Analysis
The stock is in a pronounced downtrend from its 52-week highs, with a 1-year price change of -2.36% significantly underperforming the SPY's +24.99% gain, indicating severe relative weakness. Currently trading at $395.17, the price sits approximately 20% below its 52-week high of $492.22 and about 10% above its 52-week low of $359.36, positioning it in the lower-middle of its annual range and suggesting the momentum-driven rally has fully reversed. The short-term momentum is decisively negative, with the stock down -12.64% over the last three months and -0.89% over the last month, confirming the bearish trend is persisting even as the broader market rallies. The stock's beta of 0.89 indicates it has been less volatile than the market, but its recent underperformance, with a -27.78 relative strength score over 3 months, shows it is acting as a distinct source of weakness rather than a defensive haven. Key technical support is at the 52-week low of $359.36, while resistance is at the recent high near $492.22; a breakdown below support would signal a continuation of the downtrend, while a recovery above the $430-$450 zone is needed to suggest stabilization. The elevated beta-adjusted underperformance suggests the stock is being penalized for company-specific concerns, such as the impact of its recent large acquisition on its balance sheet.
Beta
0.89
0.89x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-25.8%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$359-$492
Price range past year
Annual Return
-5.2%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | MSI Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -3.6% | -1.6% |
| 3m | -13.7% | +11.7% |
| 6m | +3.4% | +6.3% |
| 1y | -5.2% | +22.2% |
| ytd | +2.2% | +7.6% |
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MSI Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth remains robust, with Q4 2025 revenue of $3.38 billion representing a 12.26% year-over-year increase, continuing a multi-quarter trend of strong double-digit growth driven by both Product ($2.04B) and Service ($1.34B) segments. The company is highly profitable, with Q4 net income of $649 million and a trailing net margin of 18.44%, supported by a solid gross margin of 50.18% and an operating margin of 25.12%. Profitability metrics are strong, with a Return on Equity of 89.38% and Return on Assets of 11.22%, although the high ROE is significantly leveraged by debt. The balance sheet shows aggressive financial leverage, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 4.05, which is elevated and will be further pressured by the recent $1.5 billion acquisition. However, the company generates substantial cash, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $2.57 billion, providing coverage for its dividend (payout ratio of 33.8%) and share repurchases, though the recent deal may temporarily strain its financial flexibility and increase interest costs.
Quarterly Revenue
$3.4B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.12%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.48%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$2.6B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is MSI Overvalued?
Given a positive net income of $649 million, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The stock trades at a trailing P/E of 29.58x and a forward P/E of 21.34x, with the forward discount implying the market expects earnings growth. Compared to the provided industry average P/E of 22x (implied from valuation data context), MSI's trailing multiple represents a 34% premium, which is substantial. This premium may be justified by the company's market-leading position, high profitability (net margin of 18.4% vs. likely lower industry average), and consistent revenue growth, but it also prices in near-perfect execution. Historically, the stock's own trailing P/E has ranged widely, from lows in the teens during 2021-2022 to recent highs above 40x; the current 29.58x sits above its mid-2024 level of 24.54x but well below the 44x seen in early 2025, indicating a partial de-rating from peak optimism but still at a premium level that demands sustained growth.
PE
29.6x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range -378x~44x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
20.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple

