UI

Ubiquiti

$579.66

-2.74%
Sep 4, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Ubiquiti Inc. is a technology company that designs and sells high-performance networking equipment and software platforms for enterprises, service providers, and consumers, operating in the communication equipment industry. The company is known for its disruptive, community-driven business model, leveraging a global network of distributors and resellers to compete against larger incumbents like Cisco. Currently, the stock is under scrutiny due to concerns about rising costs squeezing future margins, despite strong earnings and a dividend hike, as highlighted in recent news. Additionally, the company's opaque management and tiny public float have contributed to significant stock volatility, making investor sentiment a key driver of its price action.

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UI 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $579.66
Average Target $579.66
High Target $666.61
Low Target $492.71

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Ubiquiti's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $734.50 and implied upside of +26.7% versus the current price.

Average Target

$734.50

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+26.7%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$489 - $980

Analyst target range

Ubiquiti has only 2 analysts covering the stock, with a consensus recommendation of 'hold' and an average target price of $734.50, implying a 22.5% upside from the current price of $599.35. The target range is wide, from $489 to $980, reflecting high uncertainty. The low target suggests concerns about margin compression and competitive pressures, while the high target assumes continued growth and margin expansion. The limited analyst coverage and wide target spread indicate that the stock is subject to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, which may present opportunities for investors willing to take on additional risk.

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UI Technical Analysis

Ubiquiti's stock has experienced a dramatic decline over the past year, with a 1-year price change of +12.6%, but this masks a severe drawdown from its highs. The current price of $599.35 sits at 54.5% of its 52-week range (between $505.73 low and $1099.99 high), indicating the stock is trading near the lower end after a sharp correction. This positioning suggests the stock is in a downtrend, with the price well below its 52-week high, reflecting a bearish sentiment and potential value trap risks.

Beta

1.32

1.32x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-51.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$506-$1100

Price range past year

Annual Return

+2.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodUI ReturnS&P 500
1m+1.9%+0.1%
3m+2.2%+4.4%
6m-22.7%+14.6%
1y+2.6%+18.6%
ytd+2.4%+12.9%

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UI Fundamental Analysis

Ubiquiti's revenue growth has been robust, with the latest quarterly revenue estimated at $3.88 billion (annualized), reflecting a strong growth trajectory. The company's net margin is an impressive 29.3%, and gross margin stands at 46.2%, indicating efficient operations and pricing power. However, recent news highlights concerns about rising costs that could squeeze future margins, which may explain the stock's decline despite strong earnings. The company's profitability is solid, with a return on equity of 66.7% and a return on assets of 40.4%, showcasing exceptional capital efficiency. Ubiquiti maintains a healthy balance sheet with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.056, indicating minimal leverage, and a current ratio of 2.93, ensuring strong liquidity. The company generates significant free cash flow, as evidenced by a price-to-cash-flow ratio of 34.8, and its payout ratio of 20.2% supports a modest dividend yield of 0.6%.

Quarterly Revenue

N/A

N/A

Revenue YoY Growth

N/A

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

N/A

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Last 12 Months

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Valuation Analysis: Is UI Overvalued?

Given Ubiquiti's positive net income, the trailing P/E ratio of 33.65 is the primary valuation metric, with a forward P/E of 30.61, implying a 9% discount to forward earnings, which suggests the market expects continued growth. The stock's P/E is at a premium to the industry average, but this is justified by its superior profitability and growth metrics. Historically, Ubiquiti has traded at a higher P/E, so the current multiple is below its historical average, indicating a potential value opportunity if the company can maintain its growth trajectory.

PE

33.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

N/A

5-Year PE Range 17x~59x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

26.5x

Enterprise Value Multiple