MTZ

MasTec

$390.61

-6.12%
Jul 1, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
MasTec, Inc. is a leading infrastructure construction company operating primarily in North America, specializing in engineering, building, installing, and maintaining critical infrastructure across communications, clean energy, oil and gas pipelines, and power delivery sectors. The company is a key player in the Engineering & Construction industry, distinguished by its diversified service portfolio that positions it as a critical contractor for large-scale national projects in communications and energy transition. The current investor narrative is heavily focused on the company's role in the U.S. infrastructure build-out and energy transition, with recent financial results showing strong revenue growth and a return to profitability, driving significant stock price appreciation and debate over its valuation in light of these secular tailwinds.

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MTZ 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $390.61
Average Target $390.61
High Target $449.20149999999995
Low Target $332.0185

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on MasTec's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $507.79 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$507.79

5 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

5

covering this stock

Price Range

$312 - $508

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (20%)
Hold
2 (40%)
Sell
2 (40%)

MasTec is covered by a modest cohort of 5 analysts, indicating it is a mid-cap stock with established but not overwhelming institutional interest. The consensus sentiment is uniformly bullish, with all recent institutional ratings from firms like Jefferies, Citigroup, and Barclays being in the Buy/Outperform/Overweight category, reflecting strong conviction in the company's infrastructure-led growth story. The average analyst revenue estimate for the coming period is $27.44 billion, with an average EPS estimate of $20.89, providing specific fundamental benchmarks for future performance. The target price range implied by the EPS estimates is wide, with a low estimate of $19.65 and a high of $22.02, translating to a significant spread in potential stock price outcomes based on differing assumptions about growth and margins. The high target likely assumes flawless execution on large projects, continued margin expansion, and multiple expansion, while the low target may factor in potential cost overruns, competitive pressures, or a macroeconomic slowdown. The tight clustering of recent analyst actions—all reiterations of bullish ratings—suggests strong near-term conviction, though the underlying EPS estimate range indicates underlying uncertainty about the precise magnitude of future earnings.

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MTZ Technical Analysis

MasTec is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 130.57% price increase over the past year. The stock closed at $379.66, which places it at approximately 86% of its 52-week high of $441.43, indicating it is trading near the upper bounds of its range and reflects strong bullish momentum, though it is not at the absolute peak. The 1-month price change of -1.39% and the 3-month gain of 26.31% show that while the short-term momentum has cooled slightly from its recent parabolic move, the intermediate-term trend remains decisively positive, suggesting the recent pullback may be a consolidation within a larger uptrend rather than a reversal. Recent momentum shows a divergence where the 1-month return is negative (-1.39%) against the explosive 1-year trend (+130.57%), signaling a potential pause or profit-taking phase after the stock's massive run. This is further evidenced by the stock's 1-month relative strength of -2.13 versus the SPY, indicating recent underperformance. The stock's high beta of 1.787 confirms it is approximately 79% more volatile than the broader market, which explains the amplified moves both up and down and is a critical factor for risk-aware investors. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $160.08, while immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $441.43. A decisive breakout above $441.43 would signal a continuation of the bullish trend and potentially target new highs, whereas a breakdown below key moving averages would suggest a deeper correction. The stock's elevated beta of 1.787 underscores its high-risk, high-reward profile, meaning investors should expect and be prepared for significant price swings relative to the overall market.

Beta

1.79

1.79x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-23.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$160-$441

Price range past year

Annual Return

+132.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodMTZ ReturnS&P 500
1m+7.9%-1.7%
3m+16.2%+13.7%
6m+71.6%+9.2%
1y+132.2%+20.7%
ytd+71.6%+9.4%

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MTZ Fundamental Analysis

MasTec's revenue trajectory is robust and accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $3.94 billion representing a 15.77% year-over-year growth. This growth is part of a clear multi-quarter recovery and acceleration from a difficult Q1 2025. Segment data from the latest quarter shows the Clean Energy and Infrastructure segment was the largest contributor at $1.29 billion, followed by Communications at $907 million and Pipeline Infrastructure at $644 million, indicating diversified growth drivers aligned with national infrastructure spending trends. The company has returned to solid profitability, with Q4 2025 net income of $142.7 million and a net margin of 3.62%. Gross margin for the quarter was 10.08%, while the operating margin was 5.28%. Comparing sequentially, profitability has improved dramatically from a net margin of just 0.35% in Q1 2025, demonstrating significant margin expansion and operational execution throughout the fiscal year as project execution and pricing normalized. Balance sheet and cash flow health are adequate but show the capital-intensive nature of the business. The debt-to-equity ratio is 0.86, indicating a moderate level of leverage. The company generated $207.6 million in trailing twelve-month free cash flow and an operating cash flow of $372.7 million for Q4 2025, providing internal funding for growth. The current ratio of 1.32 shows sufficient short-term liquidity, while an ROE of 12.24% reflects decent returns on shareholder equity.

Quarterly Revenue

$3.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.15%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.10%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$207610000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Clean Energy and Infrastructure
Communications
Pipeline Infrastructure

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Valuation Analysis: Is MTZ Overvalued?

Given MasTec's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 42.42x, while the forward PE is lower at 32.39x. This significant gap implies the market is pricing in strong earnings growth expectations for the coming year, anticipating further margin expansion and profit growth from current levels. Compared to industry averages, MasTec's valuation appears elevated. Its trailing PE of 42.42x and forward PE of 32.39x are at a substantial premium to typical industrials and engineering & construction peers, which often trade in the mid-teens to low-20s PE range. This premium is likely justified by the market if it believes in the company's superior growth profile driven by multi-year tailwinds from infrastructure legislation and the energy transition, though it leaves little room for execution missteps. Historically, MasTec's current trailing PE of 42.42x is near the top of its own range over the past several years, as seen in historical data where its PE has fluctuated widely, even reaching negative figures during unprofitable quarters. Trading near historical highs suggests the market has already priced in a very optimistic scenario regarding the sustainability of its recent margin recovery and growth acceleration, increasing the stock's sensitivity to any negative earnings revisions.

PE

42.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -46x~1958x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

17.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple