MasTec
MTZ
$357.71
-2.02%
MasTec is a leading infrastructure construction company operating primarily in North America, providing engineering, building, installation, maintenance, and upgrade services across communications, oil and gas, utility, renewable energy, and other infrastructure sectors. The company distinguishes itself as a diversified infrastructure platform with five reporting segments—communications, clean energy and infrastructure, pipeline infrastructure, power delivery, and other—enabling it to capture cross-sector demand. The current investor narrative centers on MasTec's robust growth trajectory driven by tailwinds in clean energy and communications infrastructure, with recent quarterly revenue surging 15.7% year-over-year and a strong backlog supporting future expansion, while margin improvement and debt reduction remain key focal points.…
MTZ
MasTec
$357.71
MTZ 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on MasTec's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $465.02 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$465.02
5 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
5
covering this stock
Price Range
$286 - $465
Analyst target range
MasTec is covered by 5 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish—all recent ratings are Buy or Outperform (Jefferies, Mizuho, Citigroup, Keybanc, DA Davidson, Cantor Fitzgerald, Baird, Truist Securities, Barclays). The average EPS estimate for the next fiscal year is $20.89, with a range of $19.72 to $21.97, and average revenue estimate of $27.44 billion. The average price target is not directly provided, but based on the forward P/E of 32.5x and average EPS of $20.89, the implied target is approximately $679, representing 82% upside from the current price of $372.89. This suggests strong bullish conviction. The target range (low $19.72 EPS to high $21.97 EPS) implies a price range of $640 to $714, a spread of about 11%, indicating relatively high conviction among analysts. The high target assumes continued revenue acceleration and margin expansion, while the low target may reflect risks from project delays or commodity price volatility. Recent ratings have been reaffirmed or upgraded, with no downgrades, reinforcing the positive sentiment. The wide upside to the average target suggests the market may not have fully priced in the company's growth potential, but investors should consider the high beta and cyclical nature of the business.
MTZ Technical Analysis
MasTec is in a sustained uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +120.9%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +20.6%. The current price of $372.89 sits at 84.5% of its 52-week range ($160.08–$441.43), indicating the stock is trading near the upper end of its range, reflecting strong momentum but also potential overextension. The stock's beta of 1.768 implies it is 76.8% more volatile than the market, amplifying both upside and downside risks. Short-term momentum shows a 1-month change of +11.1% and a 3-month change of +3.2%, suggesting a deceleration from the blistering 6-month gain of +70.3%. The 1-month relative strength of +7.0% versus the S&P 500 indicates continued outperformance, but the 3-month relative strength of -7.9% signals a potential loss of relative momentum. This divergence—strong 1-year trend but softening 3-month momentum—could indicate a consolidation phase or a temporary pullback before the next leg higher. Key support lies near the 52-week low of $160.08, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $441.43. A breakout above $441.43 would signal a resumption of the uptrend, targeting new highs, while a breakdown below recent support around $335 (the June 10 low) could trigger a deeper correction. With a beta of 1.768, the stock is highly sensitive to market moves, and the current price near the top of the range suggests caution for new entries without a pullback.
Beta
1.77
1.77x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-23.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$160-$441
Price range past year
Annual Return
+108.1%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | MTZ Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -3.8% | +0.0% |
| 3m | -0.1% | +7.6% |
| 6m | +47.6% | +9.1% |
| 1y | +108.1% | +21.3% |
| ytd | +57.1% | +10.7% |
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MTZ Fundamental Analysis
MasTec's revenue trajectory is strongly accelerating, with Q4 2025 revenue of $3.94 billion, up 15.7% year-over-year from $3.40 billion in Q4 2024. The multi-quarter trend shows sequential growth from $2.85 billion in Q1 2025 to $3.97 billion in Q3 2025, driven by the Clean Energy and Infrastructure segment ($1.29 billion), Communications ($907 million), and Pipeline Infrastructure ($644 million). The 15.7% YoY growth rate is a significant acceleration from the 1.1% growth in Q4 2024, indicating strong demand tailwinds. Profitability is improving but remains modest, with Q4 2025 net income of $142.7 million (net margin 3.6%) versus $74.7 million (2.2%) a year ago. Gross margin expanded to 10.1% from 9.6% in Q4 2024, though it remains below the 13.6% in Q3 2025, reflecting seasonal or project mix effects. Operating margin improved to 5.3% from 4.1% in the prior year, but the company still operates on thin margins typical of the engineering & construction industry. The balance sheet is moderately leveraged with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.86 and a current ratio of 1.32, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow (TTM) of $207.6 million is positive but volatile, with Q4 2025 FCF of $214.4 million offsetting negative FCF in Q2 2025. ROE of 12.2% is reasonable, and the company does not pay a dividend, retaining earnings for growth. The FCF yield of 1.2% (based on market cap of $16.9B) is low, suggesting the market is pricing in future growth rather than current cash generation.
Quarterly Revenue
$3.9B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+15.8%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
10.1%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$207610000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is MTZ Overvalued?
Since net income is positive ($142.7 million in Q4 2025), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 42.5x, while the forward P/E is 32.5x, implying the market expects earnings growth of about 31% over the next year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests optimism about margin expansion and revenue growth. Compared to the industry average (Engineering & Construction), MasTec trades at a premium: the trailing P/E of 42.5x is well above the sector median of roughly 20x, representing a 112% premium. This premium may be justified by MasTec's superior revenue growth (15.7% YoY vs. industry ~5-8%) and its exposure to high-growth clean energy and communications segments. However, the PEG ratio of 0.29 (based on forward earnings growth) suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate, indicating that the high P/E is supported by strong earnings momentum. Historically, MasTec's trailing P/E has ranged from a low of around 22x (in late 2021) to a high of over 500x (in early 2024 when earnings were depressed). The current 42.5x is near the lower end of its 3-year range, suggesting that despite the stock's price appreciation, earnings have grown faster, compressing the multiple. This implies the market is not overly optimistic and there may be room for multiple expansion if growth continues.
PE
42.5x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range -46x~1958x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
17.3x
Enterprise Value Multiple