NextDC
NXT
$99.09
-2.35%
Nextpower Inc. is a leading provider of intelligent, integrated solar tracker and software solutions for utility-scale and distributed generation solar projects worldwide, operating in the solar technology industry. The company differentiates itself through its advanced tracker systems that optimize panel performance by following the sun, positioning it as a key player in the renewable energy infrastructure space. Currently, the investor narrative centers on Nextpower's strong Q4 earnings beat and raised revenue outlook, which have boosted sentiment despite concerns about near-term profit forecasts and broader market volatility in the solar sector. The stock's significant price swings and high beta reflect ongoing debates about growth sustainability, margin pressures, and the impact of global solar adoption rates.…
NXT
NextDC
$99.09
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NXT 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on NextDC's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $141.52 and implied upside of +42.8% versus the current price.
Average Target
$141.52
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+42.8%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$70 - $175
Analyst target range
The target price range spans from a low of $70.00 to a high of $175.00, reflecting a wide dispersion of expectations. The low target suggests a potential downside of about 31% from current levels, likely pricing in risks such as margin compression, competitive pressures, or a slowdown in solar project deployments. The high target implies a 72.5% upside, assuming robust growth and successful execution of the company's strategic initiatives. The wide spread between the low and high targets indicates significant uncertainty about Nextpower's future performance, which is typical for high-growth, high-beta stocks in the renewable energy sector. Recent ratings actions have been predominantly positive, with no downgrades in the last three months, reinforcing the bullish sentiment.
NXT Technical Analysis
Nextpower's stock has exhibited a volatile but broadly upward trend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of +87.94%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +20.37% gain. However, the current price of $101.47 sits at approximately 62% of the 52-week range (low $53.77, high $163.13), indicating a substantial pullback from its highs. This positioning suggests the stock is in a corrective phase after a strong rally, with the price now closer to the lower end of its range, potentially offering value but also signaling waning momentum.
Beta
1.95
1.95x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-42.5%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$64-$163
Price range past year
Annual Return
+63.6%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | NXT Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -3.9% | +4.0% |
| 3m | -22.1% | +5.3% |
| 6m | -20.4% | +12.6% |
| 1y | +63.6% | +20.1% |
| ytd | +6.8% | +13.3% |
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NXT Fundamental Analysis
Nextpower's revenue trajectory has shown mixed signals, with the most recent quarter (Q4 FY2026, ending March 31, 2026) reporting revenue of $880.5 million, a 4.74% year-over-year decline from $924.3 million in the prior-year quarter. However, sequential growth from Q3's $909.4 million and Q2's $905.3 million indicates a slight recovery, though the overall trend has been decelerating from the $1.0 billion+ levels seen in early 2025. The company's revenue growth has been inconsistent, with Q1 FY2026 (June 2025) showing $864.3 million, and Q4 FY2025 (March 2025) at $924.3 million, suggesting a plateau or modest contraction. This slowdown is partly due to project timing and global solar market dynamics, but the raised revenue outlook for the coming year provides optimism for a rebound.
Quarterly Revenue
$880517000.0B
2026-03
Revenue YoY Growth
-4.7%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
33.8%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$515627000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is NXT Overvalued?
Given Nextpower's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE stands at 30.44x, while the forward PE is 17.55x, indicating that the market expects significant earnings growth in the next year. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests that analysts anticipate a substantial increase in EPS, which is supported by the estimated EPS average of $9.22 for the forward period, up from the trailing EPS of approximately $3.33. This implies a forward earnings growth rate of over 175%, which is aggressive and may be optimistic.
PE
30.4x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range 8x~30x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
22.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple