OSCR

Oscar Health

$29.93

+4.87%
Jun 23, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Oscar Health, Inc. is a healthcare technology company that operates in the Medical - Healthcare Plans industry, selling Individual & Family insurance plans and providing health technology solutions primarily through federal and state-run Affordable Care Act (ACA) exchanges. The company positions itself as a technology-driven disruptor, leveraging its full-stack platform to differentiate its member experience and administrative efficiency within the traditional insurance landscape. The current investor narrative is dominated by a debate over its path to sustainable profitability, juxtaposed against its rapid revenue growth and recent positive momentum in the stock price, with recent news highlighting its potential as an undervalued growth story following a period of significant price decline.

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OSCR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $29.93
Average Target $29.93
High Target $34.4195
Low Target $25.4405

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Oscar Health's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $38.91 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$38.91

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$24 - $39

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Analyst coverage is limited, with only 3 analysts providing estimates, which is typical for a smaller, recently public company and can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The consensus sentiment is difficult to gauge precisely without explicit buy/hold/sell ratings, but the institutional ratings data shows recent mixed actions, including upgrades to Neutral and Equal Weight from Sell/Underweight in early 2026, alongside maintained Underweight ratings, indicating a cautiously improving but still skeptical view. The target price range implied by EPS estimates is wide, with a low of $2.52 and a high of $2.95, representing a spread of about 17% around the average of $2.82; this spread signals moderate uncertainty among the covering analysts regarding the company's future earnings power, with the high target likely baking in successful execution on growth and margin improvement, while the low target may factor in ongoing competitive and profitability challenges.

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OSCR Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful recovery and uptrend phase, evidenced by a 1-year price change of +51.31% and a staggering 3-month surge of +124.86%. As of the latest data, the price of $28.40 sits near the top of its 52-week range, approximately 95% of the way towards its 52-week high of $29.81, indicating strong momentum but also potential overextension and proximity to a major technical resistance level. Recent short-term momentum is exceptionally strong, with a 1-month gain of +15.82% and a 3-month gain of +124.86%, significantly outpacing the broader market (SPY's +0.74% and +15.14% over the same periods), confirming acceleration within the longer-term uptrend. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate resistance at the 52-week high of $29.81 and support at the 52-week low of $10.69; a decisive breakout above $29.81 would signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a failure could lead to consolidation. The stock exhibits extreme volatility with a beta of 2.391, meaning it is approximately 139% more volatile than the SPY, which is critical for risk management and explains the dramatic price swings, including a maximum drawdown of -51.71% within the provided period.

Beta

2.39

2.39x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-51.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$11-$30

Price range past year

Annual Return

+46.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodOSCR ReturnS&P 500
1m+32.2%-1.6%
3m+145.1%+11.7%
6m+100.5%+6.3%
1y+46.6%+22.2%
ytd+99.9%+7.6%

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OSCR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is robust but showing signs of quarterly volatility; the most recent Q4 2025 revenue was $2.81 billion, representing a 17.25% year-over-year increase, yet this follows a sequential decline from Q3's $2.99 billion, indicating potential seasonality or lumpiness in the business model. The company remains unprofitable on a net income basis, posting a Q4 2025 net loss of -$352.6 million, though the gross margin of 6.6% for that quarter was a significant compression from the 13.4% gross margin in Q3 2025, highlighting ongoing margin pressure and the challenge of achieving underwriting profitability. The balance sheet and cash flow picture is mixed; the company generated positive free cash flow of $1.06 billion on a TTM basis and holds a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, but its current ratio of 0.95 indicates potential liquidity constraints in covering short-term obligations, and a negative Return on Equity (ROE) of -45.33% reflects inefficient use of shareholder capital amidst losses.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.8B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.17%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.06%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

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Valuation Analysis: Is OSCR Overvalued?

Given the consistent net losses (Net Income ≤ 0), the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is 0.32, while the forward-looking metric is not explicitly provided, but the EV/Sales ratio of 0.17 suggests the market is valuing the company at a steep discount to its revenue base. Compared to industry averages, specific sector multiples are not provided in the data, but a PS ratio of 0.32 is generally considered low for a growth-oriented healthcare technology company, potentially indicating a significant discount if the market is skeptical of its path to profitability. Historically, the stock's own PS ratio has fluctuated wildly, from a high of 13.99 in early 2021 down to the current 0.32; trading near the absolute bottom of its historical range suggests the market is pricing in substantial pessimism, which could represent a deep value opportunity if the company's fundamentals improve, but also reflects the real risk of continued fundamental deterioration.

PE

-8.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -28x~17x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

-3.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple