RKT

Rocket Companies

$13.18

+6.72%
Jun 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Rocket Companies, Inc. is a financial services company primarily operating in the mortgage industry, best known for its Rocket Mortgage business. The company has established itself as a leading digital-first mortgage originator, leveraging a direct-to-consumer platform and a partner network of brokers to capture market share. The current investor narrative is dominated by the company's sensitivity to interest rate cycles and housing market dynamics, with recent news highlighting how rising mortgage rates, driven by geopolitical tensions, are creating a challenging environment for mortgage originators, juxtaposing potential regulatory tailwinds against significant cyclical headwinds.

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RKT 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $13.18
Average Target $13.18
High Target $15.156999999999998
Low Target $11.203

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Rocket Companies's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $17.13 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$17.13

4 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

4

covering this stock

Price Range

$11 - $17

Analyst target range

Buy
1 (25%)
Hold
2 (50%)
Sell
1 (25%)

Analyst coverage is limited, with only 4 analysts providing estimates, indicating this is not a widely followed large-cap stock. The consensus sentiment appears mixed, with recent institutional ratings including one upgrade to 'Outperform' and several reiterations of 'Neutral' or 'Sector Perform' equivalents. The average estimated EPS for the next period is $1.275, with a range from $0.79 to $1.70, and the average estimated revenue is $14.22 billion. A specific consensus price target is not provided in the data, which limits the calculation of implied upside or downside. The wide range in EPS estimates signals high uncertainty regarding the company's near-term earnings power. The limited coverage and lack of a clear price target consensus typically suggest higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as the stock's moves are driven more by macro factors (like mortgage rates) and company-specific news rather than a deep analyst following.

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RKT Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, having declined 30.48% over the past six months and 33.45% year-to-date, significantly underperforming the broader market. Currently trading at $13.23, the price is near the bottom of its 52-week range, sitting just 6.9% above its 52-week low of $12.38 and 45.7% below its 52-week high of $24.36; this positioning near multi-year lows suggests the stock is in a deep value territory but also reflects severe negative momentum and investor pessimism. Recent momentum remains weak, with the stock down 6.10% over the past month and 11.51% over the past three months, indicating the selling pressure is persistent and not showing signs of a meaningful reversal. The stock's beta of 2.247 indicates it is approximately 125% more volatile than the S&P 500, which is critical for risk assessment as it amplifies both downside and potential upside moves. Key technical support is clearly defined at the 52-week low of $12.38, while resistance is established at the 52-week high of $24.36; a sustained breakdown below $12.38 could trigger another leg down, whereas a recovery above the $15-$16 level would be a first step toward challenging the downtrend.

Beta

2.20

2.20x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-47.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$12-$24

Price range past year

Annual Return

+3.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodRKT ReturnS&P 500
1m-16.0%-0.1%
3m-13.0%+9.0%
6m-31.9%+7.0%
1y+3.4%+22.9%
ytd-33.7%+8.1%

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RKT Fundamental Analysis

Revenue has shown extreme volatility, with the most recent Q4 2025 figure at $2.497 billion, representing a significant 36.04% year-over-year growth from Q4 2024's $1.835 billion; however, this strong quarterly result masks a highly inconsistent multi-quarter trend, as revenue plunged to $1.101 billion in Q1 2025 before recovering. The Direct to Customer segment generated $1.591 billion in the latest period, substantially larger than the Partner Network's $238.6 million, indicating the core direct business is the primary growth driver. Profitability is erratic, with the company reporting a net income of $68 million in Q4 2025 (a net margin of 2.72%) following a net loss of $123.9 million in Q3 2025; the gross margin remains high at 87.42% in Q4, but operating leverage is challenged by significant operating expenses. The trailing twelve-month free cash flow is deeply negative at -$4.07 billion, and the most recent quarterly operating cash flow was -$1.230 billion, indicating the company is burning substantial cash. The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 0, suggesting a strong equity base, but the current ratio of 16.62 is inflated by short-term assets that may not be highly liquid, and the negative cash flow generation raises concerns about long-term financial sustainability without external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.5B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.36%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.87%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-4.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Direct To Customer Segment
Partner Network Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is RKT Overvalued?

Given the company's inconsistent profitability, with a trailing net income marginally positive in Q4 but a trailing twelve-month EPS of -$0.0014, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The stock trades at a trailing PS ratio of 6.94x and an EV/Sales of 7.36x. This valuation must be compared to industry averages, but specific sector multiples are not provided in the data; however, given the cyclical and capital-intensive nature of mortgage origination, a PS ratio near 7x appears elevated absent consistent profitability. Historically, the stock's own PS ratio has fluctuated wildly, from a low near 0.56x in late 2022 to highs above 21x in late 2025; the current 6.94x sits below the peak but above the trough, suggesting the market is pricing in a recovery scenario but remains skeptical given the cash burn and operational volatility. The forward P/E of 12.18x, based on estimated EPS of $1.275, implies the market expects a return to profitability, but the wide gap with the negative trailing P/E of -702.12x highlights the extreme uncertainty and binary nature of the earnings recovery thesis.

PE

-702.1x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -340x~355x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

68.9x

Enterprise Value Multiple