RMD

Resmed

$219.51

-1.14%
Apr 23, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
ResMed Inc. is a global leader in the healthcare sector, specifically within the Medical Instruments & Supplies industry, developing and supplying medical devices and software solutions for sleep apnea, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), and other respiratory conditions. The company is a dominant market player, distinguished by its integrated ecosystem of cloud-connected devices and its strategic focus on digital health, which aims to leverage clinical data to improve patient outcomes in out-of-hospital settings. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to sustain growth in its core sleep apnea business against a backdrop of increasing market penetration, while simultaneously navigating competitive pressures and integrating its software acquisitions to drive recurring revenue streams and margin expansion.

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RMD 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $219.51
Average Target $219.51
High Target $252.43649999999997
Low Target $186.5835

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Resmed's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $285.36 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$285.36

10 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

10

covering this stock

Price Range

$176 - $285

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (30%)
Hold
5 (50%)
Sell
2 (20%)

The stock is covered by 10 analysts, with recent institutional ratings showing a mix of 'Outperform', 'Equal Weight', and 'Hold' stances, indicating a consensus that leans neutral to cautiously optimistic. While a specific average target price is not provided in the data, the estimated EPS consensus for the forward period is $16.20 on estimated revenue of $7.78 billion, providing a basis for valuation models that analysts are likely using. The range of analyst actions, including a recent downgrade from Baird from 'Outperform' to 'Neutral' in December 2025 followed by other firms reiterating their ratings, signals a period of reassessment and moderate uncertainty regarding near-term catalysts, which is typical for a stock undergoing a significant price correction as seen in the technical data.

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RMD Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend, having declined 14.91% over the past six months and 11.44% over the last three months, significantly underperforming the broader market as evidenced by a -14.11% 3-month relative strength versus the SPY. Currently trading at $228.12, the price sits just 9.0% above its 52-week low of $209.31, positioning it in the lower 9th percentile of its annual range, which suggests the stock is deeply oversold and may represent a value opportunity, though it also risks being a 'falling knife' if the negative momentum persists. Recent short-term momentum shows a modest 10.53% gain over the past month, which diverges positively from the longer-term downtrend and could signal the beginning of a tentative recovery or a bear market rally; however, this is juxtaposed against a beta of 0.928, indicating the stock has been slightly less volatile than the market during this turbulent period. Key technical support is firmly established at the 52-week low of $209.31, while resistance lies at the 52-week high of $293.81; a decisive break below support would likely trigger further selling and confirm the bearish trend, whereas a sustained move above the recent local highs near $260 could signal a more meaningful reversal is underway.

Beta

0.93

0.93x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-25.3%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$217-$294

Price range past year

Annual Return

+2.4%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodRMD ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.8%+8.5%
3m-13.0%+2.8%
6m-15.4%+4.6%
1y+2.4%+32.3%
ytd-10.3%+3.9%

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RMD Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains healthy but shows signs of sequential deceleration; the most recent quarterly revenue of $1.42 billion represents a 10.98% year-over-year increase, yet this growth rate has moderated from the prior quarter's 11.0% YoY growth on a revenue base of $1.34 billion, indicating a stable but not accelerating top-line trajectory. The company is highly profitable, with a net income of $392.6 million in the last quarter and robust gross and operating margins of 62.18% and 34.97%, respectively; these margins have expanded sequentially from the prior quarter's gross margin of 61.46% and operating margin of 33.43%, demonstrating effective cost management and operating leverage. Financially, ResMed is exceptionally strong, boasting a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14, a high return on equity of 23.47%, and substantial free cash flow generation of $1.79 billion on a trailing twelve-month basis, which provides ample liquidity for funding growth initiatives, dividends, and share repurchases without reliance on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.4B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.10%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.62%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is RMD Overvalued?

Given the company's consistent profitability, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE stands at 27.02x, while the forward PE is notably lower at 18.74x; this significant gap implies the market is pricing in expectations for substantial earnings growth over the next twelve months. Compared to sector averages, ResMed's trailing PE of 27.02x and Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 7.36x are at a premium, though the forward PE of 18.74x and EV/Sales of 5.96x are more in line with high-quality medical device peers, suggesting the current price may already reflect its superior margins and growth profile. Historically, the stock's current trailing PE of 27.02x is below its own multi-year range seen in the historical data, which has frequently exceeded 30x, indicating the stock is trading at a relative discount to its own history, which could be attractive if the company's fundamental growth trajectory remains intact.

PE

27.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -90x~50x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

19.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure