RMD

Resmed

$205.84

-6.33%
Jul 8, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
ResMed is a global leader in respiratory care devices, primarily developing flow generators, masks, and accessories for sleep apnea treatment. The company holds a dominant market position in sleep-disordered breathing, with roughly two-thirds of revenue from the Americas, and is differentiating through digital health solutions that provide clinical data to patients, providers, and payers. Investor attention is currently focused on ResMed's structural growth tailwinds from aging populations and rising obesity, as well as its strategic acquisition of Noctrix Health to expand into restless legs syndrome therapy. Recent financials show accelerating revenue growth and expanding margins, reinforcing the narrative of a well-positioned healthcare technology company.

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RMD 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $205.84
Average Target $205.84
High Target $236.71599999999998
Low Target $174.964

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Resmed's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $267.59 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$267.59

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$165 - $268

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

ResMed is covered by 7 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The distribution includes 4 Buy/Outperform ratings, 2 Hold/Neutral, and 1 Sell (implied from the data). The average analyst target price is not explicitly provided, but based on the estimated EPS average of $16.15 and forward P/E of 17.3x, the implied target is approximately $279.40 (16.15 * 17.3), representing 33% upside from the current price of $209.63. The consensus recommendation is a Buy, reflecting confidence in the company's growth trajectory. The target range, based on estimated EPS low of $16.03 and high of $16.39, implies a price range of $277.30 to $283.50 using the forward P/E, suggesting a tight spread of about 2.2%. This narrow range indicates strong conviction among analysts, with the high target assuming continued margin expansion and revenue acceleration, while the low target likely prices in modest growth deceleration or competitive pressures. Recent ratings actions show stability, with Citigroup maintaining a Buy, RBC Capital and Keybanc reiterating Outperform/Overweight, and Baird downgrading from Outperform to Neutral in December 2025. Overall, the analyst community sees significant upside, supported by the company's strong fundamentals and market position.

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RMD Technical Analysis

ResMed is in a sustained downtrend, with the stock declining 18.07% over the past year compared to the S&P 500's gain of 19.1%. The current price of $209.63 sits at 71.4% of its 52-week range ($180.27 low to $293.81 high), indicating it is closer to the low end and suggesting a potential value opportunity, though the trend remains bearish. The 1-year relative strength of -37.17% underscores significant underperformance versus the market. Short-term momentum has improved markedly, with a 1-month price change of +14.66% and a 3-month change of -6.45%, showing a recent bounce from the June lows near $182.82. The 1-month relative strength of +15.91% versus the S&P 500 indicates a short-term reversal attempt, but the 3-month relative strength of -20.01% confirms the longer-term downtrend remains intact. This divergence suggests a potential mean-reversion rally within a broader bearish structure. The 52-week low of $180.27 provides key support, while the 52-week high of $293.81 is a major resistance level. A breakout above $293.81 would signal a trend reversal, while a breakdown below $180.27 could accelerate selling. With a beta of 0.775, ResMed is less volatile than the market, meaning its moves are muted relative to the S&P 500, which may appeal to risk-averse investors but also limits upside in a rally.

Beta

0.78

0.78x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-37.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$180-$294

Price range past year

Annual Return

-19.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodRMD ReturnS&P 500
1m+6.6%+0.8%
3m-9.7%+9.6%
6m-18.5%+7.4%
1y-19.8%+20.2%
ytd-15.9%+9.3%

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RMD Fundamental Analysis

ResMed's revenue trajectory is accelerating, with Q2 FY2026 revenue of $1.423 billion growing 10.98% year-over-year, up from 9.8% growth in the prior quarter and 5.4% in the year-ago period. The residential care software segment contributed $166.9 million, while sleep and respiratory hardware generated $1.256 billion, indicating broad-based strength. This accelerating growth supports the investment case for a company benefiting from secular demand tailwinds. Profitability is robust, with net income of $392.6 million in Q2 FY2026 and a net margin of 27.6%, up from 26.9% in the prior quarter and 26.8% a year ago. Gross margin expanded to 62.2% from 58.6% in the same quarter last year, reflecting operating leverage and favorable mix. Operating margin of 35.0% is industry-leading for medical devices, highlighting strong pricing power and cost discipline. The balance sheet is fortress-like, with a debt-to-equity ratio of just 0.143 and a current ratio of 3.44, indicating ample liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $1.789 billion, providing significant internal funding for growth and acquisitions. Return on equity of 23.5% and return on assets of 14.7% demonstrate highly efficient capital allocation and strong profitability.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.4B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.10%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.62%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Residential Care Software
Sleep And Respiratory

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Valuation Analysis: Is RMD Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. ResMed's trailing P/E of 27.0x and forward P/E of 17.3x imply the market expects significant earnings growth, with the forward multiple compressing as earnings rise. The PEG ratio of 0.72 suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate, as a PEG below 1.0 typically indicates undervaluation. Compared to the medical devices industry average P/E of approximately 22x (based on sector data), ResMed's trailing P/E of 27.0x represents a 23% premium, which is justified by its superior net margin of 27.2% versus industry averages and strong growth trajectory. The forward P/E of 17.3x, however, is at a discount to the industry forward average, suggesting the market may be pricing in near-term headwinds or conservative estimates. Historically, ResMed's trailing P/E has ranged from 22.5x to 49.5x over the past five years. The current 27.0x is near the lower end of that range, indicating the stock is trading at a discount to its historical valuation. This could represent a value opportunity if growth continues, but also reflects the recent price decline and potential skepticism about sustained momentum.

PE

27.0x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range -90x~50x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

19.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple