TSN

Tyson Foods

$62.00

-6.09%
May 28, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Tyson Foods, Inc. is a protein-focused food producer operating in the Agricultural Farm Products industry, selling raw chicken, beef, pork, and prepared foods under well-known brands like Tyson, Jimmy Dean, and Hillshire Farm. The company is a dominant market leader in the U.S. protein sector, with chicken and beef composing approximately 40% and 30% of sales respectively, though it faces intense competition in its prepared foods segment. The current investor narrative centers on the company's operational resilience and strategic pivot, as recent earnings reports highlight strong performance in chicken and prepared foods offsetting a significant slump in the beef segment, with management raising full-year guidance amidst a historic cattle shortage driving record beef prices.

People also watch

Archer Daniels Midland

Archer Daniels Midland

ADM

Analysis
Bunge Limited

Bunge Limited

BG

Analysis
Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock

Smithfield Foods, Inc. Common Stock

SFD

Analysis
Cal-Maine

Cal-Maine

CALM

Analysis
Walmart Inc. Common Stock

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

WMT

Analysis

TSN 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $62
Average Target $62
High Target $71.3
Low Target $52.699999999999996

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Tyson Foods's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $80.60 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$80.60

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$50 - $81

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Analyst coverage for Tyson Foods appears limited, with only 2 analysts providing estimates for revenue and EPS, suggesting this large-cap stock may have subdued institutional interest at present. The consensus sentiment, inferred from recent institutional rating actions, is mixed but leans cautiously optimistic, with recent upgrades from BMO Capital to 'Outperform' and a maintained 'Overweight' from Barclays, balanced by 'Neutral' ratings from JP Morgan and Piper Sandler. The average revenue estimate for the fiscal year is $60.71 billion, with a range from $59.83B to $61.53B, indicating a relatively tight spread and moderate growth expectations. The average EPS estimate is $6.59, with a low of $6.46 and a high of $6.70. The narrow target range for EPS, a spread of just 3.7%, signals stronger analyst conviction in the near-term earnings trajectory, likely tied to management's guidance. The wide disparity in recent rating actions—from upgrades to downgrades—highlights the ongoing debate regarding the company's ability to navigate commodity cycles and execute its margin recovery plan.

Drowning in data?

Find the real signal!

TSN Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained uptrend, evidenced by a 1-year price change of +17.25% and a 6-month gain of +21.20%. As of the latest close at $65.05, the price is trading at approximately 94% of its 52-week high of $69.48, indicating the stock is near its recent peak and may be testing a key resistance level, which suggests strong momentum but also potential for overextension. Recent short-term momentum shows signs of consolidation, with a modest 1-month gain of +0.77% and a 3-month gain of +1.86%, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's respective gains of +4.84% and +8.15%, as reflected in negative relative strength figures of -4.07 and -6.29 over those periods. This divergence from the longer-term uptrend signals a potential pause or pullback as the stock digests its earlier gains, with average daily volume of 2.03 million shares providing adequate liquidity. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $50.56, while immediate resistance is the 52-week high of $69.48. A decisive breakout above $69.48 would signal a continuation of the bullish trend, whereas a breakdown below the recent consolidation range around $63-$65 could test lower support levels. The stock exhibits low market-relative volatility, with a beta of 0.394, meaning it is approximately 60% less volatile than the broader market (SPY), which is characteristic of a defensive consumer staples name and implies lower systematic risk for investors.

Beta

0.39

0.39x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-18.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$51-$69

Price range past year

Annual Return

+12.0%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodTSN ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.3%+6.0%
3m-4.6%+10.0%
6m+6.8%+10.4%
1y+12.0%+28.4%
ytd+6.8%+10.7%

Bobby - Your AI Investment Partner

Get real-time data, AI-driven personalized investment analysis to make smarter investment decisions

TSN Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been modest but positive, with the most recent Q1 FY2026 revenue of $14.31 billion representing a year-over-year increase of 5.06%. However, examining the multi-quarter trend reveals volatility; revenue grew from $13.07B in Q2 FY2025 to $14.31B in Q1 FY2026, but this follows a peak of $13.88B in Q3 FY2025, indicating growth is not consistently accelerating. Segment data from a recent period shows Beef ($5.77B) and Chicken ($4.21B) as the primary revenue drivers, with Prepared Foods ($2.67B) also contributing significantly, though the beef segment is currently facing a well-publicized industry slump. Profitability is under significant pressure, with net income for Q1 FY2026 at $85 million, translating to a thin net margin of 0.59%. Gross margin for the quarter was 5.73%, a sharp compression from the 8.04% gross margin reported in Q1 FY2025. This margin deterioration over recent quarters, from a high of 8.24% in Q3 FY2025 down to 5.73% in the latest quarter, reflects severe cost pressures in the commodity-driven business, particularly in beef, though the company remains nominally profitable. The balance sheet is conservatively managed with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.49, indicating a moderate level of financial leverage. Liquidity is solid with a current ratio of 1.55. The company generates substantial operating cash flow, with $942 million reported in Q1 FY2026, and trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $1.11 billion, providing ample internal funding for operations, capital expenditures, and its dividend, which currently yields 3.70%. Return on equity is low at 2.62%, reflecting the current period of depressed earnings.

Quarterly Revenue

$14.3B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.05%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.05%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Beef
Chicken
Pork
Prepared Foods

Open an Account, get $2 TSLA now!

Valuation Analysis: Is TSN Overvalued?

Given that net income is positive ($85M in latest quarter), the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE is elevated at 39.79x, while the forward PE is substantially lower at 14.28x. This wide gap implies the market is pricing in a significant recovery in earnings over the next twelve months, aligning with management's raised guidance. Compared to sector averages, Tyson trades at a discount on a Price-to-Sales basis, with a PS ratio of 0.35. While direct industry average multiples are not provided in the data, a PS ratio below 0.5 is generally considered low for a branded food producer, suggesting the market is applying a discount due to its cyclical commodity exposure and current margin pressures, despite its market-leading position. Historically, the current trailing PE of 39.79x is near the upper end of its own range observed over the past several quarters, which has seen extreme volatility from negative values during losses to over 790x during periods of minimal earnings. The current elevated multiple reflects a point in the cycle where earnings are troughing; the stock is pricing in an earnings rebound, leaving little room for error in the anticipated recovery.

PE

39.8x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -54x~791x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

10.3x

Enterprise Value Multiple