WMT

Walmart Inc. Common Stock

$114.78

+0.77%
Jul 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Walmart Inc. is the world's largest retailer, operating over 10,700 stores globally across three segments: Walmart US, Walmart International, and Sam's Club, with a dominant position in grocery and general merchandise. As a market leader in discount retail, Walmart leverages its massive scale, supply chain efficiency, and growing e-commerce presence to serve 270 million weekly customers. The current investor narrative centers on slowing same-store sales growth and a high valuation that leaves little room for error, as highlighted by a recent analyst downgrade and a 20% pullback from highs. Debate persists around whether Walmart can sustain its growth trajectory amid inflationary pressures and increased competition from peers like Target and Costco.

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WMT 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $114.78
Average Target $114.78
High Target $132.00
Low Target $97.56

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Walmart Inc. Common Stock's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $149.21 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$149.21

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$92 - $149

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Walmart is covered by 7 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish: the average target price is not explicitly provided, but based on estimated EPS of $4.05 and a forward P/E of 34.7x, the implied target is approximately $140.60, representing 23% upside from the current price of $113.90. The estimated EPS range ($3.96–$4.12) and revenue range ($876B–$903B) indicate moderate dispersion, with the high end assuming stronger sales growth and margin improvement. Recent ratings are predominantly positive (Buy/Outperform), though one downgrade to Hold by HSBC in February 2026 suggests some caution. The wide target spread reflects uncertainty around near-term same-store sales and the sustainability of Walmart's valuation premium.

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WMT Technical Analysis

Walmart is in a corrective phase within a longer-term uptrend, with the stock down 10.2% over the past three months and 5.5% in the last month, despite a 20.1% gain over the past year. The current price of $113.90 sits at 45% of its 52-week range ($94.23–$135.16), indicating a significant pullback from the highs and suggesting the stock is testing support levels rather than exhibiting momentum. The 1-year change of +20.1% still reflects a strong uptrend, but the recent decline has erased much of the year's gains, with the YTD change at just +1.0%.

Beta

0.60

0.60x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-18.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$94-$135

Price range past year

Annual Return

+21.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodWMT ReturnS&P 500
1m-5.2%+1.0%
3m-8.2%+7.9%
6m-4.4%+8.5%
1y+21.6%+20.1%
ytd+1.8%+9.9%

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WMT Fundamental Analysis

Walmart's revenue growth remains steady but decelerating: Q4 FY2026 revenue of $190.7 billion grew 5.6% YoY, down from 6.6% in Q3 and 7.0% in Q2. The Walmart US segment, contributing 68% of sales, is the primary growth driver, while International and Sam's Club provide diversification. The company's profitability is solid, with a gross margin of 24.7% and an operating margin of 4.6% in Q4, though net income of $4.24 billion (net margin 2.2%) was pressured by higher costs. Free cash flow TTM of $14.9 billion is robust, and the debt-to-equity ratio of 0.67 indicates a conservative capital structure, while ROE of 22.0% reflects strong shareholder returns.

Quarterly Revenue

$190.7B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+5.60%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

24.67%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$14.9B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Sams Club
Walmart International
Walmart U S

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Valuation Analysis: Is WMT Overvalued?

Given Walmart's positive net income, the trailing P/E of 43.5x is the primary valuation metric, while the forward P/E of 34.7x implies the market expects earnings growth to moderate the multiple. Compared to the industry average P/E of 22x (estimated), Walmart trades at a 98% premium, reflecting its scale, stability, and defensive nature. Historically, the current trailing P/E is near the top of its 5-year range (13.6x–56.0x), suggesting the market is pricing in optimistic expectations for continued growth and margin expansion, leaving limited upside if results disappoint.

PE

43.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -54x~243x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple