DLTR

Dollar Tree Inc.

$108.44

-0.24%
Apr 2, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Dollar Tree Inc. operates as a leading discount store chain in the Consumer Defensive sector. It is a major value retailer with a core advantage in offering a wide range of merchandise primarily under $2, targeting cost-conscious shoppers.

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DLTR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $108.44
Average Target $108.44
High Target $124.70599999999999
Low Target $92.17399999999999

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Dollar Tree Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $140.97 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$140.97

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$87 - $141

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Wall Street analyst coverage for DLTR shows a mixed consensus. Recent institutional ratings include actions such as 'Buy' from Guggenheim and Truist, 'Outperform' from Telsey, but also 'Underperform' from B of A Securities and Jefferies, alongside several 'Neutral' or 'Market Perform' ratings. No sufficient analyst coverage available regarding a specific consensus target price or detailed ratings distribution from the provided data.

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DLTR Technical Analysis

Overall Assessment: The stock has demonstrated significant volatility over the past six months, with a notable rally from around $90 in October 2025 to a peak above $140 in January 2026, followed by a sharp correction. The 6-month price change is +21.35%, indicating a strong overall uptrend despite recent weakness. Short-term Performance: The stock has experienced substantial recent pressure, declining 13.42% over the past month and 10.97% over the past three months. This underperforms the broader market, as indicated by negative relative strength figures of -8.17 and -6.34 against the S&P 500 for the respective periods. Current Position: The current price of $109.51 sits approximately 23% below its 52-week high of $142.40 and about 77% above its 52-week low of $61.87. This places the stock in the upper-mid range of its yearly trading band, having retreated significantly from its recent highs.

Beta

0.69

0.69x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-27.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$62-$142

Price range past year

Annual Return

+39.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodDLTR ReturnS&P 500
1m-8.4%-3.6%
3m-15.1%-4.0%
6m+20.5%-2.0%
1y+39.8%+16.2%
ytd-15.1%-3.8%

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DLTR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue & Profitability: The latest quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) was $5.45 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 9.02%. Profitability has shown strong improvement, with the net margin for the quarter at 9.29%, a significant recovery from negative margins in the prior year's comparable quarter. Financial Health: The company's debt-to-equity ratio is elevated at 1.23, indicating a leveraged balance sheet. However, cash flow generation appears robust, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow reported at $1.40 billion, supporting financial flexibility. Operational Efficiency: Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 34.16%, indicating effective use of shareholder capital. The current ratio is 1.07, suggesting adequate, though not excessive, short-term liquidity to cover obligations.

Quarterly Revenue

$5.5B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.09%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.39%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.4B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

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Valuation Analysis: Is DLTR Overvalued?

Valuation Level: Given the company's positive net income, the trailing P/E ratio of 18.87 is the primary valuation metric. This suggests the market is valuing the company's earnings at a moderate multiple. The forward P/E of 14.80, based on analyst estimates, implies expectations for earnings growth. Peer Comparison: Data not available for direct industry average comparisons. However, the EV/EBITDA of 12.51 and Price/Sales ratio of 1.25 provide additional context for its valuation relative to its own sales and operating profit.

PE

18.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -4x~42x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

12.5x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure