Dollar Tree Inc.
DLTR
$108.44
-0.24%
Dollar Tree Inc. operates as a leading discount store chain in the Consumer Defensive sector. It is a major value retailer with a core advantage in offering a wide range of merchandise primarily under $2, targeting cost-conscious shoppers.
DLTR
Dollar Tree Inc.
$108.44
DLTR 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Dollar Tree Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $140.97 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$140.97
3 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
3
covering this stock
Price Range
$87 - $141
Analyst target range
Wall Street analyst coverage for DLTR shows a mixed consensus. Recent institutional ratings include actions such as 'Buy' from Guggenheim and Truist, 'Outperform' from Telsey, but also 'Underperform' from B of A Securities and Jefferies, alongside several 'Neutral' or 'Market Perform' ratings. No sufficient analyst coverage available regarding a specific consensus target price or detailed ratings distribution from the provided data.
DLTR Technical Analysis
Overall Assessment: The stock has demonstrated significant volatility over the past six months, with a notable rally from around $90 in October 2025 to a peak above $140 in January 2026, followed by a sharp correction. The 6-month price change is +21.35%, indicating a strong overall uptrend despite recent weakness. Short-term Performance: The stock has experienced substantial recent pressure, declining 13.42% over the past month and 10.97% over the past three months. This underperforms the broader market, as indicated by negative relative strength figures of -8.17 and -6.34 against the S&P 500 for the respective periods. Current Position: The current price of $109.51 sits approximately 23% below its 52-week high of $142.40 and about 77% above its 52-week low of $61.87. This places the stock in the upper-mid range of its yearly trading band, having retreated significantly from its recent highs.
Beta
0.69
0.69x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-27.4%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$62-$142
Price range past year
Annual Return
+39.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | DLTR Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -8.4% | -3.6% |
| 3m | -15.1% | -4.0% |
| 6m | +20.5% | -2.0% |
| 1y | +39.8% | +16.2% |
| ytd | -15.1% | -3.8% |
Bobby - Your AI Investment Partner
Get real-time data, AI-driven personalized investment analysis to make smarter investment decisions
DLTR Fundamental Analysis
Revenue & Profitability: The latest quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) was $5.45 billion, representing a year-over-year growth of 9.02%. Profitability has shown strong improvement, with the net margin for the quarter at 9.29%, a significant recovery from negative margins in the prior year's comparable quarter. Financial Health: The company's debt-to-equity ratio is elevated at 1.23, indicating a leveraged balance sheet. However, cash flow generation appears robust, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow reported at $1.40 billion, supporting financial flexibility. Operational Efficiency: Return on Equity (ROE) is strong at 34.16%, indicating effective use of shareholder capital. The current ratio is 1.07, suggesting adequate, though not excessive, short-term liquidity to cover obligations.
Quarterly Revenue
$5.5B
2026-01
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.09%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.39%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.4B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
Open an Account, get $2 TSLA now!
Valuation Analysis: Is DLTR Overvalued?
Valuation Level: Given the company's positive net income, the trailing P/E ratio of 18.87 is the primary valuation metric. This suggests the market is valuing the company's earnings at a moderate multiple. The forward P/E of 14.80, based on analyst estimates, implies expectations for earnings growth. Peer Comparison: Data not available for direct industry average comparisons. However, the EV/EBITDA of 12.51 and Price/Sales ratio of 1.25 provide additional context for its valuation relative to its own sales and operating profit.
PE
18.9x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -4x~42x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
12.5x
Enterprise Value Multiple

