CVS Health
CVS
$105.90
+1.68%
CVS Health is a diversified healthcare services company operating retail pharmacies, a pharmacy benefit manager (PBM), and a health insurer, serving millions of customers across the U.S. It is a market leader in the integrated healthcare space, uniquely combining a retail footprint of ~9,000 stores, a PBM processing ~2 billion claims annually, and a top-tier insurer covering ~27 million medical members. The current investor narrative centers on a powerful turnaround driven by improving medical cost trends in its insurance segment, a favorable Medicare payment decision, and raised guidance, which have fueled a significant stock rally and debate about the sustainability of this momentum.…
CVS
CVS Health
$105.90
Related headlines
CVS 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on CVS Health's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $137.67 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$137.67
7 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
7
covering this stock
Price Range
$85 - $138
Analyst target range
CVS is covered by 7 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The average EPS estimate for the current fiscal year is $12.20, with a range of $11.93 to $12.73. The average revenue estimate is $498.7 billion, implying 24% growth from the trailing twelve months. While specific price targets are not provided, the consensus EPS implies a forward P/E of 8.5x at the current price, suggesting significant upside if achieved. Recent ratings include upgrades from Bernstein (Outperform) and reaffirmations from B of A Securities (Buy) and UBS (Buy), indicating positive sentiment. The high EPS estimate of $12.73 implies a forward P/E of 8.2x, while the low estimate of $11.93 implies 8.7x. The narrow spread (6.7% between high and low) suggests relatively high conviction among analysts. The recent upgrade from Bernstein from Market Perform to Outperform in March 2026 and the string of Buy ratings from multiple firms signal growing confidence in the turnaround. If the company delivers on its raised guidance, the stock could re-rate higher, but any miss could lead to sharp downside given the elevated expectations.
CVS Technical Analysis
CVS is in a strong uptrend, with the stock up 58.7% over the past year, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 20.6% gain. The current price of $104.15 sits at 98.1% of its 52-week range ($58.50–$106.15), indicating the stock is near its highs and reflecting strong bullish momentum. This positioning suggests the market is pricing in continued positive catalysts, though it also raises the risk of short-term overextension. Short-term momentum is accelerating: the 1-month price change is +6.3% and the 3-month change is +31.3%, both outpacing the S&P 500's respective gains of 4.1% and 11.1%. This divergence from the broader market signals strong stock-specific catalysts, including the recent earnings beat and raised guidance. The relative strength over 1-month (2.18) and 3-month (20.18) confirms CVS is leading the market. The 52-week low of $58.50 provides a key support level, while the 52-week high of $106.15 is a near-term resistance. A breakout above $106.15 would signal further upside momentum, while a breakdown below $100 could indicate a pullback. CVS's beta of 0.60 is lower than the market, meaning it is 40% less volatile than the S&P 500, which may appeal to risk-averse investors but also implies less upside participation in strong markets.
Beta
0.60
0.60x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-16.4%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$59-$106
Price range past year
Annual Return
+63.5%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | CVS Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +3.9% | +1.0% |
| 3m | +36.4% | +7.9% |
| 6m | +33.5% | +8.5% |
| 1y | +63.5% | +20.1% |
| ytd | +32.2% | +9.9% |
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CVS Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth is solid and accelerating: Q4 2025 revenue was $105.7 billion, up 8.2% year-over-year, compared to 6.3% growth in Q4 2024. The trailing twelve-month revenue reached $402.0 billion, driven by strong performance in Pharmacy Revenue ($61.6 billion) and Premiums ($34.0 billion) in the latest quarter. The growth trajectory is supported by the Aetna insurance segment and Oak Street Health's primary care expansion, though the retail front store revenue ($5.7 billion) remains a smaller contributor. Profitability has improved markedly: Q4 2025 net income was $2.94 billion, a sharp recovery from the Q3 2025 loss of $3.98 billion, which was driven by one-time charges. Gross margin was 12.8%, slightly below the prior year's 13.2%, but operating margin improved to 2.0% from 2.4% in Q4 2024. The net margin of 2.8% in Q4 2025 is above the trailing twelve-month net margin of 0.4%, indicating a strong rebound in profitability. The balance sheet is manageable: debt-to-equity is 1.24, and free cash flow for Q4 2025 was $2.61 billion, bringing TTM FCF to $7.81 billion. The current ratio of 0.84 suggests some liquidity pressure, but strong operating cash flow ($3.39 billion in Q4) provides ample coverage. ROE of 2.4% is low but improving from negative levels in Q3 2025, reflecting the earnings recovery.
Quarterly Revenue
$105.7B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+8.2%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
12.8%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$7.8B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is CVS Overvalued?
Since net income is positive ($2.94 billion in Q4 2025), the trailing P/E ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing P/E of 56.7x is elevated, but the forward P/E of 12.4x implies a dramatic earnings recovery expected by analysts. This wide gap (56.7x trailing vs. 12.4x forward) suggests the market anticipates a significant rebound in earnings, which is consistent with the recent guidance raise. Compared to the industry (Medical - Healthcare Plans), CVS's forward P/E of 12.4x is at a discount to the sector average of approximately 18x (based on industry data), representing a 31% discount. This discount may be justified by CVS's lower net margin (0.4% TTM vs. industry average of ~3%) and higher debt levels, but the forward multiple suggests the market sees improvement. Historically, CVS's trailing P/E has ranged from 8.6x (Q4 2025) to 227x (Q3 2024) over the past two years. The current trailing P/E of 56.7x is above the median of ~12x, reflecting the depressed earnings in recent quarters. However, the forward P/E of 12.4x is near the lower end of its historical range, indicating that if earnings materialize as expected, the stock could be undervalued.
PE
56.7x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range -9x~227x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
18.8x
Enterprise Value Multiple

