DOV

Dover Corporation

$201.92

+1.02%
Aug 21, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Dover Corporation is a diversified industrial manufacturer that designs and produces highly engineered components and equipment across five segments, including clean energy and fueling, climate and sustainability technologies, engineered products, imaging and identification, and pumps and process solutions. The company has built a competitive identity as an industrial behemoth through decades of strategic acquisitions, creating a portfolio of trusted brands that serve niche markets globally, with over half of its revenue generated in the United States. Currently, the investor narrative centers on Dover's ability to sustain growth amid mixed end-market demand, as evidenced by its recent quarterly results showing a 10.05% year-over-year revenue increase, while the stock has underperformed the broader market over the past year, prompting debates about its growth prospects and valuation support.

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DOV 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $201.92
Average Target $201.92
High Target $232.21
Low Target $171.63

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Dover Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $246.89 and implied upside of +22.3% versus the current price.

Average Target

$246.89

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+22.3%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$168 - $288

Analyst target range

Dover is covered by 18 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Buy' and a mean recommendation score of 1.61 (where 1 is Strong Buy and 5 is Sell). The average target price is $246.89, which implies an upside of 22.3% from the current price of $201.92. The distribution of ratings is bullish, with no Sell ratings and a majority of Buy or Outperform ratings, as seen in recent actions from Seaport Global (Buy), Citigroup (Buy), and Wells Fargo (Overweight). The target price range spans from $168.00 (low) to $288.00 (high), representing a wide spread of $120, which indicates significant uncertainty about Dover's future performance. The high target of $288 assumes strong execution on growth initiatives and margin expansion, while the low target of $168 suggests concerns about cyclical downturns or margin compression. Recent institutional ratings have been mostly reaffirmations, with no major downgrades, but the wide range and the stock's recent underperformance relative to the S&P 500 (relative strength of -6.66% over 1 year) suggest that analysts are divided on the near-term outlook, though the overall sentiment remains positive.

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DOV Technical Analysis

Dover's stock is currently in a clear downtrend, with the price at $201.92, down 13.45% over the past six months and 5.88% over the past month, while the 1-year change is +13.82%. The stock is trading at 62.5% of its 52-week range (between $158.97 low and $237.54 high), indicating it is closer to the lower end of its yearly range, which often suggests either a value opportunity or a falling knife depending on fundamental support. The 52-week high was reached in early 2026, and the subsequent decline has erased a significant portion of those gains, reflecting a loss of momentum.

Beta

1.16

1.16x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-15.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$159-$238

Price range past year

Annual Return

+13.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodDOV ReturnS&P 500
1m-5.9%+3.6%
3m-3.8%+2.7%
6m-13.5%+11.4%
1y+13.8%+18.7%
ytd+3.2%+12.3%

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DOV Fundamental Analysis

Dover's revenue has shown solid growth, with the most recent quarter (Q1 2026) reporting revenue of $2.0536 billion, a 10.05% year-over-year increase from $1.866 billion in Q1 2025. This growth is supported by a multi-quarter trend of sequential revenue increases from $1.949 billion in Q2 2025 to $2.099 billion in Q4 2025, though Q1 2026 saw a slight dip from Q4. The growth is broad-based across segments, with Clean Energy & Fueling contributing $554.8 million and Pumps & Process Solutions $537.8 million, while Engineered Products lagged at $266.6 million. The company's profitability remains robust, with a gross margin of 38.86% in Q1 2026, slightly down from 39.95% in Q1 2025, and a net margin of 11.61%, up from 12.37% a year ago, indicating stable cost management. Net income for Q1 2026 was $238.4 million, up from $230.8 million in Q1 2025, and EPS grew to $1.77 from $1.68, reflecting a 5.4% increase. Dover's balance sheet is solid, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.51 and a current ratio of 1.79, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months was $1.1376 billion, and the company generated $191.0 million in operating cash flow in Q1 2026, covering its capital expenditures of $59.8 million and dividends of $70.4 million, though it also repurchased $53.9 million in stock, suggesting a balanced capital allocation approach.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.1B

2026-03

Revenue YoY Growth

+10.1%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

38.9%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$1.1B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Clean Energy & Fueling Segment
Climate & Sustainability Technologies Segment
Engineered Products Segment
Imaging & Identification Segment
Pumps & Process Solutions Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is DOV Overvalued?

Given Dover's positive net income, the PE ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PE is 24.50x, while the forward PE is 17.34x, indicating that the market expects significant earnings growth, as the forward multiple is 29% lower than the trailing. This gap suggests that analysts anticipate a substantial increase in EPS, which is supported by the estimated EPS of $14.85 for the next fiscal year, versus the trailing EPS of $8.24 (calculated from net income of $1.137 billion and shares outstanding of 137.9 million). Compared to the industry average PE of 22.5x (based on the provided data), Dover's trailing PE of 24.50x represents a 8.9% premium, but its forward PE of 17.34x is at a 23% discount, implying that the market is pricing in above-average growth. Historically, Dover's PE has ranged from 4.48x (Q4 2024) to 29.44x (Q1 2026), with the current trailing PE of 24.50x near the higher end of that range, suggesting that the stock is not cheap on a historical basis, but the forward multiple indicates a more reasonable valuation if growth materializes.

PE

24.5x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 15x~29x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

15.5x

Enterprise Value Multiple