EQT

EQT

$55.93

+0.27%
May 13, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
EQT Corporation is an independent natural gas production company focused on the Marcellus and Utica shale formations within the Appalachian Basin, serving marketers, utilities, and industrial operators. It is a leading pure-play natural gas producer in the United States, with a vertically integrated model that includes production, gathering, and a transmission joint venture with Blackstone. The current investor narrative is heavily influenced by geopolitical events affecting global energy flows, particularly the recent attack on Qatar's LNG facility, which has sparked a market repricing and created a potential multi-year tailwind for U.S. natural gas exporters like EQT, positioning the company as a critical swing supplier in a splintering global energy market.

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EQT 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $55.93
Average Target $55.93
High Target $64.31949999999999
Low Target $47.5405

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on EQT's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $72.71 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$72.71

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$45 - $73

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Analyst coverage for EQT appears robust, with 7 analysts providing estimates and a series of recent institutional ratings from major firms. The consensus sentiment is bullish, as evidenced by recent actions from firms like Truist Securities upgrading from Hold to Buy and multiple firms maintaining Overweight or Buy ratings. While a specific consensus price target is not provided in the data, the estimated EPS range for the coming year is $7.51 to $8.24, with an average of $7.85, indicating analysts expect strong profitability; applying the forward PE of 12.56x to the average EPS implies a price target around $98.60, which would represent significant upside from the current $58.66, though this is a derived figure as the explicit target is not stated. The wide range in estimated EPS (a spread of $0.74) and the recent news-driven volatility in the sector suggest analyst views incorporate a high degree of uncertainty regarding future natural gas prices and geopolitical impacts. The pattern of recent ratings shows stability and upgrades, signaling growing conviction in the company's strategic position amid shifting global energy dynamics, which should be monitored closely by investors.

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EQT Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained uptrend over the past year, evidenced by a 1-year price change of +16.48%. With a current price of $58.66, it is trading at approximately 53% of its 52-week range ($48.47 to $68.24), indicating a position near the midpoint after a significant rally from the lows. This positioning suggests the stock has recovered from its lows but is not yet at overextended levels, offering a balanced risk-reward profile. Recent momentum shows a divergence from the longer-term trend, with a 1-month price decline of -3.98% contrasting with the positive 1-year performance, while the 3-month change remains positive at +1.61%. This 1-month pullback, coupled with a relative strength reading of -13.96 versus the SPY over the same period, signals a short-term consolidation or profit-taking phase within the broader uptrend, potentially offering a more attractive entry point. Key technical support is at the 52-week low of $48.47, while resistance sits at the recent high of $68.24; a decisive breakout above $68.24 would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend, whereas a breakdown below $48.47 would invalidate the bullish structure. The stock's beta of 0.69 indicates it is approximately 31% less volatile than the broader market (SPY), which is notable for an energy producer and suggests it may offer a more stable equity profile during market turbulence, though its price action remains heavily tied to natural gas fundamentals.

Beta

0.59

0.59x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-18.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$48-$68

Price range past year

Annual Return

-0.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodEQT ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.1%+8.2%
3m-2.2%+9.0%
6m-6.6%+10.5%
1y-0.5%+26.5%
ytd+4.6%+8.9%

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EQT Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been robust but volatile, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $2.27 billion representing a 25.75% year-over-year increase; however, examining sequential quarters reveals volatility, with revenue declining from $2.56 billion in Q2 2025 to the current $2.27 billion in Q4 2025. This pattern indicates that while the annual growth trend is positive, driven by higher natural gas prices and production, quarterly results are subject to commodity price swings, which is typical for the sector. The company is solidly profitable, reporting net income of $677.1 million for Q4 2025 and a trailing net margin of 22.48%; gross margin for the quarter was 45.89%, and the operating margin was 40.23%, demonstrating strong operational leverage. Comparing to the prior year's Q4, net margin has expanded from 23.14%, and gross margin improved from 38.57%, indicating effective cost management and the benefit of favorable pricing, which is critical for EQT's investment case as a low-cost producer. The balance sheet is healthy, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.33 and a current ratio of 0.76, indicating manageable leverage but modest short-term liquidity. More importantly, the company generates substantial cash flow, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $2.85 billion, providing ample internal funding for capital expenditures, dividends (payout ratio of 19.11%), and debt reduction, thereby reducing financial risk and supporting shareholder returns.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.3B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.25%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.45%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.8B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Oil Sales

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Valuation Analysis: Is EQT Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 16.42x, while the forward PE is notably lower at 12.56x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year, likely driven by sustained higher natural gas prices and operational efficiency. Compared to sector averages, EQT's trailing PE of 16.42x appears reasonable for a growth-oriented natural gas producer; however, a direct industry average PE is not provided in the data, so a comparison is made using the provided EV/EBITDA of 7.01x, which suggests the market values its cash generation capability modestly. The stock's current valuation sits within its own historical context, as the historical ratios show a PE range from as low as 1.81x in late 2022 to over 425x during periods of minimal earnings; the current 16.42x is well below the extreme highs and near the middle of its recent historical band, suggesting the market is pricing in a stable earnings outlook without excessive optimism, potentially offering room for multiple expansion if the growth narrative strengthens.

PE

16.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -56x~426x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

7.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple