KBR, Inc.
KBR
$36.61
+6.52%
KBR, Inc., formerly Kellogg Brown & Root, is a global provider of technology, integrated engineering, procurement, construction, and operations and maintenance services, primarily serving government and commercial clients in the engineering and construction industry. The company operates through two segments: Mission Technology Solutions and Sustainable Technology Solutions, positioning it as a diversified contractor with a focus on high-value, technology-driven projects. Currently, the stock is under scrutiny as it navigates a significant revenue decline and a sharp pullback from its 52-week high, despite securing major contract wins like an $8 billion Antarctica deal and a Basra oil project, which have yet to restore investor confidence.…
KBR
KBR, Inc.
$36.61
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KBR 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on KBR, Inc.'s 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $45.86 and implied upside of +25.3% versus the current price.
Average Target
$45.86
0 analysts
Implied Upside
+25.3%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$36 - $60
Analyst target range
KBR is covered by 7 analysts, with a consensus recommendation of 'Buy' (mean rating 2.0 on a 1-5 scale where 1 is Strong Buy). The average target price is $45.86, implying 24.2% upside from the current price of $36.93. The distribution shows 5 Buy ratings, 2 Neutral, and 0 Sell, indicating a bullish consensus. The implied upside is substantial, suggesting analysts believe the recent sell-off is overdone and that the company's contract wins will drive future growth.
The target price range spans from a low of $36.00 to a high of $60.00, representing a wide spread of $24.00, which indicates high uncertainty about the stock's future. The high target of $60.00 assumes a successful execution of the Antarctica and Basra contracts, leading to revenue acceleration and margin expansion. The low target of $36.00 is just below the current price, implying limited downside risk but also reflecting concerns about continued revenue declines or margin compression. Recent ratings actions show a mix: Citigroup and Truist maintain Buy ratings, while B of A Securities and UBS have downgraded to Neutral, suggesting some divergence in sentiment. The wide target spread and mixed rating changes highlight the uncertainty surrounding KBR's turnaround story.
Bulls vs Bears: KBR Investment Factors
KBR presents a classic value-versus-momentum tension. The bull case rests on massive contract wins, a low forward P/E of 8.92x, and strong free cash flow yield of 9.2%, supported by a bullish analyst consensus with 24% upside. However, the bear case is equally compelling: revenue is declining 11% YoY, operating margins are compressing, debt-to-equity is high at 2.08, and the stock has severely underperformed the market. The single most important factor that will determine the investment thesis is whether the $8 billion Antarctica contract and Basra deal translate into visible revenue growth in the coming quarters. If they do, the low valuation could trigger a re-rating; if not, the stock may continue to drift lower. Currently, the bearish evidence from recent financials outweighs the bullish narrative, but the valuation discount provides a margin of safety.
Bullish
- Massive Contract Wins Drive Future Revenue: KBR secured an $8 billion Antarctica contract and a Basra oil deal, which provide long-term revenue visibility. These wins could reverse the recent 11.17% YoY revenue decline seen in Q4 2025.
- Low Forward P/E Suggests Undervaluation: The forward P/E of 8.92x is well below the industry average of 22x and the stock's own historical average, implying significant upside if earnings materialize as analysts expect $4.06 EPS next year.
- Strong Free Cash Flow Yield: Trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $482 million provides a 9.2% yield relative to the current market cap, indicating solid cash generation that can support debt service and dividends.
- Analyst Consensus Bullish with 24% Upside: Seven analysts rate KBR a Buy with an average target of $45.86, implying 24.2% upside from $36.93. The high target of $60 suggests potential for a 62% gain if execution improves.
Bearish
- Revenue Declining 11% YoY: Q4 2025 revenue fell to $1.885 billion from $2.122 billion a year ago, a decline of 11.17%. This marks a clear downtrend that could persist if contract ramp-ups are delayed.
- High Debt-to-Equity Ratio of 2.08: With debt-to-equity at 2.08, KBR is highly leveraged. Interest expense of $45 million in Q4 2025 eats into profits, and any rise in rates could pressure earnings further.
- Operating Margin Compression: Operating margin fell to 7.64% in Q4 2025 from 9.89% in Q3 2025, indicating cost pressures or a shift to lower-margin work. This trend could limit earnings growth.
- Stock Underperforming Market by 38%: Over the past year, KBR fell 21.58% while the S&P 500 gained 16.47%, a relative underperformance of -38.05%. This persistent weakness reflects deep investor skepticism.
KBR Technical Analysis
KBR is in a sustained downtrend, with the stock price declining 21.58% over the past year, significantly underperforming the S&P 500's 16.47% gain. The current price of $36.93 sits at 70.7% of its 52-week range (low $29.94, high $52.23), indicating it is closer to the lower end of the range, which could suggest a value opportunity but also reflects persistent selling pressure. The stock's beta of 0.451 implies it is less volatile than the market, but the relative strength versus the S&P 500 over the past year is -38.05%, highlighting severe underperformance.
Short-term momentum shows a mixed picture: the 1-month price change is +11.27%, while the 3-month change is +4.83%, indicating a recent bounce from the May lows. However, this recovery appears fragile as the 6-month change is -16.77%, and the 1-year trend remains negative. The divergence between the positive 1-month momentum and the negative 1-year trend could signal a potential short-term reversal or a temporary relief rally within a broader downtrend. The stock's RSI is not provided, but the recent price action from the May low of $30.06 to $36.93 suggests some buying interest.
Key support lies near the 52-week low of $29.94, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $52.23. A break above $52.23 would signal a major trend reversal, while a drop below $29.94 could accelerate losses. The stock's beta of 0.451 indicates it is less volatile than the market, meaning it may not participate as strongly in broad market rallies but could also hold up better during downturns. The current price is 23.4% above the 52-week low, providing a buffer, but the stock remains 29.3% below the 52-week high, suggesting significant overhead resistance.
Beta
0.45
0.45x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-41.8%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$30-$52
Price range past year
Annual Return
-21.7%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | KBR Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +5.6% | +0.2% |
| 3m | -2.2% | +3.7% |
| 6m | -14.5% | +8.0% |
| 1y | -21.7% | +18.2% |
| ytd | -9.6% | +9.6% |
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KBR Fundamental Analysis
KBR's revenue trajectory is declining, with the most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 2025, ended January 2, 2026) at $1.885 billion, down 11.17% year-over-year from $2.122 billion in Q4 2024. This marks a deceleration from earlier quarters, where revenue was $1.955 billion (Q2 2025) and $2.055 billion (Q1 2025). The company's Sustainable Technology Solutions segment contributed $1.115 billion in revenue, but overall growth is being dragged by project timing and contract completions. The declining revenue trend raises concerns about the company's near-term growth prospects, though the large contract wins could stabilize future revenue.
Profitability remains positive but margins are under pressure. Net income for Q4 2025 was $111 million, with a net margin of 5.89%, down from 6.39% in Q3 2025. Gross margin improved to 15.38% from 13.98% in Q3, but operating margin fell to 7.64% from 9.89% in Q3. The company has been consistently profitable over the past eight quarters, with net income ranging from $73 million to $116 million. However, the declining operating margin suggests cost pressures or mix shifts toward lower-margin work.
KBR's balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 and a current ratio of 1.22, indicating adequate short-term liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months was $482 million, providing a free cash flow yield of 9.2% based on the current market cap. Return on equity (ROE) is 27.6%, which is strong, but the high debt-to-equity ratio (2.08) indicates significant financial leverage. The company generated $49 million in operating cash flow in Q4 2025, but capital expenditures were $18 million, resulting in free cash flow of $31 million. Overall, KBR generates sufficient cash to service debt and fund dividends, but the high leverage warrants monitoring.
Quarterly Revenue
$1.9B
2026-01
Revenue YoY Growth
-11.2%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
15.4%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$482000000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is KBR Overvalued?
Since KBR has positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 12.62x, while the forward P/E is 8.92x, implying that earnings are expected to grow significantly. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests the market anticipates a sharp earnings recovery, which is consistent with analyst estimates of $4.06 EPS for the next fiscal year. The low forward P/E of 8.92x could indicate undervaluation if earnings materialize as expected.
Compared to the industry (Engineering & Construction), KBR's trailing P/E of 12.62x is below the industry average of 22x (based on typical sector multiples), representing a 43% discount. However, the company's gross margin of 14.77% is below the industry average of around 20%, and its net margin of 5.33% is slightly above the industry average of 5%. The discount may be justified by the company's declining revenue and high debt levels, but the low forward P/E suggests potential value if growth resumes.
Historically, KBR's trailing P/E has ranged from about 6x to 90x over the past five years, with the current 12.62x near the lower end of that range. The price-to-book ratio of 3.48 is also below its historical average of around 4.5x. This suggests the stock is trading at a discount to its own historical valuation, which could indicate a value opportunity if the company's fundamentals stabilize. However, the low P/E also reflects the market's skepticism about future earnings growth given the recent revenue decline.
PE
12.6x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range 13x~28x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
8.3x
Enterprise Value Multiple
Investment Risk Disclosure
Financial & Operational Risks: KBR's high debt-to-equity ratio of 2.08 is a significant financial risk, as interest expense of $45 million in Q4 2025 consumes a meaningful portion of operating income. The company's revenue decline of 11.17% YoY in the most recent quarter raises concerns about its ability to grow organically. Operating margin compression from 9.89% in Q3 to 7.64% in Q4 suggests cost pressures or unfavorable project mix. While free cash flow of $482 million TTM provides some cushion, the high leverage amplifies downside risk if earnings falter.
Market & Competitive Risks: KBR's stock has a beta of 0.451, indicating low market correlation, but its severe underperformance (down 21.58% vs. S&P 500 up 16.47% over the past year) suggests company-specific issues dominate. The engineering & construction industry is highly competitive, and KBR's gross margin of 14.77% is below the industry average of ~20%, indicating weaker pricing power. Recent downgrades by B of A Securities and UBS to Neutral highlight growing skepticism. The wide analyst target range ($36 to $60) reflects high uncertainty about contract execution and market conditions.
Worst-Case Scenario: If KBR fails to convert its large contract wins into revenue growth and margins continue to compress, the stock could retest its 52-week low of $29.94. This would represent a 19% decline from the current price of $36.93. In a severe recession or project cancellation scenario, the stock could fall further, potentially to the low $20s, based on historical max drawdown of -41.76%. An investor could lose up to 35% or more if the company's financial leverage and revenue decline combine with a broader market downturn.

