MASI

Masimo

$179.95

+0.01%
Jun 9, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Masimo Corporation is a medical technology company that develops, manufactures, and markets noninvasive patient monitoring technologies, hospital automation and connectivity solutions, and remote monitoring devices within the healthcare sector. The company is a recognized leader in pulse oximetry and has established a distinct competitive identity through its innovative signal processing technologies and expanding portfolio of hospital and consumer health products. The current investor narrative is overwhelmingly dominated by the pending acquisition by Danaher, as evidenced by the stock's dramatic price jump in mid-February 2026, which has shifted the investment thesis from evaluating standalone fundamentals to assessing the deal's closure premium and strategic rationale for the acquirer.

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MASI 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $179.95
Average Target $179.95
High Target $206.94
Low Target $152.96

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Masimo's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $233.94 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$233.94

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$144 - $234

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Analyst coverage data is extremely limited, with only one analyst providing estimates for future EPS and revenue, suggesting coverage may have dried up or been suspended following the acquisition announcement. The consensus recommendation and average target price are not available in the provided data, indicating a lack of actionable analyst targets post-deal. The implied upside or downside cannot be calculated without a consensus target. The recent institutional ratings show a clear pattern of downgrades following the acquisition news, moving from Buy/Outperform to more neutral stances like Market Perform and Equal Weight. For instance, Raymond James downgraded from Outperform to Market Perform on March 27, 2026, and both Wells Fargo and BTIG moved to Equal Weight/Neutral from Overweight/Buy on February 18, 2026. This shift signals that analysts believe the deal's terms are fair and that the significant rerating event has occurred, leaving little fundamental reason to maintain bullish ratings. The wide target price range typical of normal coverage is absent, replaced by a single, definitive event-driven price. The minimal analyst activity post-announcement is common in takeover situations, as the investment thesis shifts from fundamental analysis to deal probability and timing.

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MASI Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend driven by a definitive corporate action. The 1-year price change of +9.78% understates the recent move, as the stock surged approximately 34% on February 17th, 2026, from around $130 to over $174, following news of the Danaher acquisition. The current price of $178.9 sits at 99.4% of its 52-week high of $179.0, indicating the stock is trading at its absolute peak, entirely supported by the deal's announced terms rather than organic momentum. This positioning near the high suggests the market has fully priced in the acquisition premium, leaving minimal room for further upside absent a competing bid. Recent momentum is characterized by extreme consolidation following the initial spike. The 1-month price change is a mere +0.18%, and the 3-month change is +1.98%, reflecting a complete loss of volatility as the stock has traded in a tight band between approximately $175 and $179 for over three months. This dramatic deceleration from the explosive move and the subsequent flatlining is classic behavior for a stock awaiting a deal closure, with price action now largely disconnected from typical technical indicators like RSI. Key technical levels are clearly defined: the 52-week high at $179.0 now acts as a hard resistance level representing the deal price, while the 52-week low of $125.94 is far below and largely irrelevant. The stock's beta of 1.128 suggests it is typically 13% more volatile than the broader market, but this historical measure is not reflective of its current state, where price movement has effectively ceased. A breakdown below the recent consolidation range would signal market doubts about the deal's completion, while a sustained breakout above $179 is unlikely without a revised offer.

Beta

1.10

1.10x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-25.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$126-$180

Price range past year

Annual Return

+4.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodMASI ReturnS&P 500
1m+0.9%-0.1%
3m+2.6%+11.4%
6m+27.4%+8.2%
1y+4.7%+22.7%
ytd+41.2%+8.2%

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MASI Fundamental Analysis

Masimo's revenue trajectory has been volatile and recently declined. The most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) was $412.5 million, representing a significant year-over-year decline of -31.3%. This sharp drop follows a pattern of uneven performance, with revenue in the prior-year Q4 (2024) at $600.7 million. The company operates in a single Healthcare segment, which saw revenue of $411.6 million in the latest period, indicating the decline is broad-based across its product lines. This trend suggests underlying business challenges that likely made the company a more receptive acquisition target. Profitability has been inconsistent, swinging between profits and losses on a quarterly basis. The latest quarter showed a net income of $68.3 million, translating to a net margin of 16.6%, a sharp recovery from a net loss of -$349.6 million in the year-ago quarter. Gross margin for Q4 2025 was a healthy 59.95%, consistent with the company's historical profile as a medical device maker with strong pricing power. However, operating margin was 20.34%, indicating significant operating expenses. The quarterly swings, including a net loss of -$170.7 million in Q1 2025, highlight earnings volatility that complicates standalone valuation. The balance sheet and cash flow position appear adequate. The company has a current ratio of 2.49, indicating strong short-term liquidity. Debt-to-equity stands at 0.78, a moderate level of leverage. Trailing twelve-month free cash flow is a positive $195.8 million, demonstrating the core business's ability to generate cash. Return on Equity (ROE) is negative at -21.0%, reflecting the impact of recent quarterly losses on annualized profitability metrics. The positive free cash flow suggests the company could service its debt and fund operations internally, but the negative ROE points to inefficient use of shareholder equity in recent periods.

Quarterly Revenue

$412500000.0B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

-31.3%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

60.0%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$195800000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Health Care Segment

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Valuation Analysis: Is MASI Overvalued?

Given the company's inconsistent profitability, with a trailing twelve-month EPS of -$0.022, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio, as net income is negative. Masimo's trailing PS ratio is 4.47, while its forward valuation is better assessed through the lens of the acquisition. The forward PE ratio is 27.1, but this is based on analyst estimates for a standalone entity, which may no longer be relevant post-acquisition announcement. Peer comparison is challenging post-acquisition news, as the stock is no longer trading on standalone fundamentals but on deal arbitrage. Historically, a PS ratio of 4.5x would be evaluated against the Medical Devices industry average, but the provided dataset lacks a specific industry average for comparison. The significant premium implied by the acquisition price suggests Danaher is valuing Masimo's technology and market position above what public markets did prior to the deal announcement, as evidenced by the stock's 34% single-day jump. In a historical context, the current PS ratio of 4.47 is near the lower end of its own historical range observed in the data, which has seen figures as high as 49.4 in 2021 and as low as 4.86 in late 2023. The stock's valuation has compressed significantly from its pandemic-era highs. The current level, propped up by the acquisition, is disconnected from its recent historical trading multiples, which were depressed due to operational challenges. The deal effectively sets a floor valuation that the market had not previously sustained.

PE

-45.1x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -19x~181x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

21.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple