NextDC
NXT
$0.00
-2.85%
Nextpower Inc. is a leading provider of intelligent, integrated solar tracker and software solutions for utility-scale and distributed generation solar projects worldwide. The company differentiates itself through its advanced tracking technology that optimizes solar panel performance by following the sun's movement, positioning it as a key player in the solar energy infrastructure space. Investor attention is currently focused on Nextpower's strong revenue growth trajectory and its ability to maintain profitability, as evidenced by its recent Q4 earnings beat and raised revenue outlook. The stock's significant price appreciation over the past year reflects optimism around the global energy transition, though recent volatility suggests debates about valuation and near-term growth sustainability.…
NXT
NextDC
$0.00
Related headlines
NXT 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on NextDC's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $0.00 and implied upside of — versus the current price.
Average Target
$0.00
3 analysts
Implied Upside
—
vs. current price
Analyst Count
3
covering this stock
Price Range
$0 - $0
Analyst target range
Nextpower is covered by 3 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish based on recent ratings: multiple firms (Jefferies, Needham, UBS, Keybanc, Wells Fargo, B of A Securities, Barclays) have issued Buy or Overweight ratings, while only Freedom Broker downgraded to Hold. The average EPS estimate is $9.165, with a range of $8.34 to $9.86, and average revenue estimate of $6.845 billion. The implied upside/downside cannot be calculated without a specific average price target, but the strong buy consensus suggests analysts see further upside. The high EPS estimate of $9.86 implies confidence in continued growth acceleration and margin expansion, while the low estimate of $8.34 may factor in potential headwinds from competition or policy changes. The narrow range between high and low EPS estimates (18% spread) indicates relatively high conviction among analysts. Recent upgrades from Keybanc (Overweight from Sector Weight) and maintained Buy ratings from multiple firms reinforce positive sentiment, though the downgrade by Freedom Broker to Hold suggests some caution on valuation after the stock's run-up.
NXT Technical Analysis
Nextpower is in a sustained uptrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of +84.86%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's +19.1%. The current price of $112.84 sits at 54.6% of its 52-week range ($52.61 low to $163.13 high), indicating the stock has pulled back from its highs but remains well above its lows. This positioning suggests the stock is in a corrective phase within a broader uptrend, potentially offering a re-entry point for investors who missed the initial rally. The 1-month price change of -25.87% contrasts sharply with the 1-year gain, signaling a sharp short-term pullback. The 3-month change of -0.21% shows the stock has essentially flatlined over the past quarter, while the 6-month change of +21.62% indicates the longer-term trend remains positive. This divergence between short-term weakness and long-term strength could indicate a temporary pullback within an uptrend, possibly driven by profit-taking or sector rotation. The 52-week high of $163.13 represents key resistance, while the 52-week low of $52.61 serves as major support. A breakout above $163.13 would signal a resumption of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $52.61 would negate the long-term bullish structure. With a beta of 1.864, Nextpower is 86.4% more volatile than the S&P 500, amplifying both upside and downside moves and requiring careful position sizing.
Beta
1.86
1.86x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-31.6%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$53-$163
Price range past year
Annual Return
+84.9%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | NXT Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -25.9% | +1.0% |
| 3m | -0.2% | +13.0% |
| 6m | +21.6% | +7.7% |
| 1y | +84.9% | +19.1% |
| ytd | +21.6% | +9.2% |
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NXT Fundamental Analysis
Nextpower's revenue trajectory is strongly growing, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $909.35 million in Q3 2025 (fiscal Q4) representing a 33.85% YoY increase from $679.36 million in the prior-year quarter. Revenue has consistently grown over the past four quarters, from $864.25 million (Q1 2025) to $905.27 million (Q2 2025) and $909.35 million (Q3 2025), indicating sustained demand for solar tracking solutions. The company is profitable, with net income of $131.24 million in the most recent quarter and a gross margin of 31.69%. Net margin has been relatively stable around 14-18% over recent quarters, while gross margin has slightly declined from 35.46% a year ago to 31.69%, suggesting some cost pressure. Operating margin of 19.37% indicates healthy operational efficiency, though it has compressed from 22.11% in the year-ago quarter. Nextpower maintains a pristine balance sheet with zero debt (debt-to-equity ratio of 0) and a current ratio of 2.45, indicating strong liquidity. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months is $589.26 million, demonstrating the company's ability to generate cash internally. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 25.10%, reflecting efficient capital utilization, while the absence of debt minimizes financial risk.
Quarterly Revenue
$909352000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.33%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.31%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$589260000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is NXT Overvalued?
Since Nextpower has positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 30.44x, while the forward P/E is 19.27x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests analysts anticipate a 58% increase in earnings per share, reflecting strong growth expectations. Compared to the industry average (sector data not provided), Nextpower's P/E of 30.44x appears elevated relative to typical solar industry multiples, which often trade in the 15-25x range. The PEG ratio of 2.64x suggests the stock is trading at a premium to its growth rate, indicating that growth expectations are already priced in. Historically, Nextpower's trailing P/E has ranged from 5.28x (Q4 2024) to 61.37x (Q4 2022). The current 30.44x is near the middle of this range but above the recent low of 9.74x in Q4 2024, suggesting the stock has re-rated higher as growth accelerated. This level implies the market is pricing in continued strong performance but not extreme optimism, leaving room for upside if growth surprises.
PE
30.4x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 5x~61x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
22.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple

