PR

Permian Resources Corp

$19.09

+4.95%
Jul 7, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Permian Resources Corporation is an independent oil and natural gas company focused on the responsible acquisition, optimization, and development of oil and liquids-rich natural gas assets in the core of the Permian Basin. As a pure-play Permian operator with large, contiguous acreage blocks in West Texas and New Mexico, the company distinguishes itself through its low-cost structure and high-return inventory. The current investor narrative centers on the company's ability to sustain production growth and generate robust free cash flow amid volatile oil prices, with recent analyst upgrades and bullish oil price forecasts from Goldman Sachs driving renewed interest in the stock.

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PR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $19.09
Average Target $19.09
High Target $21.9535
Low Target $16.226499999999998

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Permian Resources Corp's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $24.82 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$24.82

3 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

3

covering this stock

Price Range

$15 - $25

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (33%)
Sell
2 (67%)

Only 3 analysts cover the stock, which is limited for a mid-cap energy company. The consensus recommendation is not explicitly provided, but the institutional ratings show a strong bullish tilt: recent actions include Buy from Truist, TD Cowen, Goldman Sachs, Citigroup, and UBS, with Overweight from Wells Fargo and Piper Sandler, and only one Hold from Benchmark. The average EPS estimate is $2.22, with a low of $2.05 and high of $2.45, implying a forward PE of 8.2x at the current price. The average revenue estimate is $6.424 billion, suggesting a 10% decline from trailing revenue. The limited coverage means less efficient price discovery, but the bullish consensus among covering analysts indicates confidence in the company's outlook. The wide EPS range ($2.05 to $2.45) reflects uncertainty around oil prices and production costs.

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PR Technical Analysis

The stock is in a sustained uptrend over the past year, with a 1-year price change of +28.44%. The current price of $18.20 sits at 58.5% of its 52-week range ($11.92 to $22.675), indicating it is closer to the midpoint than the highs or lows. This positioning suggests the stock has room to run but is not overextended, though it has pulled back from its March highs. Short-term momentum has turned negative, with a 1-month change of -7.71% and a 3-month change of -14.07%, contrasting sharply with the strong 1-year gain. This divergence signals a corrective pullback within a longer-term uptrend, potentially a buying opportunity if support holds. The RSI is not provided, but the volume data is missing; however, the short ratio of 2.67 suggests moderate bearish sentiment. The 52-week low of $11.92 provides strong support, while the 52-week high of $22.675 is the key resistance. A breakout above $22.675 would signal a resumption of the uptrend, while a breakdown below $11.92 would be a bearish reversal. The stock's beta of 0.453 indicates it is significantly less volatile than the market, making it a lower-risk energy play.

Beta

0.45

0.45x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-20.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$12-$23

Price range past year

Annual Return

+38.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodPR ReturnS&P 500
1m-0.4%+1.4%
3m-7.1%+10.6%
6m+35.4%+8.4%
1y+38.6%+20.5%
ytd+32.6%+9.7%

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PR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue has been declining, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $1.169 billion down 9.78% year-over-year. The multi-quarter trend shows revenue falling from $1.376 billion in Q1 2025 to $1.169 billion in Q4 2025, driven by lower oil prices and production volumes. Crude oil remains the dominant revenue driver at $2.134 billion (annualized), while natural gas contributes only $19.8 million. The declining revenue trend is a concern, but the company's low-cost structure partially offsets the impact. Profitability remains solid, with net income of $339.5 million in Q4 2025 and a net margin of 29.03%. Gross margin has compressed from 49.1% in Q1 2025 to 26.8% in Q4 2025, reflecting higher costs and lower prices. However, operating margin remains healthy at 23.1%, and the company has maintained positive net income for the past eight quarters. The balance sheet is strong, with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.36 and a current ratio of 0.78, indicating adequate liquidity. Free cash flow was $181 million in Q4 2025, and trailing twelve-month free cash flow is $2.884 billion, providing ample cash for dividends and debt reduction. ROE of 9.1% is reasonable for the sector.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.2B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.09%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.26%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$2.9B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Crude Oil
Natural Gas
Oil and Gas, Purchased

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Valuation Analysis: Is PR Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the PE ratio is the primary valuation metric. The trailing PE is 10.71x, while the forward PE is 8.58x, implying the market expects earnings growth. The gap between trailing and forward PE suggests an anticipated improvement in earnings, likely from cost controls or higher oil prices. Compared to the industry average (not provided, but typically around 12-15x for E&P), PR's trailing PE of 10.71x appears at a discount, suggesting the stock is undervalued relative to peers. The PS ratio of 1.98x is also low, reinforcing the value proposition. Historically, the trailing PE has ranged from 2.17x (Q3 2022) to 38.14x (Q3 2025), with the current 10.71x near the lower end of the historical range. This indicates the stock is trading at a discount to its own history, potentially offering a margin of safety if fundamentals hold.

PE

10.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -19x~38x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

3.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple