VSCO

Victoria’s Secret

$89.13

-1.27%
Jun 1, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Victoria's Secret & Co. is a leading retailer of women's intimate apparel, other apparel, and beauty products, operating under the Victoria's Secret, PINK, and Adore Me brand names within the Consumer Cyclical sector's Apparel - Retail industry. The company is a dominant, legacy player in intimate wear, historically defined by its iconic brand and marketing, but has been working to redefine its identity and relevance in a shifting retail landscape. The current investor narrative is centered on a volatile turnaround story, with recent news highlighting a strategic review of its DailyLook asset creating uncertainty, even as the company posts strong quarterly results and optimistic guidance, indicating a market grappling with the balance between operational progress and strategic distractions.

People also watch

TJX Companies

TJX Companies

TJX

Analysis
Ross Dress for Less

Ross Dress for Less

ROST

Analysis
Burlington

Burlington

BURL

Analysis
Gap Inc.

Gap Inc.

GAP

Analysis
Victoria’s Secret

Victoria’s Secret

VSXY

Analysis

VSCO 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $89.13
Average Target $89.13
High Target $102.50
Low Target $75.76

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Victoria’s Secret's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $65.78 and implied upside of -26.2% versus the current price.

Average Target

$65.78

0 analysts

Implied Upside

-26.2%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$50 - $81

Analyst target range

Analyst coverage for VSCO appears limited based on the provided data, with only one analyst's estimates shown for revenue and EPS, suggesting insufficient broad consensus data is available in this dataset. This typically indicates the stock is a mid-cap name with limited institutional research coverage, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery as the market relies on fewer informed opinions. The institutional ratings data shows recent activity from several firms. Sentiment is mixed but leans cautiously positive, with recent actions including 'Overweight' from Barclays, 'Outperform' from Telsey Advisory Group, and a 'Buy' from UBS, alongside 'Hold' or 'Neutral' ratings from TD Cowen and Goldman Sachs. The pattern shows no major downgrades in the recent period, with some upgrades like Telsey moving from 'Market Perform' to 'Outperform' in December 2025. The wide dispersion in ratings (from Hold to Outperform/Buy) signals ongoing debate about the turnaround's sustainability, aligning with the stock's high volatility and the narrative uncertainty highlighted in recent news.

Drowning in data?

Find the real signal!

VSCO Technical Analysis

The stock is in a volatile, long-term uptrend but has recently experienced a significant correction. With a 1-year price change of +156.01%, the trend is strongly positive; however, the current price of $85.185 sits at approximately 79% of its 52-week range (high: $81.28, low: $17.53), indicating it is trading near its recent highs but has pulled back from the absolute peak. This positioning near the high end of the range suggests the stock retains substantial momentum but may be susceptible to profit-taking after its massive run. Recent momentum shows clear deceleration and divergence from the longer-term trend. The 3-month price change is -12.59%, and the 1-month change is +3.71%, indicating a sharp sell-off in March was partially recovered in the most recent month. This conflict between the strong 1-year trend and negative 3-month performance signals a significant pullback or consolidation phase, potentially a mean reversion after the parabolic rise earlier in the year. Key technical levels are clearly defined by the 52-week high of $81.28 and low of $17.53. A sustained breakout above the $81.28 resistance would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend, while a breakdown below the recent lows around $42-44 (from March) would suggest a deeper correction. The stock exhibits extreme volatility with a beta of 2.246, meaning it is roughly 125% more volatile than the broader market (SPY), which necessitates larger risk tolerance and careful position sizing for investors.

Beta

2.25

2.25x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-35.5%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$18-$81

Price range past year

Annual Return

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodVSCO ReturnS&P 500
1m+3.7%-1.6%
3m-12.6%+1.5%
6m+27.7%+5.4%
1y+14.8%
ytd+1.8%+7.0%

Bobby - Your AI Investment Partner

Get real-time data, AI-driven personalized investment analysis to make smarter investment decisions

VSCO Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth is positive but shows a mixed quarterly pattern, indicating a business in transition. The most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 Jan 2026) was $2.27 billion, representing a 7.78% year-over-year growth. However, examining sequential quarters reveals volatility: revenue grew from $1.35B (Q1) to $1.46B (Q2) to $1.47B (Q3) before the Q4 seasonal jump, suggesting underlying demand is stable but not explosively growing. The company's profitability is improving but remains inconsistent on a quarterly basis. The latest quarter shows strong net income of $183.63 million and a gross margin of 37.67%, which expanded from 36.41% in the prior-year Q4. This contrasts sharply with the Q3 net loss of -$37 million, highlighting the highly seasonal nature of the business where the fourth quarter (holiday season) drives the majority of annual profits. The trailing twelve-month net margin is a modest 2.46%. The balance sheet carries significant financial leverage, but cash generation has been robust recently. The debt-to-equity ratio is elevated at 3.32, indicating a leveraged capital structure. However, free cash flow over the trailing twelve months is a healthy $312 million, and the latest quarterly operating cash flow was $673 million. The current ratio of 1.25 shows adequate short-term liquidity. The company is generating sufficient cash to service debt and fund operations internally, as evidenced by the positive free cash flow, mitigating some concerns from the high debt load.

Quarterly Revenue

$2.3B

2026-01

Revenue YoY Growth

+7.8%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

37.7%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$312000000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Reportable Segment

Open an Account, get $2 TSLA now!

Valuation Analysis: Is VSCO Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE is 27.26x, while the forward PE is significantly lower at 13.03x. This substantial gap implies the market expects a near-doubling of earnings in the coming year, reflecting optimism about the turnaround and margin recovery story. Compared to sector averages, the valuation presents a mixed picture. The trailing PE of 27.26x is above typical value retail multiples but may be justified if growth accelerates. More telling is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 0.67x and EV/Sales of 1.31x, which are relatively modest and suggest the market is not assigning a significant premium for the brand's sales base, possibly due to margin concerns. Historically, the stock's own valuation has been extremely volatile. The current trailing PE of 27.26x is below the historical high seen in recent quarters (e.g., 185.65x in Q1 2025 when earnings were near zero) but is above the low single-digits seen during periods of peak profitability (e.g., 3.71x in Q4 2024). This places the current valuation in a mid-to-upper range of its own history, suggesting the market is pricing in a successful continuation of the earnings recovery but not at the most optimistic levels previously seen.

PE

27.3x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 3x~23x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.0x

Enterprise Value Multiple