ALGM

Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. Common Stock

$50.41

+5.10%
Jun 12, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. is a fabless designer and marketer of sensor integrated circuits (ICs) and application-specific analog power ICs, primarily serving the automotive and industrial markets. The company is a specialized player in magnetic sensors and power management, deriving the majority of its revenue from magnetic sensors used for precise motion, speed, position, and current measurement. The current investor narrative is driven by the company's exposure to secular trends in automotive electrification and industrial automation, with recent financial results showing a significant revenue rebound and a return to profitability after a period of losses, positioning it as a potential beneficiary of the broader semiconductor sector rotation and AI-driven demand highlighted in recent market news.

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ALGM 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $50.405
Average Target $50.405
High Target $57.96575
Low Target $42.84425

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Allegro MicroSystems, Inc. Common Stock's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $65.53 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$65.53

2 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$40 - $66

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Analyst coverage for ALGM appears limited, with only 2 analysts providing estimates for revenue and EPS, and no explicit target price or consensus recommendation data provided in the dataset. This suggests insufficient analyst coverage to derive a meaningful consensus target or sentiment. Limited coverage is typical for smaller or mid-cap companies like Allegro (market cap ~$5.6B) and can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as the stock is less scrutinized by the institutional investment community. The available data shows analysts estimate an average EPS of $2.33 for the coming period, with a range from $2.23 to $2.53, and an average revenue estimate of $1.70 billion. The tight range on EPS estimates suggests some agreement on near-term profitability, but the lack of price targets and the small number of covering firms makes it difficult to gauge the strength of institutional conviction. The recent institutional rating actions from firms like Morgan Stanley (upgraded to Overweight in February) and a series of reiterated Buy/Overweight ratings in late January around earnings suggest a generally positive but cautiously optimistic analyst view, aligning with the company's fundamental turnaround story.

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ALGM Technical Analysis

ALGM is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, having gained 91.47% over the past year and currently trading at $53.62, which is just 1.4% below its 52-week high of $54.39. This positioning near the peak of its 52-week range indicates strong momentum and investor optimism, though it also suggests the stock may be extended and vulnerable to a pullback. The stock's momentum has been exceptionally strong in the short term, with a 67.93% gain over the last three months, significantly outpacing the SPY's 12.6% gain, and a 7.93% gain over the last month. This acceleration from the long-term trend signals robust buying pressure, though the high beta of 2.017 indicates the stock is more than twice as volatile as the market, which explains the dramatic moves. Key technical levels are clear, with immediate support at the 52-week low of $22.41 and resistance at the recent high of $54.39. A decisive breakout above $54.39 could signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a failure to hold recent gains could see a retreat towards support levels established in the $40-$45 range during its consolidation in April and May. The stock's high beta of 2.017 is a critical risk factor, meaning it is likely to experience amplified moves both up and down relative to the broader market, necessitating careful risk management for investors. The stock's volatility is further evidenced by its price action, which saw a significant drawdown of -39.22% from its peak during the provided period, before the powerful rally. The current price sits near the top of this recovery range, and the high short ratio of 4.1 suggests a notable level of bearish sentiment that could fuel a short squeeze on continued positive news, but also represents a pool of potential selling pressure if the momentum falters.

Beta

1.98

1.98x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-39.2%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$22-$54

Price range past year

Annual Return

+68.6%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodALGM ReturnS&P 500
1m+9.6%-0.1%
3m+61.9%+12.0%
6m+85.9%+8.8%
1y+68.6%+22.9%
ytd+87.3%+8.8%

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ALGM Fundamental Analysis

Allegro's revenue trajectory shows a strong recovery, with Q3 FY2026 revenue of $229.21 million representing a significant 28.86% year-over-year growth. This follows a multi-quarter trend of improving sales from a low of $177.87 million in Q3 FY2025, indicating accelerating demand, particularly in its core Magnetic Sensors segment, which generated $137.77 million in the latest quarter compared to $91.44 million from Power ICs. The company has returned to profitability in the most recent quarter, posting net income of $8.30 million, a stark improvement from net losses in the prior three quarters, including a -$13.23 million loss in Q1 FY2026. Gross margin has also recovered to a healthy 46.73% in Q3, aligning with its historical gross margin range of 46-47% and indicating regained pricing power and operational efficiency. Profitability metrics are showing a positive inflection, with the latest quarterly operating income at $9.57 million (a 4.18% operating margin) and EBITDA of $22.41 million. This marks a substantial improvement from the operating loss of -$13.20 million in Q4 FY2025. The net margin for the latest quarter is 3.62%, demonstrating the company's ability to translate top-line growth to the bottom line after a period of compression. The trailing twelve-month free cash flow is a robust $121.16 million, providing a strong foundation for internal investment. The balance sheet is solid, with a strong current ratio of 3.45 and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.30, indicating low financial leverage and ample liquidity. The company's return on equity (ROE) is currently negative at -1.56% on a trailing basis, reflecting the impact of prior quarterly losses, but the positive and improving quarterly net income suggests this metric should turn positive soon. The substantial free cash flow generation of $121.16 million TTM versus a market cap of ~$5.58 billion implies the company is self-funding its operations and growth, reducing reliance on external capital.

Quarterly Revenue

$229210000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.28%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.46%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$121157000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Magnetic Sensors And Other
Power Integrated Circuits

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Valuation Analysis: Is ALGM Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income in the most recent quarter but a negative trailing twelve-month EPS of -$0.0027, the forward P/E ratio is the most relevant primary valuation metric, standing at 36.41x based on estimated EPS of $2.33. The negative trailing P/E of -374.67x is an artifact of past losses and is not meaningful; the forward multiple reflects the market's expectation of sustained profitability. The significant gap between the negative trailing and positive forward P/E underscores the market's anticipation of a sharp earnings recovery. Compared to sector averages, Allegro trades at a significant premium on a sales basis, with a Price/Sales ratio of 6.27x and an EV/Sales of 11.27x, which are elevated for the semiconductor industry, typically indicating high growth expectations. The forward P/E of 36.4x also suggests a premium valuation, which the market is likely assigning due to the company's exposure to high-growth automotive and industrial end markets and its recent return to strong profitability and revenue growth. Historically, the stock's valuation has expanded dramatically with its price rally. The current P/S ratio of 6.27x is near the upper end of its observable historical range over the past few years, which has seen lows below 4x and highs above 8x during periods of peak optimism. Trading near the top of its own historical valuation band suggests the market is pricing in a very optimistic outlook for growth and margin expansion, leaving little room for execution missteps. The PEG ratio of 4.72, based on forward earnings, indicates the stock is expensive relative to its expected growth rate.

PE

-374.7x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range -183x~211x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

66.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple