AMKR

Amkor Technology

$65.90

-3.78%
May 21, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Amkor Technology Inc is a leading outsourced semiconductor assembly and test (OSAT) service provider, offering critical packaging and testing services for integrated circuits to semiconductor companies, foundries, and electronics OEMs. The company operates as a strategic manufacturing partner in the semiconductor ecosystem, distinguishing itself through its pioneering role in the OSAT industry and its focus on advanced packaging technologies like flip chip and wafer-level processing. The current investor narrative is heavily driven by the company's exposure to the broader semiconductor upcycle, particularly the demand for advanced packaging solutions for AI and high-performance computing chips, as evidenced by its significant revenue growth and dramatic stock price appreciation over the past year.

People also watch

Nvidia

Nvidia

NVDA

Analysis
Broadcom

Broadcom

AVGO

Analysis
Micron Technology

Micron Technology

MU

Analysis
AMD

AMD

AMD

Analysis
Intel

Intel

INTC

Analysis

AMKR 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $65.9
Average Target $65.9
High Target $75.785
Low Target $56.015

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Amkor Technology's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $85.67 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$85.67

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$53 - $86

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Analyst coverage is limited, with only 7 analysts providing estimates, which is typical for a mid-cap semiconductor services company. The consensus sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, with recent institutional ratings including a mix of 'Buy' (Needham, DA Davidson, JP Morgan), 'Neutral' (Goldman Sachs, B. Riley), and 'Equal Weight' (Morgan Stanley). A notable downgrade occurred in January 2026 when UBS moved from 'Buy' to 'Neutral', potentially signaling some caution after the massive rally. The average revenue estimate for the period is $9.21 billion, with a tight range between a low and high of $9.21 billion, indicating strong consensus on the top-line outlook. The EPS estimates show a wider range, from a low of $1.46 to a high of $4.09, with an average of $3.07. This wide dispersion in EPS targets reflects significant uncertainty regarding the pace of margin expansion and profit conversion from the revenue growth. The limited number of covering analysts and the wide target range for EPS imply higher volatility and less efficient price discovery compared to large-cap peers with deeper coverage.

Drowning in data?

Find the real signal!

Bulls vs Bears: AMKR Investment Factors

The bull case, supported by explosive momentum, margin expansion, and strategic positioning in AI packaging, currently holds stronger evidence given the stock's 253% year-over-year surge. However, the bear case presents substantial and growing risks centered on valuation, volatility, and signs of cyclicality. The single most important tension in the investment debate is whether AMKR's margin expansion and advanced product growth can sustainably justify its premium forward P/E of 29.7x amidst its high beta (2.3) and the semiconductor industry's inherent cyclicality. The resolution of this tension—specifically, the company's ability to deliver on the high EPS growth embedded in its valuation without a significant earnings miss or sector downturn—will determine the stock's next major move.

Bullish

  • Explosive Revenue & Stock Momentum: AMKR's stock has surged 253% over the past year, driven by a 15.9% YoY revenue growth in Q4 2025. This powerful uptrend reflects strong market conviction in its role in the semiconductor upcycle, particularly for AI and HPC packaging.
  • Significant Margin Expansion: Gross margins improved sequentially from 12.04% in Q2 2025 to 16.66% in Q4 2025, while operating margins recovered from 2.39% to 9.80%. This demonstrates strong operating leverage and a favorable shift towards higher-margin advanced products, which now dominate revenue at $1.58B.
  • Strong Financial Health & Cash Flow: The company maintains a robust balance sheet with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.35 and a strong current ratio of 2.27. It generated $191M in TTM free cash flow, providing significant financial flexibility to fund growth and navigate industry cycles.
  • Analyst Consensus on Strong Growth: Analysts project average EPS of $3.07 for the coming period, representing massive growth from the trailing $0.038. The tight revenue consensus of $9.21B indicates confidence in the top-line trajectory driven by advanced packaging demand.

Bearish

  • Extreme Valuation & High Beta Risk: With a forward P/E of 29.7x and a trailing P/E of 26.1x, AMKR trades at a premium to its recent historical range (10x-20x). Its beta of 2.3 means it is more than twice as volatile as the market, amplifying downside risk during corrections.
  • Recent Sequential Revenue Decline: Q4 2025 revenue of $1.89B declined sequentially from Q3's $1.99B, signaling potential near-term cyclicality or customer mix volatility. This raises questions about the sustainability of the explosive growth narrative in the face of semiconductor industry fluctuations.
  • Stock Overextended Near 52-Week High: Trading at $70.35, the stock is just 11.2% below its 52-week high of $79.23 and 89% above its 52-week low. This positioning suggests limited near-term upside and high vulnerability to a pullback, as evidenced by a recent -26.56% maximum drawdown.
  • Wide Dispersion in Analyst EPS Targets: While revenue estimates are tight, EPS forecasts range widely from $1.46 to $4.09. This reflects significant uncertainty about profit conversion and margin sustainability, leading to less efficient price discovery and potential for earnings misses.

AMKR Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 253.16% one-year price change. As of the latest close of $70.35, the stock is trading near the top of its 52-week range, approximately 89% of the way from its 52-week low of $17.79 to its high of $79.23, indicating strong momentum but also suggesting the potential for overextension and increased volatility. Recent momentum remains robust but shows signs of consolidation; the stock is up 17.80% over the past month and 48.17% over the past three months, which, while strong, represents a deceleration from the explosive six-month gain of 122.06%, hinting at a potential pause or digestion of prior gains. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low area near $17.79, though more immediate support likely resides near recent pullback lows in the $40-$45 range from March 2026. The primary resistance is the 52-week high of $79.23; a decisive breakout above this level would signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a failure could lead to a deeper correction. The stock exhibits extreme volatility relative to the market, with a beta of 2.306, meaning it is more than twice as volatile as the S&P 500, which necessitates careful risk management and position sizing for investors. The price action shows significant volatility, with a maximum drawdown of -26.56% over the provided period, underscoring the stock's high-beta nature. The current price sits just 11.2% below its all-time high, reflecting strong bullish sentiment but also leaving limited margin for error before testing key resistance. The high beta of 2.3, combined with its position near range highs, suggests the stock is highly sensitive to broader market moves and sector sentiment.

Beta

2.31

2.31x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-26.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$18-$79

Price range past year

Annual Return

+251.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodAMKR ReturnS&P 500
1m-6.1%+5.5%
3m+37.5%+7.7%
6m+105.6%+12.7%
1y+251.5%+27.4%
ytd+53.5%+8.9%

Bobby - Your AI Investment Partner

Get real-time data, AI-driven personalized investment analysis to make smarter investment decisions

AMKR Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been strong but shows a mixed sequential trajectory. The most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) was $1.89 billion, representing a solid 15.89% year-over-year growth. However, this marks a sequential decline from Q3 2025 revenue of $1.99 billion, indicating potential near-term cyclicality or customer mix shifts. Segment data reveals the Advanced Products category, generating $1.58 billion in the latest period, is the dominant growth driver, while Mainstream Products contributed $308 million, highlighting the company's strategic focus on higher-value packaging solutions. Profitability is solid and margins are expanding. Net income for Q4 2025 was $171.8 million, with a net margin of 9.1%. Gross margin for the quarter was 16.66%, showing a significant improvement from the 14.39% gross margin in Q3 2025 and the 12.04% in Q2 2025, indicating successful execution and a favorable product mix shift toward higher-margin advanced packaging. The operating margin for Q4 2025 was 9.80%, a substantial recovery from the 2.39% in Q1 2025, demonstrating strong operating leverage as revenue scales. The balance sheet is healthy with moderate leverage and strong cash generation. The debt-to-equity ratio is a conservative 0.35, indicating a primarily equity-financed capital structure. The company generated robust free cash flow of $191 million on a TTM basis, providing ample internal funding for growth initiatives. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 8.36%, and the current ratio is a strong 2.27, reflecting excellent short-term liquidity to meet obligations. The healthy free cash flow and low debt levels provide financial flexibility to navigate industry cycles.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.15%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.16%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$190992000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Advanced Products
Mainstream Products

Open an Account, get $2 TSLA now!

Valuation Analysis: Is AMKR Overvalued?

Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 26.1x, while the forward P/E is 29.7x based on estimated EPS. The higher forward multiple suggests the market is anticipating near-term earnings growth, which aligns with analyst estimates for significant EPS expansion from the trailing $0.038 to an estimated $3.07. Compared to sector averages, Amkor's valuation presents a mixed picture. Its trailing P/E of 26.1x and Price/Sales (P/S) of 1.45x must be evaluated in the context of its explosive growth profile and the semiconductor equipment & testing industry. The EV/EBITDA of 8.56x appears reasonable for a company in a cyclical growth phase. The premium implied by its forward P/E is likely justified if the company delivers on the anticipated high-double-digit or triple-digit EPS growth embedded in analyst estimates, linking its valuation directly to execution on the advanced packaging demand surge. Historically, the stock's current trailing P/E of 26.1x is above its own historical range observed in recent quarters, where it often traded between 10x and 20x. For instance, its P/E was 14.2x at the end of Q4 2025 and 13.9x at the end of Q3 2025. Trading near the top of its historical valuation band suggests the market is pricing in a highly optimistic outlook for sustained growth and margin expansion, leaving little room for disappointment.

PE

26.1x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 3x~53x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

8.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple

Investment Risk Disclosure

Financial & Operational Risks: AMKR's primary financial risk is its elevated valuation, which demands flawless execution. The forward P/E of 29.7x implies expectations for EPS to grow from $0.038 to an estimated $3.07. Any stumble in this profit conversion, such as a reversion in the recently expanded gross margin from 16.66%, could trigger severe multiple compression. Furthermore, the sequential revenue decline from Q3 to Q4 2025 ($1.99B to $1.89B) highlights operational exposure to semiconductor demand cycles and customer concentration, though the strong balance sheet (D/E 0.35) mitigates bankruptcy risk.

Market & Competitive Risks: The stock faces extreme valuation compression risk, trading at a P/E significantly above its recent historical range. With a beta of 2.306, AMKR is highly sensitive to broader market sell-offs and sector rotation away from growth/cyclical names. Competitive risks include potential pricing pressure in the OSAT industry or technological shifts that could reduce demand for its packaging solutions. The limited analyst coverage (7 firms) exacerbates these risks by contributing to higher volatility and less liquidity in analyst sentiment.

Worst-Case Scenario: The worst-case scenario involves a combination of a semiconductor industry downturn, a miss on the high EPS estimates, and a broader market correction. This could trigger a rapid de-rating from the current forward P/E of 29.7x back towards its historical average near 15x, compounded by the stock's high beta. A realistic downside could see the stock retrace to its March 2026 support area near $40-$45, representing a potential loss of approximately -40% to -45% from the current price of $70.35. A breach of that level could see it test the 52-week low of $17.79 in an extreme, prolonged downturn, though this is a less probable tail risk given improved fundamentals.