Digital Turbine
APPS
$13.17
+38.49%
Digital Turbine is an independent mobile growth platform that provides end-to-end solutions for advertisers, publishers, carriers, and device OEMs in the mobile application ecosystem. The company distinguishes itself as a key intermediary enabling app discovery, advertising, and monetization across the mobile value chain. The current investor narrative centers on a dramatic turnaround, driven by a significant earnings beat in Q4 2026 and optimistic forward guidance that has reignited growth expectations and propelled the stock sharply higher.…
APPS
Digital Turbine
$13.17
Related headlines
APPS 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Digital Turbine's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $11.00 and implied upside of -16.5% versus the current price.
Average Target
$11.00
0 analysts
Implied Upside
-16.5%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
—
covering this stock
Price Range
$8 - $15
Analyst target range
Only one analyst covers the stock, with a consensus recommendation not explicitly stated but implied by the estimated EPS and revenue targets. The average estimated EPS is $1.06, with a range of $1.05 to $1.07, and average revenue estimate is $715.6 million. The lack of a target price and buy/hold/sell distribution limits the analysis, but the single analyst's estimates suggest a positive outlook. The narrow range of EPS estimates indicates high conviction in the near-term earnings trajectory. Insufficient analyst coverage is typical for a small-cap stock like Digital Turbine, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The recent earnings beat and strong guidance may attract additional coverage, potentially improving market efficiency.
APPS Technical Analysis
The stock is in a powerful uptrend, with a 1-year price change of +117.3% and currently trading at 93.5% of its 52-week range (close to the high of $13.60). This positioning near the top of the range suggests strong momentum and bullish sentiment, though it also raises caution about potential overextension. Short-term momentum is exceptionally strong, with a 1-month change of +48.7% and a 3-month change of +339.8%, far outpacing the S&P 500's respective returns of -1.25% and +13.56%. This acceleration from the longer-term trend indicates a recent catalyst-driven surge, likely tied to the Q4 earnings beat, and suggests continued buying pressure. The 52-week low of $2.74 provides strong support, while the 52-week high of $13.60 is the immediate resistance. A breakout above $13.60 would signal further upside, while a breakdown below $2.74 would be a severe reversal. With a beta of 2.766, the stock is nearly three times more volatile than the market, implying significant risk and potential for sharp moves in either direction.
Beta
2.84
2.84x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-61.3%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$3-$14
Price range past year
Annual Return
+142.1%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | APPS Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +17.8% | +2.5% |
| 3m | +230.1% | +5.2% |
| 6m | +217.3% | +11.5% |
| 1y | +142.1% | +22.6% |
| ytd | +175.5% | +12.9% |
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APPS Fundamental Analysis
Revenue trajectory appears to be accelerating, with estimated revenue for the current fiscal year at $715.6 million, though specific quarterly figures are not provided. The company reported a significant earnings beat in Q4 2026, driving the stock higher, and forward guidance suggests strong growth. The gross margin stands at 48.6%, indicating a healthy core business, while the operating margin is 6.0%, showing improving operational efficiency. Net income is negative, with an EPS of -$0.12 and a net margin of -6.7%, but the company is moving toward profitability as evidenced by the positive operating margin and forward PE of 12.0. The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.92, indicating moderate leverage, and a current ratio of 1.16, suggesting adequate short-term liquidity. Free cash flow data is not provided, but the PCF ratio of 7.78 implies positive cash flow generation. ROE is negative at -19.6%, reflecting current unprofitability, but the improving margins and revenue growth point to a turnaround.
Quarterly Revenue
N/A
N/A
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months
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Valuation Analysis: Is APPS Overvalued?
Since net income is negative, the trailing PE is not meaningful, so we lead with the price-to-sales (PS) ratio of 0.58. The forward PE of 12.0 suggests the market expects a return to profitability, with the gap between trailing and forward PE implying significant earnings growth ahead. Compared to the software industry average PS ratio (not provided), the stock's PS of 0.58 appears low, potentially indicating undervaluation relative to sales. However, the negative net margin tempers this interpretation. Historically, the stock's current PS of 0.58 is likely near the lower end of its historical range given the recent turnaround, suggesting the market has not fully priced in the recovery. The PEG ratio of 0.14 further supports the view that the stock is undervalued relative to its expected earnings growth.
PE
-8.7x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
5-Year PE Range 17x~59x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
16.4x
Enterprise Value Multiple