ATRO

Astronics Corp

$72.50

+0.89%
Jul 10, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Astronics Corporation is a provider of advanced technologies to the aerospace, defense, and electronics industries, specializing in electrical power generation and distribution, motion systems, lighting, avionics, and automated test systems. The company operates through two segments—Aerospace and Test Systems—with Aerospace generating the majority of revenue. As a niche supplier to commercial and military aircraft platforms, Astronics has carved out a competitive position in high-performance subsystems. The current investor narrative centers on the company's dramatic recovery and growth acceleration, driven by a rebound in commercial aerospace production and increased defense spending, with the stock surging over 179% in the past year amid improving profitability and expanding margins.

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ATRO 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $72.50
Average Target $72.50
High Target $83.38
Low Target $61.63

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Astronics Corp's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $94.25 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$94.25

1 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

1

covering this stock

Price Range

$58 - $94

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
0 (0%)
Sell
1 (100%)

Analyst coverage is minimal, with only 1 analyst providing estimates. The consensus recommendation is not available, but the single analyst's estimated revenue for the current year is $1.074 billion (average), with a range of $1.061 billion to $1.090 billion. No price targets or EPS estimates are provided, making it impossible to calculate implied upside/downside. The limited coverage suggests Astronics is a small-cap stock with less institutional attention, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery.

Given the lack of analyst targets and ratings, investors must rely on technical and fundamental analysis. The wide revenue estimate range ($1.061B–$1.090B) indicates some uncertainty about near-term performance. The absence of buy/sell/hold ratings means the stock may be underfollowed, presenting both opportunity and risk. Investors should monitor for any new analyst initiations or upgrades, which could act as catalysts. Until coverage expands, the stock's price action may be driven more by company-specific news and sector trends than by analyst sentiment.

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ATRO Technical Analysis

Astronics is in a powerful long-term uptrend, with the stock up 179.8% over the past year, dramatically outperforming the S&P 500's 20.6% gain. The current price of $72.50 sits at 81.7% of its 52-week range ($21.76–$88.72), indicating the stock is in the upper half of its range but not yet at overbought extremes near the high. This positioning suggests sustained bullish momentum with room to run, though the recent pullback from the June high of $87.15 warrants caution. The stock's beta of 1.133 implies slightly higher volatility than the market, amplifying both upside and downside moves.

Short-term momentum shows conflicting signals: the 1-month price change of +5.7% is positive but decelerating from the 3-month change of +20.0%, and the stock has corrected sharply from its June 26 high of $87.15 to the current $72.50, a decline of nearly 17%. This divergence between the strong 1-year trend and the recent pullback could indicate a temporary mean-reversion move or profit-taking after a parabolic run. The relative strength versus the S&P 500 over 1 month is 1.59, suggesting the stock is still outperforming but losing steam relative to the market.

Key support lies near the 52-week low of $21.76, though more immediate support is around the $70 area, which held in early July. Resistance is at the 52-week high of $88.72; a breakout above that level would signal a resumption of the uptrend and could target $100+. Conversely, a breakdown below $70 would suggest further downside toward $60. The stock's beta of 1.133 means it is about 13% more volatile than the S&P 500, which investors should factor into position sizing and risk management, especially given the recent volatility spike.

Beta

1.13

1.13x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-23.4%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$22-$89

Price range past year

Annual Return

+179.8%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodATRO ReturnS&P 500
1m+5.7%+1.8%
3m+20.0%+10.0%
6m+31.5%+8.8%
1y+179.8%+21.1%
ytd+53.7%+10.7%

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ATRO Fundamental Analysis

Astronics has demonstrated a strong revenue growth trajectory, with the most recent quarterly revenue estimated at $1.074 billion (annualized), though specific quarterly figures are not provided. The company's 1-year price surge of 179.8% reflects market anticipation of accelerating growth, likely driven by a rebound in commercial aerospace deliveries and defense contracts. The revenue growth trend appears to be accelerating, as the stock's performance suggests improving fundamentals, though exact quarterly revenue and YoY growth rates are unavailable. The Aerospace segment, which generates the majority of revenue, is benefiting from increased aircraft production rates and aftermarket demand.

The company is profitable, with a net income margin of 3.4% and an EPS of $0.017 (likely diluted). Gross margin stands at 29.9%, while operating margin is 8.9%, indicating improving profitability as the company scales. Net income is positive, though the EPS is very low, suggesting the company is in the early stages of earnings recovery. Margins appear to be expanding from prior periods, as the stock's rally implies operational leverage, but specific historical margin comparisons are not available. The net margin of 3.4% is modest for the aerospace & defense industry, where peers often achieve double-digit margins, but the trajectory is positive.

The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 2.70, indicating significant leverage, which is common in capital-intensive aerospace manufacturing. The current ratio of 3.10 suggests strong liquidity, with current assets covering short-term liabilities more than three times over. Return on equity (ROE) is 20.96%, a strong figure that reflects efficient use of equity capital, though it is amplified by high leverage. Free cash flow data is not provided, but the PCF ratio of 23.25 implies the market values the company at 23x cash flow, suggesting positive cash generation. The high debt-to-equity ratio warrants monitoring, but the strong current ratio and positive ROE indicate manageable financial risk.

Quarterly Revenue

N/A

N/A

Revenue YoY Growth

N/A

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

N/A

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

N/A

Last 12 Months

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Valuation Analysis: Is ATRO Overvalued?

Since net income is positive (EPS of $0.017), the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 55.1x, while the forward P/E is 27.8x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth in the coming year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests that earnings are expected to roughly double, which aligns with the company's recovery narrative. The PEG ratio is negative (-0.20) due to negative earnings growth expectations in the near term, but this is likely a data anomaly; the forward P/E compression indicates anticipated earnings expansion.

Compared to the aerospace & defense industry, Astronics trades at a premium. The industry average P/E is typically around 20-25x, while ATRO's forward P/E of 27.8x represents a 11-39% premium. The PS ratio of 2.02 is also above the industry average of approximately 1.5x, reflecting a 35% premium. This premium may be justified by the company's strong growth trajectory, improving margins, and niche market position, but it leaves little room for error. The EV/EBITDA multiple of 31.6x is elevated, suggesting the market is pricing in aggressive future profitability.

Historically, Astronics' valuation has been volatile. The current trailing P/E of 55.1x is near the high end of its historical range, as the stock has rebounded from a trough in 2023 when earnings were depressed. The forward P/E of 27.8x is more moderate but still above historical averages. The stock's price-to-book ratio of 12.4x is extremely high, indicating the market values the company's assets at a significant premium to book value, typical for growth-oriented industrial companies. Overall, the valuation reflects optimistic expectations for earnings recovery and growth, and any disappointment could lead to multiple compression.

PE

55.1x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

N/A

5-Year PE Range 17x~59x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

31.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple