SpaceX
SPCX
$135.27
-0.60%
Space Exploration Technologies Corp. (SpaceX) designs, manufactures, and operates reusable rockets for government and commercial satellite launches, and provides mobile broadband via its Starlink satellite constellation. It is a dominant player in the aerospace & defense industry, pioneering reusable launch technology and rapidly expanding its Starlink subscriber base. In early 2026, SpaceX acquired xAI, adding the Grok AI model, Colossus data center, and social media platform X, transforming it into a multi-sector technology conglomerate. The current investor narrative centers on its recent IPO (June 2026), inclusion in the Nasdaq-100, and the high-stakes bet on AI integration, with concerns about widening losses from massive AI spending and a sky-high valuation.…
SPCX
SpaceX
$135.27
Related headlines
SPCX 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on SpaceX's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $175.85 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$175.85
4 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
4
covering this stock
Price Range
$108 - $176
Analyst target range
Only 4 analysts cover SPCX, reflecting its recent IPO and limited institutional coverage. The consensus recommendation is likely bullish given the flood of buy reports post-IPO quiet period (per news). The average target price is not directly provided, but the estimated EPS average of $0.49 and forward P/E of 167.6x imply a target price of ~$82 (0.49 * 167.6), which is below the current price of $145.30, suggesting downside. However, the high EPS estimate of $1.06 implies a target of $177.7, and the low estimate of -$0.45 implies a target of $0 (or negative). The wide range indicates high uncertainty. The implied upside/downside to the average target is -43.5% (downside). The consensus leans bearish based on this calculation, but news suggests bullish sentiment, so the target may be higher. The low target of -$0.45 EPS implies the company could remain unprofitable, while the high target of $1.06 assumes rapid margin expansion. The wide spread (from -$0.45 to $1.06 EPS) signals extreme uncertainty, typical for a newly public, high-growth, unprofitable company.
SPCX Technical Analysis
SPCX has experienced a dramatic uptrend since its IPO on June 12, 2026, with a 1-year price change of +472.95%, though the stock has pulled back from its 52-week high of $225.64 to the current price of $145.30, which is 64.4% of the 52-week range. This positioning near the low end of its short trading history suggests a correction from initial euphoria, potentially offering a value entry if the uptrend resumes, but also indicating waning momentum. The 1-month price change of +561.06% reflects the IPO pop, but the stock has since declined 35.6% from its peak, signaling a volatile post-IPO adjustment. The 3-month change is identical at +561.06% due to the limited trading history, but the divergence between the 1-year trend (strongly up) and the recent 1-month decline (from the high) suggests a mean reversion or profit-taking phase. The relative strength vs. SPY is extremely high (1-month RS of 556.99), indicating the stock has vastly outperformed the market, but the recent pullback may signal a trend reversal if it continues. The 52-week low is $145.07, just below the current price of $145.30, making this a critical support level; a breakdown below $145.07 would signal further downside. The 52-week high of $225.64 represents resistance; a breakout above that level would indicate renewed bullish momentum. Beta is not provided, but the stock's 28% max drawdown and high volatility (daily swings of 5-10%) imply a beta well above 2, making it a high-risk, high-reward position.
Beta
—
—
Max Drawdown
-33.0%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$132-$226
Price range past year
Annual Return
+422.5%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | SPCX Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -29.7% | +0.0% |
| 3m | +515.4% | +7.6% |
| 6m | +516.2% | +9.1% |
| 1y | +422.5% | +21.3% |
| ytd | +520.2% | +10.7% |
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SPCX Fundamental Analysis
Revenue trajectory is rapidly growing, driven by Starlink and launch services, but the company is not yet profitable. The most recent quarterly revenue is not available, but estimated revenue for the next fiscal year is $89.27 billion (average analyst estimate), implying massive scale. However, the net margin is -45.0%, and operating margin is -41.6%, indicating deep losses. The company is investing heavily in AI (xAI integration) and Starlink expansion, which is burning cash. Gross margin is 48.8%, which is healthy for aerospace, but operating expenses are high. The company is unprofitable with an EPS of -$0.67, but analysts expect positive EPS of $0.49 next year, suggesting a path to profitability. Net income is negative, so the focus is on revenue growth and margin improvement. The debt-to-equity ratio is 73.6, indicating significant leverage, and the current ratio of 1.22 suggests adequate liquidity. Free cash flow data is not provided, but the company's massive AI spending ($7.7 billion last quarter per news) and debt repayment concerns (bond market warning) point to cash flow strain. ROE is not available, but with negative net income, it would be negative. The company's financial health is precarious, relying on external financing and investor optimism to fund its growth.
Quarterly Revenue
N/A
N/A
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
N/A
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
N/A
Last 12 Months
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Valuation Analysis: Is SPCX Overvalued?
Since net income is negative (EPS -$0.67), the P/E ratio is not meaningful; we use the price-to-sales (P/S) ratio. The trailing P/S is 99.2x, while the forward P/E is 167.6x (based on estimated positive EPS). The extreme P/S reflects the market's expectation of future revenue growth and eventual profitability, but it is astronomically high. Compared to the Aerospace & Defense industry average P/S (typically ~2-3x), SPCX trades at a 3,000%+ premium, which is unjustified by current profitability but may be justified by its growth trajectory and AI potential. However, the EV/Sales ratio of 46.4x is also extremely high. Historical valuation data is not available due to the recent IPO, but the current P/S of 99x is at the high end of any growth stock, implying optimistic expectations. The forward P/E of 167.6x suggests the market expects significant earnings growth, but any miss could lead to multiple compression.
PE
149.8x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
N/A
5-Year PE Range 17x~59x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
203.3x
Enterprise Value Multiple

