CHRW

C. H. Robinson Worldwide

$161.24

-9.06%
May 4, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
C.H. Robinson Worldwide, Inc. is a leading non-asset-based third-party logistics (3PL) provider operating in the Integrated Freight & Logistics industry. The company's core business involves arranging transportation and logistics services, with a significant focus on domestic freight brokerage (primarily truck and rail intermodal) and a substantial global air and ocean forwarding division. As a top-tier player, its competitive identity is defined by its extensive network and technology platform that connects shippers with carriers without owning significant physical transportation assets. The current investor narrative centers on the company's performance within a volatile freight cycle, with recent attention likely focused on its ability to manage margins and volumes amid shifting supply-demand dynamics and broader economic concerns, as evidenced by recent market volatility and analyst activity around its quarterly results.

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CHRW 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $161.24
Average Target $161.24
High Target $185.426
Low Target $137.054

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on C. H. Robinson Worldwide's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $209.61 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$209.61

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$129 - $210

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Analyst coverage for CHRW is limited but active, with 6 analysts providing estimates. The consensus sentiment appears cautiously optimistic, with recent institutional ratings from firms like Evercore ISI, BofA, Stifel, and Wells Fargo maintaining 'Outperform', 'Buy', or 'Overweight' ratings. The average target price is not explicitly provided in the data, but using the estimated EPS average of $7.24 and the forward PE of 24.38x implies a consensus price target of approximately $176.50, which is very close to the current price of $177.30, suggesting minimal implied upside. The target range, derived from EPS estimates, shows a low of $6.70 and a high of $8.79, indicating a spread of about 31% around the average. The high target likely assumes a successful navigation of the freight cycle, margin expansion, and multiple stabilization, while the low target may price in a prolonged downturn or market share loss. The recent pattern of reiterated ratings in late January and March 2026, without widespread downgrades despite the stock's pullback, suggests analysts are maintaining a longer-term positive view on the company's fundamentals.

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CHRW Technical Analysis

The stock is in a strong long-term uptrend but has recently experienced significant volatility and a pullback from its highs. Over the past year, CHRW has delivered a remarkable 96.39% price appreciation, yet the current price of $177.30 sits at approximately 77% of its 52-week range ($86.58 to $203.34), indicating it has retreated meaningfully from its peak. This positioning suggests the explosive momentum has cooled, and the stock is now consolidating gains, presenting a potential entry point for trend followers but also signaling increased risk after such a large move. Recent momentum shows a stark divergence from the long-term trend, with the stock down 9.05% over the past three months and up only 5.22% over the past month, significantly underperforming the SPY's gains of 4.14% and 9.98% over the same periods, respectively. This negative relative strength of -13.19% over three months indicates a loss of leadership and could signal a period of consolidation or profit-taking following the massive yearly rally. Key technical levels are clearly defined by the 52-week high of $203.34 as major resistance and the 52-week low of $86.58 as distant support. A decisive breakout above the $200 level would signal a resumption of the primary uptrend, while a breakdown below recent swing lows near $167 (from February and April) could indicate a deeper correction. With a beta of 0.935, the stock exhibits slightly less volatility than the broader market, which is notable given its large yearly move and recent drawdown of -19.45%.

Beta

0.94

0.94x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-19.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$87-$203

Price range past year

Annual Return

+77.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodCHRW ReturnS&P 500
1m-3.9%+9.5%
3m-19.3%+4.1%
6m+5.3%+6.0%
1y+77.5%+26.7%
ytd-1.5%+5.3%

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CHRW Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been negative recently, reflecting a challenging freight environment. For Q4 2025, revenue was $3.91 billion, representing a year-over-year decline of 6.5%. Sequentially, revenue has decreased from $4.14 billion in Q3 2025 and $4.14 billion in Q2 2025, indicating persistent top-line pressure. The revenue segment data shows Transportation Customer’s Freight ($3.57B) as the dominant driver, vastly overshadowing the Sourcing segment ($341M), highlighting the company's core exposure to cyclical freight rates and volumes. The company remains profitable but with compressed margins. Q4 2025 net income was $136.3 million, resulting in a net margin of 3.48%. The gross margin for the quarter was 8.18%, which has improved from the 6.32% seen in Q1 2024 but remains below the 8.62% peak from Q3 2025, indicating fluctuating profitability in a competitive market. The operating margin for the latest quarter was 4.64%, demonstrating the company's ability to convert gross profit to operating income despite the thin margins typical in the brokerage industry. The balance sheet is healthy with strong cash generation, supporting shareholder returns. The company boasts a robust current ratio of 1.53 and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.88. Most impressively, trailing twelve-month free cash flow is $894.9 million, providing ample liquidity. This strong cash flow, coupled with a Return on Equity of 31.81%, indicates efficient use of shareholder capital and the financial flexibility to fund dividends, share repurchases, and strategic investments without relying heavily on external financing.

Quarterly Revenue

$3.9B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-0.06%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.08%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$894891000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Sourcing
Transportation Customer’s Freight

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Valuation Analysis: Is CHRW Overvalued?

Given a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is elevated at 32.93x, while the forward PE is lower at 24.38x, based on estimated EPS of $7.24. This gap suggests the market is pricing in a significant earnings recovery, with forward earnings expected to be substantially higher than the most recent quarterly run-rate. Compared to sector averages, the valuation appears rich. The stock's trailing PE of 32.9x and forward PE of 24.4x are likely at a premium to the industrials/logistics sector, which often trades at lower multiples due to cyclicality. The Price-to-Sales ratio of 1.19 and EV/EBITDA of 23.41 further indicate the market is valuing CHRW's earnings power and market position, not just its sales, which is typical for a asset-light model in a down cycle. Historically, the current trailing PE of 32.9x is near the upper end of its own range observed over the past several quarters, which has fluctuated between roughly 9x and 35x. Trading near historical highs suggests the market has already priced in a strong earnings recovery and operational improvement, leaving limited room for multiple expansion and increasing sensitivity to any earnings disappointments.

PE

32.9x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 9x~83x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

23.4x

Enterprise Value Multiple