Cipher Digital Inc. Common Stock
CIFR
$20.04
-12.26%
Cipher Digital Inc. is a financial services company operating in the capital markets industry, specifically focused on developing and operating high-performance computing (HPC) data centers designed for AI-related computing workloads. The company is positioning itself as a strategic infrastructure player, pivoting from its historical association with Bitcoin mining to capitalize on the burgeoning demand for AI compute capacity. The current investor narrative is dominated by its strategic pivot to AI infrastructure, with recent news highlighting a stock rally fueled by investor optimism over securing long-term, high-value AI data center contracts, which has overshadowed recent weak financial results.…
CIFR
Cipher Digital Inc. Common Stock
$20.04
Related headlines
CIFR 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Cipher Digital Inc. Common Stock's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $26.05 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$26.05
2 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
2
covering this stock
Price Range
$16 - $26
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for CIFR appears limited, with only two analysts providing estimates for revenue and EPS, and no consensus price target or recommendation distribution provided in the data. The average revenue estimate for the forward period is $1.169 billion, with a range from $1.052 billion to $1.292 billion. The average EPS estimate is $0.76. Institutional ratings data shows a pattern of sustained bullish sentiment, with recent actions from firms like Needham, Rosenblatt, and Keefe Bruyette & Woods all maintaining 'Buy' or 'Outperform' ratings, and a notable upgrade from JP Morgan to 'Overweight' in November 2025. This consistent bullish coverage from a handful of firms signals strong institutional conviction in the company's strategic narrative, though the lack of a broad consensus target price suggests the stock may still be under-followed by the wider analyst community, which can contribute to higher volatility.
CIFR Technical Analysis
The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 1-year price change of +567.01%. As of the latest close at $25.68, the price is trading near the top of its 52-week range, approximately 85% of the way from its low of $3.65 to its high of $30.14, indicating strong momentum but also potential overextension. Recent momentum remains robust, with the stock up 11.56% over the past month and 86.83% over the past three months, significantly outperforming the S&P 500, which returned -2.17% and +15.8% over the same periods, respectively. This continued acceleration suggests the uptrend is intact, though the stock's extreme volatility, indicated by a beta of 3.20, means these gains can be highly erratic. Key technical levels are the 52-week high of $30.14 as immediate resistance and the 52-week low of $3.65 as distant support. A breakout above $30.14 would signal a continuation of the explosive rally, while a breakdown below key intermediate support near $20 could indicate a significant pullback. The stock's beta of 3.20 confirms it is over three times more volatile than the broader market, necessitating careful risk management for investors.
Beta
3.20
3.20x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-51.4%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$5-$30
Price range past year
Annual Return
+252.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | CIFR Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -23.8% | -1.9% |
| 3m | +56.3% | +13.6% |
| 6m | +23.7% | +9.0% |
| 1y | +252.8% | +20.0% |
| ytd | +23.7% | +9.2% |
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CIFR Fundamental Analysis
Revenue growth is volatile but showed a significant year-over-year increase of 41.42% in the most recent quarter (Q4 2025), reaching $59.71 million. However, examining the multi-quarter trend reveals instability, with revenue declining sequentially from $71.71 million in Q3 2025 and showing wide fluctuations in gross margin, from 42.6% in Q3 to a deeply negative -3.32% in Q4. The company is deeply unprofitable, posting a net loss of -$734.21 million in Q4 2025, which resulted in a net margin of -12.30%. Profitability metrics are highly inconsistent, as evidenced by a gross margin that swung from 28.4% in valuation data to -3.32% in the latest quarter, and an operating margin of -1.51%, indicating core operations are burning cash. The balance sheet shows a high degree of financial leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 3.44, though liquidity appears adequate with a current ratio of 3.79. Cash flow is a critical concern, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow deeply negative at -$695.86 million and an operating cash flow of -$54.43 million in Q4, indicating the company is heavily dependent on external financing to fund its operations and growth ambitions.
Quarterly Revenue
$59711000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.41%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
-3.32%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-695859000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is CIFR Overvalued?
Given the company's deeply negative net income of -$734.21 million, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is an exceptionally high 25.15x, while the forward PS ratio, based on estimated revenue of $1.169 billion, would be significantly lower, implying the market is pricing in massive revenue growth expectations. Peer comparison data is not available in the provided dataset, so a sector relative assessment cannot be made. Historically, the stock's own valuation has exploded; its current PS ratio of 25.15x is near the top of its observable range, having risen from 16.94x at the end of Q1 2025 and 94.33x at the end of Q4 2025 (based on historical ratios data). This extreme level suggests the market is pricing in a highly optimistic future for the company's AI infrastructure pivot, leaving little room for execution error. The wide gap between the trailing PS and the implied forward PS highlights the market's bet on a near-quadrupling of revenue to meet analyst estimates.
PE
-6.9x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range -4792x~27x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-13.2x
Enterprise Value Multiple

