Charles Schwab Corporation
SCHW
$102.38
-0.72%
The Charles Schwab Corporation is a leading financial services firm offering brokerage, banking, asset management, custody, and wealth management solutions, primarily serving retail investors and independent registered investment advisors (RIAs). With $11.9 trillion in client assets and over 40% market share in RIA custody, Schwab is a dominant player in the U.S. financial services industry, leveraging its scale and integrated banking model. The current investor narrative centers on Schwab's ability to benefit from sustained higher interest rates, which boost net interest income, while also navigating regulatory changes and competitive pressures in the brokerage space. Recent news highlights the potential tailwind from the SEC's elimination of the PDT rule and the SpaceX IPO, which could drive trading volumes and new account growth.…
SCHW
Charles Schwab Corporation
$102.38
Related headlines
SCHW 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Charles Schwab Corporation's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $133.09 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$133.09
6 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
6
covering this stock
Price Range
$82 - $133
Analyst target range
Schwab is covered by 6 analysts, with a consensus leaning bullish. The average EPS estimate for the current fiscal year is $10.10, with a low of $9.15 and high of $10.71. The average revenue estimate is $37.47 billion, with a range of $34.75 billion to $39.21 billion. While explicit price targets are not provided, the consensus recommendation from recent ratings is predominantly 'Buy' or 'Overweight', with no 'Sell' ratings. Institutional ratings from Barclays, UBS, TD Cowen, and Truist Securities all maintain positive stances, indicating strong analyst confidence. The average EPS estimate implies a forward P/E of about 10.2x based on the current price of $103.12, which is well below the trailing P/E and suggests significant upside if earnings meet expectations. The high EPS estimate of $10.71 would imply a forward P/E of 9.6x, while the low estimate of $9.15 would give 11.3x. The wide range of EPS estimates (9.15 to 10.71) indicates some uncertainty about earnings trajectory, but the overall bullish consensus suggests analysts expect continued growth. The lack of explicit price targets is a limitation, but the strong buy ratings and low forward P/E imply an attractive risk/reward. The narrow range of analyst actions (all positive) signals high conviction in Schwab's outlook, though the small number of analysts (6) is typical for a large-cap stock and does not indicate limited coverage.
SCHW Technical Analysis
Schwab's stock is in a recovery uptrend after a significant pullback, with a 1-year price change of +10.8% but still well below its 52-week high. The current price of $103.12 sits at 96% of the 52-week range (high $107.50, low $83.96), indicating the stock has nearly fully recovered from its lows and is approaching resistance. This positioning near the top of the range suggests strong recent momentum but also potential overextension in the short term. Over the past 1 month, the stock has surged 15.5%, dramatically outperforming the S&P 500's 4.1% gain, while the 3-month change of +8.8% also outpaces the market's 11.1% but shows deceleration from the 1-month spike. The 1-year relative strength of -9.8% indicates the stock has lagged the market over the longer term, but the 1-month relative strength of +11.4% signals a sharp reversal in momentum. This divergence suggests the recent rally may be driven by specific catalysts (e.g., rate expectations) rather than a broad trend change, warranting caution. The 52-week low of $83.96 provides key support, while the 52-week high of $107.50 is immediate resistance. A breakout above $107.50 would signal a resumption of the long-term uptrend, while a breakdown below $83.96 could indicate renewed weakness. Schwab's beta of 0.76 is below 1.0, meaning the stock is less volatile than the market, which is unusual for a financial stock and may reflect its diversified revenue streams. This lower beta implies smaller price swings relative to the S&P 500, which could appeal to risk-averse investors but also means less upside in strong markets.
Beta
0.76
0.76x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-20.4%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$84-$108
Price range past year
Annual Return
+11.3%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | SCHW Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +12.4% | +1.0% |
| 3m | +4.1% | +7.9% |
| 6m | +0.5% | +8.5% |
| 1y | +11.3% | +20.1% |
| ytd | +0.8% | +9.9% |
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SCHW Fundamental Analysis
Schwab's revenue trajectory is solidly growing, with Q4 2025 revenue of $7.168 billion, up 7.8% year-over-year from $6.651 billion in Q4 2024. The multi-quarter trend shows accelerating growth: Q1 2025 revenue was $6.650 billion, Q2 $6.816 billion, Q3 $7.041 billion, and Q4 $7.168 billion, indicating consistent sequential improvement. Revenue is driven primarily by Investor Services ($9.919 billion in 2025) and Advisor Services ($2.552 billion), with the bank segment contributing net interest income. The growth is supported by higher interest rates boosting net interest income and rising client assets, though trading revenue may be more volatile. Profitability is robust, with Q4 2025 net income of $2.459 billion and a net margin of 34.3%, up from 27.7% in Q4 2024. Gross margin remains high at 81.6% in Q4 2025, reflecting the asset-light brokerage model. Operating margin improved to 51.6% from 34.7% a year earlier, driven by revenue growth outpacing expense increases. The company is solidly profitable with expanding margins, a positive sign for earnings quality. Schwab's balance sheet is strong but with notable leverage: debt-to-equity is 0.63, and the current ratio is 0.53, typical for a financial firm with short-term liabilities. Free cash flow was negative -$921 million in Q4 2025 due to working capital swings, but trailing twelve-month free cash flow is $8.763 billion, indicating strong cash generation. Return on equity (ROE) is 17.9%, well above the industry average, reflecting efficient capital use. The company has ample liquidity with $69.7 billion in cash, though much of this is tied to client deposits.
Quarterly Revenue
$7.2B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+7.77%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
81.58%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$8.8B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is SCHW Overvalued?
Since Schwab has positive net income, we lead with the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 21.35x, while the forward P/E is 13.83x, implying the market expects significant earnings growth in the next year. The large gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests analysts anticipate a sharp earnings increase, likely driven by higher net interest income and cost controls. Compared to the industry average (Financial - Capital Markets), Schwab's trailing P/E of 21.35x is above the sector median of roughly 15x, representing a 42% premium. However, the forward P/E of 13.83x is closer to the industry average, indicating that the premium is justified by expected earnings growth. Schwab's PEG ratio of 0.38x (based on forward earnings) suggests the stock is undervalued relative to its growth rate, as a PEG below 1.0 typically indicates undervaluation. Historically, Schwab's trailing P/E has ranged from about 15x to 30x over the past five years. The current 21.35x is near the middle of this range, suggesting the stock is fairly valued relative to its own history. The forward P/E of 13.83x is near the lower end of the historical range, implying that if earnings materialize as expected, the stock could be attractively priced. The P/B ratio of 3.58x is above the historical average of ~3.0x, reflecting the market's willingness to pay a premium for Schwab's franchise value and earnings power.
PE
21.3x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range 15x~30x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
12.6x
Enterprise Value Multiple

