EXP

Eagle Materials

$0.00

+5.32%
Jun 18, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Eagle Materials Inc. is a leading U.S. manufacturer of heavy construction and light building materials, operating in the Construction Materials industry. The company's core business is organized into two key sectors: Heavy Materials, which includes its Cement and Concrete & Aggregates segments critical for infrastructure, and Light Materials, which includes Gypsum Wallboard primarily for residential construction. As a major domestic supplier of essential materials like cement and wallboard, Eagle Materials holds a significant market position, serving as a key beneficiary of infrastructure investment cycles while also being exposed to residential construction trends. The current investor narrative is focused on the interplay between robust public infrastructure spending, supported by federal legislation, and ongoing softness in the residential construction market, with recent institutional buying activity highlighting a potential vote of confidence in the company's long-term prospects despite near-term cyclical headwinds.

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EXP 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $224.58
Average Target $224.58
High Target $258.267
Low Target $190.893

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Eagle Materials's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $0.00 and implied upside of — versus the current price.

Average Target

$0.00

2 analysts

Implied Upside

vs. current price

Analyst Count

2

covering this stock

Price Range

$0 - $0

Analyst target range

Buy
0 (0%)
Hold
1 (50%)
Sell
1 (50%)

Analyst coverage for Eagle Materials is limited, with only two analysts providing estimates, indicating this is likely a stock with more niche institutional interest rather than broad Wall Street coverage. The consensus sentiment appears neutral, as evidenced by recent institutional ratings which include actions like 'Neutral' from Citigroup and DA Davidson, an 'Underweight' from JP Morgan, and an 'Overweight' from Wells Fargo. The average estimated revenue for the period is $2.66 billion, with a range from $2.60 billion to $2.71 billion, and the average estimated EPS is $18.80, ranging from $18.30 to $19.30. However, a consensus price target and specific Buy/Hold/Sell distribution are not provided in the data, making it impossible to calculate a precise implied upside or downside from the current price. The wide range in EPS estimates (a $1.00 spread) and revenue estimates ($107 million spread) signals a degree of uncertainty among the few analysts covering the stock. The high target likely assumes a reacceleration in infrastructure spending and a recovery in residential markets, while the low target likely factors in prolonged weakness and margin pressure. The limited coverage can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as fewer institutional voices are shaping the consensus view.

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EXP Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend and is currently trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, signaling significant weakness and potential oversold conditions. With a 1-year price change of +14.85%, the longer-term performance is positive but has been severely eroded by a sharp recent decline, as the stock is currently trading at the $224.58 level, which is only about 42% of the distance from its 52-week low of $171.99 to its high of $243.64. This positioning near the lows suggests the stock may represent a value opportunity, but also reflects substantial selling pressure and a breakdown from previous support levels. The short-term momentum is decidedly negative and contrasts sharply with the positive 1-year return, indicating a significant trend reversal. The stock has declined 12.36% over the past month, sharply underperforming the SPY's gain of 0.74%, and the 3-month loss of 29.76% also significantly trails the market's 15.14% gain, confirming a severe and accelerating downtrend. This divergence suggests the stock is facing specific fundamental or sector-related headwinds rather than a broad market sell-off. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with the 52-week low of $171.99 acting as critical support and the 52-week high of $243.64 as major resistance. A breakdown below $171.99 would signal a continuation of the bearish trend, while a recovery above the recent highs near $240 would be needed to suggest a reversal. The stock's beta of 1.384 indicates it is approximately 38% more volatile than the broader market, which is important for risk management as it suggests amplified moves in both directions.

Beta

1.38

1.38x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-28.6%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$172-$244

Price range past year

Annual Return

+14.9%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodEXP ReturnS&P 500
1m+12.4%+0.1%
3m+29.8%+13.9%
6m+3.2%+8.5%
1y+14.9%+25.6%
ytd+6.2%+9.5%

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EXP Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has stalled, with the most recent quarterly revenue of $555.96 million representing a slight year-over-year decline of -0.37%. This follows a pattern of sequential deceleration from the prior quarter's $638.91 million, indicating cyclical pressure, particularly in its residential-facing segments. The revenue segment data shows the Cement segment contributed $321.17 million, Concrete & Aggregates $73.50 million, and Gypsum Wallboard $175.87 million for the period, highlighting the company's dual exposure to infrastructure and residential markets. The profitability picture is mixed, with the company remaining solidly profitable, reporting net income of $102.90 million for the latest quarter. However, margins are compressing, as the gross margin of 28.94% in Q3 2025 is down from 31.26% in Q2 2025 and 31.86% in Q3 2024, reflecting potential cost pressures or a less favorable sales mix. The net margin for the quarter stands at 18.51%, which remains healthy for the industry but is on a downward trajectory from the 21.50% net margin reported in the year-ago quarter. The balance sheet and cash flow position remains strong, with a current ratio of 3.66 indicating ample short-term liquidity and a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.22, which is manageable for a capital-intensive materials company. The company is generating robust free cash flow, with a trailing twelve-month (TTM) figure of $231.81 million, providing internal funding for growth and shareholder returns, as evidenced by significant stock repurchases. The return on equity (ROE) of 28.74% is exceptionally high, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital, though this is partially leveraged by the debt on the balance sheet.

Quarterly Revenue

$555956000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.00%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.28%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$231812000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Cement
Concrete And Aggregates
Gypsum Wallboard

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Valuation Analysis: Is EXP Overvalued?

Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The trailing P/E ratio is 13.99x, while the forward P/E is slightly higher at 15.23x, suggesting the market anticipates a modest decline in earnings or is pricing in a slower growth phase. The forward P/E being higher than the trailing multiple indicates expectations for lower future earnings relative to the current stock price. Compared to the broader Basic Materials sector, Eagle Materials' trailing P/E of 13.99x appears to be trading at a discount to typical industry averages, which often range in the high-teens to low-20s for profitable operators, though a precise industry average from the provided data is not available. This discount may reflect concerns over the cyclical downturn in residential construction and margin compression. Historically, the stock's own valuation has compressed significantly from recent peaks. The historical ratios data shows the P/E ratio has declined from 27.86x as of Q4 2025 (March 2025) to the current 13.99x, indicating the stock is now trading near the lower end of its recent historical valuation range. This compression suggests the market has already priced in a significant earnings slowdown or derating, potentially limiting further downside if fundamentals stabilize.

PE

14.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Low-End

5-Year PE Range 7x~30x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

9.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple