GlobalFoundries
GFS
$83.39
-7.00%
GlobalFoundries Inc. is a top-five global contract semiconductor manufacturer (foundry) that produces chips for a wide range of end markets including smartphones, PCs, IoT, data centers, automotive, and industrial applications, primarily focusing on more mature and specialized process technologies. The company is a distinct player as a pure-play foundry with a significant U.S. and European manufacturing footprint, strategically positioned as a geographically diversified and geopolitically crucial supplier amid global semiconductor supply chain re-shoring efforts. The current investor narrative is heavily driven by its strategic expansion into high-growth areas like Physical AI, as evidenced by its recent acquisition of Synopsys' Processor IP Solutions Business, and its potential role in the U.S. government's substantial push into quantum computing and advanced technology, which is fueling significant market attention and debate around its growth trajectory beyond its traditional markets.…
GFS
GlobalFoundries
$83.39
Related headlines
GFS 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on GlobalFoundries's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $108.41 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$108.41
11 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
11
covering this stock
Price Range
$67 - $108
Analyst target range
Insufficient analyst coverage data is available to determine a consensus price target, recommendation distribution, or the number of covering analysts. The provided data includes estimated EPS and revenue averages for 11 analysts, but lacks critical consensus price targets and ratings. This limited coverage is typical for a company of GlobalFoundries' profile—a relatively recent IPO (2021) in a capital-intensive, specialized industry—and can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery as the investment narrative is shaped by fewer institutional voices. The available institutional ratings show a mixed but generally neutral-to-cautious sentiment, with recent actions from firms like Citigroup, Wedbush, and Goldman Sachs maintaining 'Neutral' stances, while Needham and Baird maintain 'Buy' or 'Outperform' ratings. The absence of a clear, quantified consensus target range increases the importance of fundamental and technical analysis for investors in this name.
GFS Technical Analysis
The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 131.16% one-year price change. As of the latest close of $85.83, the price is trading at approximately 93% of its 52-week high of $92.55, positioning it near the top of its annual range. This proximity to highs signals strong momentum but also raises concerns about potential overextension and vulnerability to profit-taking, especially given the recent volatility. Recent momentum is exceptionally strong but shows signs of consolidation; the stock has gained 28.72% over the past month and 99.23% over the past three months, significantly outpacing the broader market (SPY up 0.74% and 15.14%, respectively). However, the price action from the May peak of $89.96 to the current level suggests a pullback from recent highs, indicating a potential pause or short-term digestion of the massive gains. Key technical support lies near the 52-week low of $31.51, though more immediate support is likely around recent pullback lows in the $70-$75 range, while resistance is clearly defined by the 52-week high of $92.55. A decisive breakout above $92.55 would signal a continuation of the bullish trend, while a breakdown below $70 could indicate a deeper correction. The stock's beta of 1.767 confirms it is approximately 77% more volatile than the market, a critical factor for risk management given its explosive recent moves.
Beta
1.77
1.77x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-24.1%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$32-$93
Price range past year
Annual Return
+119.2%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | GFS Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -2.6% | -1.6% |
| 3m | +78.4% | +11.7% |
| 6m | +133.3% | +6.3% |
| 1y | +119.2% | +22.2% |
| ytd | +126.2% | +7.6% |
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GFS Fundamental Analysis
Revenue has shown stability in the most recent quarter, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.83 billion matching the year-ago quarter's figure, indicating a 0.0% YoY growth rate. However, examining the sequential trend from Q1 2025 ($1.585B) to Q4 2025 ($1.83B) reveals a recovery and growth trajectory within the fiscal year, suggesting the company is navigating a cyclical bottom. The business is segmented, with Water Fabrication generating $5.093 billion and Engineering/Pre-Fabrication Services adding $454 million, though specific growth rates for these segments are not available. The company is solidly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $199 million and a net margin of 10.87%. Gross margin for the quarter was a healthy 28.85%, and operating margin was 13.93%. Margins have shown significant expansion and recovery from the year-ago Q4 2024, which posted a substantial net loss of -$730 million due to large one-time expenses, highlighting a dramatic improvement in underlying profitability. The balance sheet is robust, with a strong current ratio of 2.62 and a very conservative debt-to-equity ratio of 0.143. The company generates substantial cash, with trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $1.009 billion, providing ample internal funding for growth initiatives and capital expenditures. Return on equity (ROE) stands at 7.42%, indicating moderate but improving efficiency in generating profits from shareholder equity.
Quarterly Revenue
$1.8B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.00%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.28%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is GFS Overvalued?
Given the company's positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. The trailing PE ratio is 21.96x, while the forward PE is significantly higher at 34.08x. This substantial gap implies the market is pricing in strong future earnings growth, as the forward multiple anticipates improved profitability relative to the current share price. Compared to sector averages, data is not available in the provided dataset for a direct industry PE comparison. Therefore, a peer comparison cannot be quantified, but the selected multiples themselves suggest a growth premium is being applied. Historically, the stock's own PE ratio has fluctuated widely; the current trailing PE of 21.96x sits well below its historical highs seen in 2021-2022 (e.g., 192.7x in Q4 2021) and is more aligned with levels seen during its profitable phases in 2023 and 2025. This positioning suggests the current valuation, while elevated on a forward basis, is not at extreme historical highs and may reflect a market reassessment of the company's sustainable earnings power post its 2024 loss-making quarter.
PE
22.0x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range -49x~1034x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
8.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple

