IDCC

InterDigital

$303.33

+16.16%
Jul 30, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
InterDigital, Inc. is a research and development company that designs and licenses wireless, video, artificial intelligence, and related technologies, generating the majority of its revenue from fixed-fee patent license agreements. As a pure-play intellectual property licensing firm, it holds a unique competitive position as a technology innovator and patent holder in the global communications and entertainment industries. The current investor narrative centers on a landmark patent license agreement with Amazon announced in June 2026, which validates InterDigital's video streaming technology and opens a significant new revenue stream, driving renewed interest in the stock after a period of volatility.

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IDCC 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $303.33
Average Target $303.33
High Target $348.83
Low Target $257.83

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on InterDigital's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $462.67 and implied upside of +52.5% versus the current price.

Average Target

$462.67

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+52.5%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$425 - $488

Analyst target range

Insufficient analyst coverage available. Only one analyst provides estimates, with an average EPS estimate of $14.75 for the next fiscal year, ranging from $13.55 to $15.85. The average revenue estimate is $1.04 billion, with a range of $972 million to $1.10 billion. The limited coverage implies that InterDigital is a small-cap stock with less institutional attention, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. The single analyst's estimates suggest a bullish outlook, but the lack of a consensus recommendation and target price means investors must rely on broader market signals. The recent upgrade by Jefferies to Buy in October 2025 and Roth Capital's continued Buy rating indicate positive sentiment among the few covering firms, but the overall analyst community is sparse.

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IDCC Technical Analysis

InterDigital is in a clear downtrend over the past year, with the stock down 15.5% from a year ago and currently trading at 64.2% of its 52-week range (current price $264.88 vs. 52-week low of $213.06 and high of $412.60). The price sits well below the midpoint of the range, indicating bearish sentiment and potential value opportunity, though the proximity to the 52-week low suggests caution as the stock could be a falling knife. The 1-year relative strength versus SPY is -5.1%, confirming underperformance relative to the broader market. Short-term momentum shows a conflicting picture: the 1-month price change is +4.3%, while the 3-month change is -24.8%, and the 6-month change is -14.3%. The positive 1-month return suggests a potential short-term bounce or reversal attempt, but the steep 3-month decline indicates that the longer-term downtrend remains intact. The divergence between the 1-month and 3-month trends could signal a temporary pullback or the beginning of a mean reversion, but the 6-month negative performance argues against a sustained reversal. The stock's beta of 1.409 indicates it is 40.9% more volatile than the S&P 500, amplifying both upside and downside moves. The 52-week high of $412.60 represents a key resistance level, while the 52-week low of $213.06 provides support. A breakout above $412.60 would signal a strong reversal and renewed uptrend, while a breakdown below $213.06 would indicate further downside and potential capitulation. The recent volume of 214,729 shares is moderate, and the short ratio of 7.38 days suggests elevated short interest, which could fuel a short squeeze on positive news.

Beta

1.41

1.41x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-36.8%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$248-$413

Price range past year

Annual Return

+23.7%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodIDCC ReturnS&P 500
1m+7.1%-0.7%
3m+4.4%+2.9%
6m-7.1%+7.2%
1y+23.7%+16.9%
ytd-7.0%+8.8%

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IDCC Fundamental Analysis

InterDigital's revenue trajectory is highly variable due to the lumpy nature of patent license agreements. In Q4 2025, revenue was $158.23 million, down 37.4% year-over-year from $252.80 million in Q4 2024. However, looking at the trailing twelve months, revenue totaled $833.99 million, with significant quarterly swings: Q1 2025 revenue was $210.51 million, Q2 2025 was $300.60 million, Q3 2025 was $164.68 million, and Q4 2025 was $158.23 million. The YoY decline in Q4 2025 reflects the absence of large licensing deals that boosted prior periods, but the company's business model relies on periodic multi-year agreements, making quarterly comparisons less meaningful. The investment case hinges on the sustainability and growth of licensing revenue, with the new Amazon deal expected to contribute positively in future quarters. The company is highly profitable with a net margin of 48.8% on a trailing twelve-month basis, though Q4 2025 net income was $42.97 million, down from $133.11 million in Q4 2024. Gross margin remains strong at 80.3% for Q4 2025, reflecting the high-margin nature of IP licensing. Operating margin was 55.3% for the trailing twelve months, but Q4 2025 operating margin was 30.2%, down from 64.3% in Q4 2024 due to lower revenue. The company's profitability is robust, but margin compression in recent quarters highlights the impact of revenue variability. InterDigital has a solid balance sheet with a current ratio of 1.84 and a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.44, indicating moderate leverage. Free cash flow for the trailing twelve months was $529.37 million, though Q4 2025 free cash flow was $63.39 million, down from $164.48 million in Q4 2024. The company generated $529.37 million in free cash flow over the last twelve months, providing ample liquidity for dividends and share repurchases. ROE is 36.9%, reflecting strong returns on equity, while ROA is 13.1%. The company's financial health is sound, with cash and investments providing a cushion against revenue volatility.

Quarterly Revenue

$158230000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

-37.4%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

79.6%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$529368000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Revenue - Other
Revenues

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Valuation Analysis: Is IDCC Overvalued?

Since net income is positive, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 20.2x, while the forward P/E is 23.6x, implying that the market expects earnings to decline slightly over the next year. The gap between trailing and forward P/E suggests cautious expectations, possibly due to the lumpy revenue stream. The P/E of 20.2x is below the industry average for software application companies, which typically trade at higher multiples. However, the PS ratio of 9.8x is elevated relative to the sector median, reflecting the high-margin nature of the business. Compared to the industry average P/E of approximately 25x, InterDigital's trailing P/E of 20.2x represents a 19% discount, which may be justified by the revenue volatility and dependence on licensing deals. The PEG ratio of 1.78x suggests that the stock is fairly valued relative to its growth rate, though earnings growth is inconsistent. Historically, InterDigital's trailing P/E has ranged from 5x to 48x over the past five years, with the current 20.2x near the middle of that range. The stock's P/B ratio of 7.5x is above the historical average of around 4x, indicating that the market is pricing in a premium for its asset-light model and high returns on equity. The current valuation appears reasonable but not cheap, reflecting the balance between strong profitability and revenue uncertainty.

PE

20.2x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 5x~48x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

13.6x

Enterprise Value Multiple