nLIGHT, Inc. Common Stock
LASR
$73.91
+11.66%
nLIGHT, Inc. is a technology company that designs, manufactures, and sells high-power semiconductor and fiber lasers, primarily for integration into laser systems serving the aerospace and defense, industrial, and microfabrication end markets. The company operates as a specialized, vertically integrated supplier in the photonics and optoelectronics sector, carving out a niche by focusing on high-performance, high-power laser components rather than complete systems. The current investor narrative is overwhelmingly driven by its association with the broader optoelectronics and AI infrastructure rally, particularly following news of Nvidia's non-exclusive optical technology partnerships in early March 2026, which has propelled the stock and framed it as a potential beneficiary of next-generation computing and defense spending trends.…
LASR
nLIGHT, Inc. Common Stock
$73.91
LASR 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on nLIGHT, Inc. Common Stock's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $96.08 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$96.08
1 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
1
covering this stock
Price Range
$59 - $96
Analyst target range
Insufficient analyst coverage available to form a meaningful consensus. The data indicates only one analyst providing estimates, with an average EPS estimate of $1.80 and an average revenue estimate of $563 million. The institutional ratings list shows several firms (Needham, Cantor Fitzgerald, Stifel, etc.) maintaining 'Buy' or equivalent ratings, but no consensus price target or distribution is provided. This limited coverage is typical for a small to mid-cap company like nLIGHT and implies higher volatility and less efficient price discovery, as the stock's moves are more driven by macro narratives and sector flows than by detailed fundamental analysis from a broad analyst community.
The implications of minimal analyst coverage are significant: it often denotes lower institutional ownership and liquidity, which can exacerbate price swings. The wide target range cannot be determined, but the recent uniform 'Buy' actions from the few covering firms, all occurring in 2025 and early 2026, suggest a bullish institutional sentiment aligned with the company's improving fundamentals and sector tailwinds. However, the lack of a broad analyst base means investor sentiment is more susceptible to shifts in market risk appetite and thematic investing trends, as evidenced by the stock's massive rally on optoelectronics sector news rather than company-specific developments.
LASR Technical Analysis
The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 1-year price change of +877.94%. As of the latest close at $75.79, the price is trading at approximately 94% of its 52-week range ($7.47 to $80.27), positioning it near all-time highs which signals extreme momentum but also raises concerns about potential overextension and vulnerability to a sharp correction. Recent momentum remains exceptionally strong but shows signs of volatility; the 3-month return of +72.52% significantly outpaces the 1-month gain of +5.63%, indicating that while the longer-term trend is intact, the pace of ascent has moderated recently, possibly entering a consolidation phase after the explosive move from February to March 2026.
The short-term momentum divergence is notable, with the 1-month return of +5.63% being positive but paling in comparison to the preceding months, suggesting a potential cooling-off period or profit-taking. This is further contextualized by the stock's extreme beta of 2.27, indicating it is more than twice as volatile as the broader market, which explains the violent swings observed in the price data, such as the drop from above $71 to $54 in late March before a rapid recovery. Key technical levels are clear: immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $80.27, a breakout above which could signal a continuation of the parabolic move, while a breakdown below the recent swing low near $54 (from March 30) would suggest a deeper correction is underway, with the ultimate safety net being the 52-week low of $7.47, though a retracement to that level seems improbable barring a complete narrative collapse.
Support and resistance analysis is challenging given the stock's meteoric rise, but the 52-week high of $80.27 serves as the primary resistance, while the March 30 low of $54.00 and the 50-day moving average (implied by the price trend) around $60 could act as dynamic support zones. The stock's beta of 2.27 confirms its status as a high-risk, high-volatility instrument; this extreme volatility necessitates careful position sizing, as moves of 10-20% in a short period are commonplace, as seen in the price data where the stock fell -27.07% from its peak in a matter of days in March.
Beta
2.33
2.33x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-24.7%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$11-$87
Price range past year
Annual Return
+758.4%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | LASR Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +22.5% | +9.1% |
| 3m | +44.6% | +6.8% |
| 6m | +116.4% | +9.9% |
| 1y | +758.4% | +30.5% |
| ytd | +92.6% | +8.2% |
Bobby - Your AI Investment Partner
Get real-time data, AI-driven personalized investment analysis to make smarter investment decisions
LASR Fundamental Analysis
Revenue is on a strong growth trajectory, with the most recent quarterly revenue (Q4 2025) reaching $81.185 million, representing a robust 71.35% year-over-year growth. This acceleration is clear when examining the sequential quarterly trend: revenue grew from $51.668 million in Q1 2025 to $81.185 million in Q4 2025, indicating sustained quarter-over-quarter expansion. Segment data reveals the Aerospace and Defense segment is the primary growth driver, contributing $56.298 million in the latest period, significantly outpacing the Industrial ($10.668 million) and Microfabrication ($14.219 million) segments, underscoring the company's leverage to defense spending.
The company remains unprofitable on a net income basis, reporting a Q4 2025 net loss of $4.909 million, which translates to an EPS of -$0.10. However, profitability metrics are showing marked improvement; the gross margin for Q4 2025 was 30.74%, a significant recovery from the severely depressed 2.39% gross margin in Q4 2024, and the net margin improved to -6.05% from -52.68% over the same period. The operating margin remains negative at -6.66% for Q4 2025, but the trend is positive, moving from an abysmal -55.78% in Q4 2024, indicating the company is on a path toward operational breakeven as sales scale.
The balance sheet is healthy with a strong liquidity position, evidenced by a current ratio of 3.79 and a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.16, indicating minimal financial leverage risk. The company generated positive free cash flow on a TTM basis of $12.298 million, and the latest quarterly cash flow statement shows operating cash flow of $17.518 million and free cash flow of $15.93 million for Q4 2025. With cash and equivalents of $99.021 million as of Q4 2025 and an ROE of -10.35%, the financial health is solid, providing a cushion to fund growth and weather potential downturns without immediate need for dilutive financing.
Quarterly Revenue
$81185000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.71%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.30%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$12298000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
Open an Account, get $2 TSLA now!
Valuation Analysis: Is LASR Overvalued?
Given the company's negative net income and negative EBITDA, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is 7.31, while the forward PS ratio can be implied from the market cap and analyst revenue estimate, but a direct forward PS is not provided; the high current multiple reflects the market's anticipation of continued hyper-growth. The significant year-over-year revenue growth of 71.35% provides some context for the elevated sales multiple, as investors are paying for future scale and potential profitability.
Peer comparison for valuation multiples is challenging as specific industry averages are not provided in the data. However, a PS ratio of 7.31 for a company in the semiconductor/laser sector with over 70% YoY growth could be considered elevated but potentially justified if the growth is sustainable and leads to future margin expansion. The absence of direct comparator data limits a definitive premium/discount analysis, but the stock's extreme price performance suggests the market is awarding a substantial growth premium relative to more mature industry players.
Historical context reveals the stock's valuation has expanded dramatically alongside its price. The current PS ratio of 7.31 is significantly higher than its recent historical levels; for instance, the PS ratio was 23.53 as of Q4 2025 per the historical ratios data, but that figure appears to be based on a different market cap calculation. Examining the trend in the provided historical data, the PS ratio has fluctuated wildly from lows near 7.38 (Q1 2025) to highs above 23 (Q4 2025), indicating extreme volatility in how sales are being valued. Trading near the upper end of its own historical valuation range suggests the market is pricing in highly optimistic expectations for growth continuation and a rapid path to profitability, leaving little room for execution missteps.
PE
-81.4x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Low-End
5-Year PE Range -97x~-5x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-92.6x
Enterprise Value Multiple

