Opendoor
OPEN
$5.41
+1.88%
Opendoor Technologies Inc. operates an end-to-end digital real estate platform that enables consumers to buy and sell homes online, primarily through its core 'Sell to Opendoor' product where it purchases homes directly from sellers and subsequently resells them. The company positions itself as a technology-driven disruptor in the traditional real estate brokerage industry, aiming to streamline and digitize the historically complex and opaque home transaction process. The current investor narrative is intensely focused on the company's ongoing turnaround story, as recent earnings reports highlight significant operational improvements, such as reducing stale inventory, under new leadership, yet this progress is set against a backdrop of persistent deep losses and a challenging housing market characterized by rising mortgage rates and geopolitical uncertainty.…
OPEN
Opendoor
$5.41
Related headlines
OPEN 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Opendoor's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $7.03 and implied upside of +29.9% versus the current price.
Average Target
$7.03
7 analysts
Implied Upside
+29.9%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
7
covering this stock
Price Range
$4 - $7
Analyst target range
Insufficient analyst coverage available to provide a meaningful consensus target price or recommendation distribution. The provided data indicates only 7 analysts contributing to revenue and EPS estimates, but no average price target is given. This limited coverage is typical for a company of Opendoor's profile—a mid-cap, recently public, and structurally unprofitable disruptor—and implies higher volatility and less efficient price discovery as the stock is driven more by speculative flows and quarterly execution updates than by institutional research conviction. The available institutional ratings show a pattern of maintained but cautious stances, with recent actions from firms like Deutsche Bank and UBS reiterating 'Hold' and 'Neutral' ratings, respectively, while JMP Securities has consistently maintained a positive 'Market Outperform' rating, indicating a bifurcated view between waiting for proof of profitability and betting on the long-term disruption thesis.
OPEN Technical Analysis
The stock is in a pronounced downtrend over the medium term, with a 6-month price change of -34.55% and a year-to-date decline of -16.97%, indicating sustained selling pressure. Currently trading at $5.04, the price sits at approximately 46% of its 52-week range ($0.508 to $10.87), positioning it closer to the lower bound and suggesting it may be approaching a potential value zone, though it remains a 'falling knife' within the prevailing downtrend. Recent momentum shows a stark divergence from the broader market, with the stock down 9.68% over the past month while the SPY gained 6.31%, resulting in a severe relative strength reading of -15.99, which signals accelerating underperformance and a lack of buying interest despite the depressed price level. Key technical levels are clearly defined, with immediate resistance at the recent high near $7.58 from early December and formidable resistance at the 52-week high of $10.87, while the critical support level is the 52-week low of $0.508; a breakdown below this historic low would signal a catastrophic loss of confidence, whereas any sustained move above the $7.50 area could indicate the downtrend is abating.
Beta
—
—
Max Drawdown
-58.0%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$1-$11
Price range past year
Annual Return
+836.8%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | OPEN Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -0.6% | +5.4% |
| 3m | +10.9% | +10.9% |
| 6m | -28.6% | +11.0% |
| 1y | +836.8% | +28.1% |
| ytd | -10.9% | +11.4% |
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OPEN Fundamental Analysis
Revenue trajectory is volatile and currently declining, with Q4 2025 revenue of $736 million representing a steep 32.1% year-over-year contraction, and the sequential trend from Q3's $915 million indicates a sharp quarterly deceleration, driven by a strategic pullback in home acquisition volume as part of its turnaround focus on profitability over growth. The company is deeply unprofitable, with a Q4 net loss of $1.096 billion and a gross margin of only 6.25%, though this represents a significant compression from the 7.21% gross margin in Q3; the massive loss was heavily influenced by a $906 million non-cash impairment charge, while the underlying operating loss was $151 million, highlighting the severe challenges in achieving unit economics in a cooling housing market. The balance sheet shows a strong current ratio of 7.03 and a modest debt-to-equity ratio of 0.19, indicating ample short-term liquidity and low financial leverage, but the trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $1.037 billion is positive primarily due to large inventory liquidations, and the negative Return on Equity of -129.35% underscores the destructive capital efficiency as losses erode the equity base.
Quarterly Revenue
$736000000.0B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
-0.32%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.06%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$1.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
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Valuation Analysis: Is OPEN Overvalued?
Given the consistently negative net income, the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. The trailing PS ratio is 1.02, based on a market cap of $4.47 billion, while the forward-looking valuation is not directly calculable but implied by analyst revenue estimates averaging $7.76 billion for the coming year, which would suggest a forward PS of approximately 0.58 if the current price holds, indicating the market is pricing in significant revenue growth. Compared to the broader real estate services sector, a PS ratio around 1.0 is generally in line with or at a slight discount to asset-light platform peers, but the discount reflects justified skepticism given Opendoor's operational risks, capital-intensive model, and lack of profitability. Historically, the stock's own PS ratio has fluctuated wildly, from a high of 6.07 in Q4 2025 (distorted by the revenue collapse) down to lows near 0.25 in mid-2025; the current PS of 1.02 is below the recent extreme high but above the cycle low, suggesting the valuation has partially normalized but remains in a zone where expectations are low, leaving room for multiple expansion only if the profitability roadmap shows concrete progress.
PE
-3.4x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -54x~48x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-3.3x
Enterprise Value Multiple

