OSIS

OSI Systems

$206.73

-5.21%
Aug 21, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
OSI Systems Inc is a designer and manufacturer of electronic systems and components for critical markets, operating across three segments: Security (its largest revenue driver), Healthcare, and Optoelectronics/Manufacturing. The company is a niche player and established supplier in specialized homeland security, defense, and medical technology sectors, known for its security and inspection systems, patient monitoring, and diagnostic devices. The current investor narrative is shaped by the company's strong revenue growth in its most recent quarter, yet this is juxtaposed against a significant recent stock price decline, suggesting investor focus on potential execution risks, margin pressures, or broader market re-rating despite solid fundamental performance in its core government and healthcare contracts.

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OSIS 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $206.73
Average Target $206.73
High Target $237.74
Low Target $175.72

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on OSI Systems's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $298.14 and implied upside of +44.2% versus the current price.

Average Target

$298.14

0 analysts

Implied Upside

+44.2%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

covering this stock

Price Range

$270 - $320

Analyst target range

Analyst coverage for OSIS is limited, with only 4 analysts providing estimates, which is typical for a mid-cap technology hardware company. The consensus sentiment leans bullish, as evidenced by recent institutional ratings from firms like Roth Capital and B. Riley Securities maintaining 'Buy' or 'Outperform' ratings, while JP Morgan holds a 'Neutral' stance. The average target price implied by EPS and revenue estimates suggests a forward-looking view, though a specific consensus price target is not provided in the data; the average revenue estimate for the forward period is approximately $2.08 billion. The wide range in analyst EPS estimates, from a low of $12.80 to a high of $13.46, indicates some degree of uncertainty or variability in forecasts, which is common for companies with lumpy government contract revenues. The high-end targets likely assume successful execution on large security system contracts and sustained margin improvement, while the low-end may factor in potential project delays or competitive pressures. The recent price decline may not be fully reflected in these estimates, suggesting analyst targets could be subject to revision. The limited coverage and wide estimate range contribute to higher stock-specific volatility and less efficient price discovery.

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OSIS Technical Analysis

The stock is in a pronounced downtrend from its highs, having declined 16.75% over the last three months and 4.67% over the past year, starkly underperforming the SPY, which gained 22.86% over the same one-year period. With a current price of $225.53, the stock is trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, at approximately 72% of the distance from its 52-week low of $197.27 to its high of $311.72, indicating it is in a zone that could represent either a value opportunity or a continuation of weakness. The 1-month price change of +3.22% shows a nascent attempt at a bounce from deeply oversold levels in May, but this short-term recovery momentum is weak relative to the severe 3-month drawdown and remains well below the 52-week high. Recent momentum shows a sharp divergence, with a positive 1-month return of 3.22% contrasting with the deeply negative 3-month and 6-month returns of -16.75% and -13.07%, respectively. This suggests the stock is attempting to find a bottom after a precipitous fall from above $300 in April to below $210 in May, but the recovery lacks conviction and faces significant overhead resistance. The stock's beta of 1.20 indicates it is approximately 20% more volatile than the broader market, which has contributed to amplified downside moves during the recent sell-off. Key technical support is clearly defined at the recent 52-week low of $197.27, while major resistance sits at the 52-week high of $311.72. A sustained break below the $197 support would signal a continuation of the bearish trend and potentially open the door to further declines, whereas a recovery above the $250-260 zone (the former support from February) would be the first step towards stabilizing the chart. The elevated beta of 1.20 underscores the stock's higher volatility, meaning position sizing and risk management are critical, as moves are typically more pronounced than the overall market.

Beta

1.21

1.21x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-36.1%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$187-$312

Price range past year

Annual Return

-5.1%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodOSIS ReturnS&P 500
1m-1.5%+2.5%
3m-6.9%+2.7%
6m-29.4%+11.1%
1y-5.1%+20.5%
ytd-19.1%+12.3%

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OSIS Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth remains robust, with the latest quarterly revenue of $464.1 million representing a 10.5% year-over-year increase. This growth is consistent with a multi-quarter trend of expansion, as evidenced by sequential quarterly revenues of $384.6M, $504.99M, and $444.35M in the preceding periods. The Security segment, which generates the majority of revenue, is the primary growth driver, supported by strong demand in homeland security and defense markets. This sustained top-line growth underscores the company's solid backlog and execution in its core markets. Profitability is healthy but showed some margin compression in the most recent quarter. Net income for Q2 (Dec 2025) was $38.7 million, with a net margin of 8.34%, which is down from the 10.45% net margin reported in the prior Q4 (Jun 2025). Gross margin for the quarter was 32.67%, a slight sequential dip from 33.32% in the prior quarter, though operating margin held relatively steady at 12.67%. The company is consistently profitable, but investors should monitor whether margin pressures from input costs or mix changes persist. The balance sheet shows moderate leverage with a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.72, indicating a manageable capital structure. Liquidity is solid with a current ratio of 2.04. More importantly, the company generates substantial free cash flow, with TTM free cash flow of $142.3 million, providing ample internal funding for operations and potential share repurchases, as evidenced by the $147 million in stock repurchases in the latest quarter. Return on equity of 15.7% demonstrates efficient use of shareholder capital.

Quarterly Revenue

$464057000.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+10.5%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

32.7%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$142327000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Product
Service

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Valuation Analysis: Is OSIS Overvalued?

Given the company's consistent profitability with a positive net income, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio. The trailing P/E stands at 25.8x, while the forward P/E is notably lower at 19.8x, indicating the market expects earnings growth to continue and improve, thereby compressing the multiple on forward estimates. Compared to industry averages, OSIS trades at a significant premium. Its trailing P/E of 25.8x is well above the typical hardware/equipment sector average, which often resides in the mid-to-high teens. Similarly, its Price-to-Sales ratio of 2.25x and EV/EBITDA of 17.0x also suggest a premium valuation. This premium is likely justified by the company's superior growth profile (double-digit revenue growth) and its niche, mission-critical positioning in secure markets, which may command higher multiples due to perceived stability and growth visibility. Historically, the stock's own valuation has compressed from recent highs. The current trailing P/E of 25.8x is below the 27.6x seen at the end of December 2025 and has declined from levels above 50x during less profitable quarters. While not at the bottom of its historical range (which has seen P/E dip into the teens), the current multiple reflects a market re-rating following the price decline and suggests expectations have been moderated, though they remain optimistic relative to the company's own history and the broader sector.

PE

24.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range 9x~39x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

20.2x

Enterprise Value Multiple