Qualcomm
QCOM
$250.01
+3.81%
Qualcomm Inc. is a global leader in the semiconductor industry, primarily focused on developing and licensing foundational wireless technologies and designing advanced chipsets for smartphones, automotive systems, and Internet of Things (IoT) devices. The company's distinct competitive identity is built on its dual-revenue model, combining a high-margin patent licensing business (QTL) with its world-leading wireless chipset design and sales (QCT). The current investor narrative is overwhelmingly centered on Qualcomm's successful pivot from a legacy smartphone-centric story to a key player in the AI era, particularly in edge AI inference and data center custom silicon, as validated by recent major customer wins like a reported AI chip deal with ByteDance's TikTok, which is driving a significant valuation re-rating.…
QCOM
Qualcomm
$250.01
Related headlines
QCOM 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Qualcomm's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $325.01 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.
Average Target
$325.01
8 analysts
Implied Upside
+30.0%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
8
covering this stock
Price Range
$200 - $325
Analyst target range
Analyst coverage for Qualcomm appears limited in the provided data, with only 8 analysts cited for EPS estimates, and no explicit consensus rating, target price, or buy/hold/sell distribution is given. The estimated EPS average for the fiscal year is $14.98, with a range from $14.18 to $16.47, while estimated revenue averages $55.23 billion. The absence of a clear consensus target price and the low analyst count suggest coverage may be incomplete in this dataset, which can be typical for data snapshots. The high target spread in EPS estimates (a low of $14.18 vs. a high of $16.47) signals meaningful uncertainty among analysts regarding the company's near-term earnings power, likely tied to the volatility in its core markets and the nascent contribution from its AI initiatives. Recent institutional rating actions show a mixed but generally upgrading sentiment; for example, Loop Capital upgraded from Hold to Buy in February 2026, while Bernstein downgraded from Outperform to Market Perform in March 2026. This divergence in analyst views underscores the ongoing debate about Qualcomm's ability to sustainably capture the AI opportunity and re-rate its valuation.
QCOM Technical Analysis
The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a 1-year price change of +69.22% and a 3-month surge of +76.33%. As of the latest close at $251.02, the price is trading at approximately 97% of its 52-week high of $259.92, indicating it is near peak momentum levels and may be susceptible to profit-taking or overextension. Recent short-term momentum is exceptionally strong but shows signs of volatility; the stock rocketed +60.91% over the past month, dramatically outpacing the SPY's +6.31% gain, yet this followed a sharp correction from a peak near $249 in late May, suggesting the rally may be entering a volatile consolidation phase after its parabolic rise. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $121.99, while immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $259.92. A decisive breakout above $260 would signal a continuation of the powerful bullish trend, potentially targeting new all-time highs, while a breakdown below the recent consolidation range around $200 would indicate a deeper correction is underway. The stock's beta of 1.493 confirms it is approximately 50% more volatile than the broader market, which necessitates larger position-sizing buffers for risk management given its recent explosive moves. The stock's relative strength metrics are exceptionally strong, with a 1-year relative strength of +41.01% versus the SPY, and a 3-month relative strength of +66.05%, underscoring its leadership during the recent market rally. However, the maximum drawdown of -33.89% over the provided period highlights the significant downside volatility investors have experienced, reinforcing that this high-beta name carries substantial risk alongside its impressive returns.
Beta
1.49
1.49x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-33.9%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$122-$260
Price range past year
Annual Return
+67.9%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | QCOM Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | +48.5% | +5.0% |
| 3m | +82.5% | +10.7% |
| 6m | +43.0% | +10.0% |
| 1y | +67.9% | +26.5% |
| ytd | +44.5% | +10.6% |
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QCOM Fundamental Analysis
Qualcomm's revenue trajectory shows modest growth with some quarterly volatility; the most recent Q1 FY2026 revenue was $12.25 billion, representing a 5% year-over-year increase from the year-ago quarter's $11.67 billion. Examining the multi-quarter trend, revenue has grown from $9.39B in Q2 FY2024 to the recent $12.25B, but the sequential pattern is uneven, with a notable dip in Q4 FY2025 to $11.27B. Segment data reveals the QCT (chip) business drove the majority of sales at $10.61B in the latest quarter, while the high-margin QTL (licensing) segment contributed $1.59B, indicating the core growth engine remains the chip division, particularly as it expands into new AI and automotive markets. The company is profitable, with Q1 FY2026 net income of $3.00 billion, translating to a net margin of 24.5%. Gross margin for the quarter was a healthy 54.55%, and the trailing twelve-month operating margin stands at 27.9%. However, profitability has been inconsistent, as evidenced by a significant net loss of -$3.12 billion in Q4 FY2025 due to a large income tax expense; excluding that anomaly, net income has generally been positive and stable in the $2.1B to $3.2B range over the past two years, with gross margins consistently above 55%, which is robust for the semiconductor industry. Balance sheet and cash flow health are strong. The company maintains a solid current ratio of 2.82 and a manageable debt-to-equity ratio of 0.77. It generates substantial cash, with TTM free cash flow of $12.93 billion, providing ample internal funding for growth, dividends, and buybacks. Return on Equity (ROE) is an impressive 26.13%, and Return on Assets (ROA) is 12.69%, indicating efficient use of capital. The strong free cash flow, coupled with a dividend yield of 2.1% and a payout ratio of 68.7%, demonstrates a shareholder-friendly capital return policy supported by a robust financial foundation.
Quarterly Revenue
$12.3B
2025-12
Revenue YoY Growth
+0.05%
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.54%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$12.9B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is QCOM Overvalued?
Given that Net Income is positive ($3.00B in the latest quarter), the primary valuation metric selected is the Price-to-Earnings (PE) ratio. Qualcomm trades at a trailing PE of 32.70x and a forward PE of 23.60x based on analyst estimates. The significant discount of the forward PE implies the market expects robust earnings growth, with analysts projecting FY2026 EPS to surge to approximately $14.98 from a depressed trailing base. Compared to sector averages, Qualcomm's trailing PE of 32.70x and Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio of 4.09x are at a premium to many semiconductor peers, though direct industry average data is not provided in the valuation set. The EV/EBITDA of 12.71x appears reasonable for a company with its growth profile and margin structure. The current premium is likely justified by the market's anticipation of accelerated growth from its AI inference and data center custom chip initiatives, which could expand its total addressable market beyond smartphones. Historically, the stock's current trailing PE of 32.70x is above its own historical range observed in the provided data, which has fluctuated between approximately 9.56x and 26.32x over the past several years. Trading near the top of its historical valuation band suggests the market is pricing in highly optimistic expectations for the company's AI-driven transformation. This leaves little room for execution missteps, as any disappointment could lead to significant multiple contraction.
PE
32.7x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
High-End
5-Year PE Range -15x~26x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
12.7x
Enterprise Value Multiple

