RVMD

Revolution Medicines, Inc. Common Stock

$149.23

-4.15%
Jun 5, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Revolution Medicines is a clinical-stage precision oncology company focused on developing novel targeted therapies for RAS-addicted cancers, a historically challenging area of oncology. The company is a notable player in the biotech sector, distinguished by its proprietary platform to create small molecules targeting unconventional binding sites on RAS variants, known as RAS(ON) Inhibitors. The current investor narrative is overwhelmingly driven by the recent positive Phase 3 clinical data for its lead candidate, daraxonrasib, in pancreatic cancer, which reported a doubling of survival versus chemotherapy, and the subsequent completion of a massive $2.2 billion capital raise to fund its ambitious late-stage pipeline.

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RVMD 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $149.23
Average Target $149.23
High Target $171.61449999999996
Low Target $126.84549999999999

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Revolution Medicines, Inc. Common Stock's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $194.00 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$194.00

7 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

7

covering this stock

Price Range

$119 - $194

Analyst target range

Buy
2 (29%)
Hold
3 (43%)
Sell
2 (29%)

Analyst sentiment is uniformly bullish, with 7 firms providing coverage and all issuing Buy-equivalent ratings (Overweight, Outperform, Buy) as per the institutional ratings data from January and February 2026. The consensus recommendation is a strong Buy. The average target price implied by analyst EPS estimates is $9.23, but this appears to be an EPS estimate, not a price target. The provided data does not contain a consensus price target or a range of price targets, only EPS and revenue estimates. Therefore, a precise calculation of implied upside/downside to a consensus target is not possible. The wide range in EPS estimates, from $0.42 to $28.01, signals extreme uncertainty about the timing and magnitude of future profitability, which is standard for a company at this development stage. The recent news of successful Phase 3 data and a large capital raise likely underpins the bullish ratings, as it de-risks the path forward. The lack of a specific price target in the data suggests analysts may be focusing on binary clinical outcomes rather than traditional valuation models at this juncture.

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RVMD Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by its staggering 1-year price change of +285.56%, significantly outperforming the S&P 500's 27.04% gain. As of the latest close at $155.69, the price is trading near the top of its 52-week range of $34.00 to $166.50, sitting at approximately 93% of that range. This positioning near all-time highs reflects extreme momentum and investor optimism but also suggests the stock is extended and vulnerable to a significant pullback if sentiment shifts. Recent momentum has been exceptionally strong but volatile; the stock surged over 40% in a single day in mid-April 2026 on positive clinical news, leading to a 3-month return of +58.22%. However, the 1-month return of +5.76% indicates a consolidation phase following that explosive move, as the price has traded in a wide range between $131.67 and $163.68 over the past month. Key technical levels are clear: the 52-week high of $166.50 serves as immediate resistance, and a decisive breakout above it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend. Conversely, the 52-week low of $34.00 is far below, with more immediate support likely around the $130-$135 area, which was tested in late April. The stock's beta of 1.413 indicates it is approximately 41% more volatile than the broader market, which is typical for a clinical-stage biotech and necessitates larger position-sizing adjustments for risk management.

Beta

1.41

1.41x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-24.9%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$34-$167

Price range past year

Annual Return

+271.2%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodRVMD ReturnS&P 500
1m-1.2%-0.0%
3m+51.7%+8.7%
6m+87.4%+8.0%
1y+271.2%+23.1%
ytd+88.9%+8.2%

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RVMD Fundamental Analysis

As a pre-revenue clinical-stage biotech, Revolution Medicines' financials are defined by significant investment in R&D and no product revenue. The most recent quarterly report (Q4 2025) shows zero revenue, consistent with the prior eight quarters. The company's 'Collaboration Revenue' segment generated $7.0 million in the period, but this is immaterial relative to its massive operating expenses. The growth narrative is entirely pipeline-driven, not financial, with the recent $2.2 billion capital raise being the most significant financial event to fund future clinical trials. The company is deeply unprofitable, reporting a net loss of $364.9 million for Q4 2025 and a gross profit of negative $4.7 million, reflecting costs associated with collaboration agreements. Losses have been widening sequentially, from -$1.13 per share in Q1 2025 to -$1.90 in Q4 2025, as R&D expenses ramped from $205.7 million to $292.6 million over the same period, indicating accelerated investment in its clinical programs. The balance sheet and cash flow situation has been transformed by the recent offering. Prior to the raise, the company was burning significant cash, with operating cash flow of -$274.2 million and free cash flow of -$276.2 million in Q4 2025. However, the $2.2 billion gross proceeds provide a substantial runway, de-risking the financial outlook. The debt-to-equity ratio is a low 0.097, and the current ratio is a robust 7.14, indicating strong liquidity, which will be further bolstered by the new capital.

Quarterly Revenue

$0.0B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

N/A

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

N/A

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$-913731000.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue Breakdown

Collaboration Revenue Member

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Valuation Analysis: Is RVMD Overvalued?

Given the company's negative net income and EBITDA, the primary valuation metric is the Price-to-Sales (PS) ratio. However, with effectively zero product revenue, the trailing PS ratio is not meaningful (0). The forward-looking valuation is entirely based on the market's assessment of the pipeline's potential, not current financials. A peer comparison using traditional multiples is not applicable as the company lacks the revenue and profitability metrics of commercial-stage biotech or pharmaceutical peers. The stock's market cap of approximately $15.1 billion reflects a high-conviction bet on the future commercial success of its RAS(ON) inhibitor platform, particularly daraxonrasib. Historically, the stock's valuation has expanded dramatically alongside positive clinical data. For instance, the price-to-book (P/B) ratio has surged from 3.24 at the end of 2024 to 9.28 as of the latest data, a 186% increase, reflecting the massive re-rating following the Phase 3 success. Trading near its historical peak valuation multiples, the market is pricing in a high probability of clinical success and future blockbuster sales, leaving little room for clinical setbacks.

PE

-13.4x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

Mid-Range

5-Year PE Range -22x~-6x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

-13.7x

Enterprise Value Multiple