TECO Energy
TE
$7.35
+5.76%
T1 Energy Inc. is an energy solutions provider building an integrated U.S. solar supply chain, manufacturing and selling photovoltaic (PV) solar modules using PERC and TOPCon technologies. As a domestic solar manufacturer focused on utility-scale, commercial, and residential markets, it distinguishes itself through its vertically integrated U.S. production footprint in Texas. The current investor narrative centers on the company's strategic pivot into energy storage and AI infrastructure via the acquisition of KORE Power, which is expected to drive long-term revenue and EBITDA growth, while the stock has experienced extreme volatility amid its transition from a pre-revenue development stage to a commercial manufacturer.…
TE
TECO Energy
$7.35
Related headlines
TE 12-Month Price Forecast
Wall Street consensus
Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on TECO Energy's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $9.55 and implied upside of +29.9% versus the current price.
Average Target
$9.55
3 analysts
Implied Upside
+29.9%
vs. current price
Analyst Count
3
covering this stock
Price Range
$6 - $10
Analyst target range
Only 3 analysts cover T1 Energy, with consensus estimates pointing to EPS of $0.92 for the current fiscal year. The average revenue estimate is $1.92 billion, implying a massive leap from the current run rate, reflecting expectations from the KORE Power acquisition. While specific price targets are not provided, the estimated EPS range of $0.85 to $1.01 suggests analysts see a clear path to profitability. The limited coverage (3 analysts) means the stock is underfollowed, which can lead to higher volatility and less efficient price discovery. Institutional ratings show a mix: BTIG upgraded to Buy in October 2025, while earlier downgrades from Morgan Stanley, BofA, and Goldman Sachs in 2023 reflect the stock's turbulent history. The wide dispersion in ratings (from Underperform to Buy) indicates high uncertainty about the company's execution and market positioning. The lack of a consensus target price and the small analyst base mean investors should rely more on fundamental milestones and industry trends than on analyst sentiment for decision-making.
TE Technical Analysis
The stock exhibits a dramatic recovery from a deep downtrend, with a 1-year price change of +507.1%, though it remains well below its 52-week high of $12.49. Currently trading at $8.56, the stock sits at 68.5% of its 52-week range, suggesting it has rebounded significantly but still has room to run before challenging prior highs. The 52-week low of $1.15 highlights the extreme volatility and the stock's speculative nature. Short-term momentum shows a stark divergence: the 1-month change is -28.9%, indicating a sharp pullback from the May-June rally, while the 3-month change remains strongly positive at +104.3%. This divergence suggests the recent selloff may be a corrective retracement within a larger uptrend, but the speed of the decline warrants caution. The beta of 2.166 confirms the stock is more than twice as volatile as the S&P 500, amplifying both upside and downside moves. Key support lies near the 52-week low of $1.15, while resistance is at the 52-week high of $12.49. A breakout above $12.49 would signal a resumption of the uptrend, while a breakdown below recent lows could test the $4-5 area. The elevated beta means position sizing should account for potential swings of 10% or more in short periods.
Beta
2.17
2.17x market volatility
Max Drawdown
-58.6%
Largest decline past year
52-Week Range
$1-$12
Price range past year
Annual Return
+390.0%
Cumulative gain past year
| Period | TE Return | S&P 500 |
|---|---|---|
| 1m | -19.5% | +0.8% |
| 3m | +75.8% | +9.6% |
| 6m | +5.9% | +7.4% |
| 1y | +390.0% | +20.2% |
| ytd | -6.3% | +9.3% |
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TE Fundamental Analysis
Revenue has grown rapidly from zero in early 2024 to $90.4 million in Q3 2025, reflecting the ramp-up of solar module production. However, the trajectory is uneven: Q2 2025 revenue was $66.5 million, and Q1 2025 was $64.6 million, indicating sequential growth is decelerating. The company remains unprofitable, with a net loss of -$130.6 million in Q3 2025, though losses have narrowed from -$367.1 million in Q4 2024. Gross margin improved to 23.4% in Q3 2025 from negative territory in prior quarters, but operating margin remains deeply negative at -104.8%, reflecting high operating expenses relative to revenue. The balance sheet shows a debt-to-equity ratio of 1.02, indicating moderate leverage, but free cash flow turned positive at $54.9 million in Q3 2025 after being negative for several quarters. However, trailing twelve-month free cash flow is -$54.7 million, and the company has relied on equity issuance ($50 million in Q4 2024) to fund operations. ROE is deeply negative at -114.3%, reflecting persistent losses relative to shareholder equity.
Quarterly Revenue
$90385000.0B
2025-09
Revenue YoY Growth
N/A
YoY Comparison
Gross Margin
+0.23%
Latest Quarter
Free Cash Flow
$-54731000.0B
Last 12 Months
Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)
Revenue Breakdown
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Valuation Analysis: Is TE Overvalued?
Since net income is negative (TTM EPS of -$0.32), the trailing PE ratio is not meaningful, so we lead with the price-to-sales (PS) ratio. The current PS ratio is 1.54x, while the forward PE (based on estimated EPS of $0.92) is 41.8x, implying the market expects a sharp turnaround to profitability. The gap between the negative trailing PE and positive forward PE reflects aggressive growth expectations embedded in the stock price. Compared to the Electrical Equipment & Parts industry average PS ratio of approximately 1.0x, T1 Energy trades at a 54% premium, which may be justified by its revenue growth trajectory and strategic pivot into energy storage. Historically, the PS ratio has ranged from near zero (pre-revenue) to over 124x in Q4 2024 when revenue was minimal. The current PS of 1.54x is near the lower end of its historical range, suggesting the market is not yet pricing in the full potential of the KORE Power acquisition and revenue ramp. The PB ratio of 3.6x is elevated relative to historical levels near 1.0x, indicating the market is assigning a premium to the company's asset base.
PE
-3.1x
Latest Quarter
vs. Historical
Mid-Range
5-Year PE Range -56x~43x
vs. Industry Avg
N/A
Industry PE ~N/A*
EV/EBITDA
-6.2x
Enterprise Value Multiple

