TER

Teradyne

$432.41

+7.24%
Jun 15, 2026
Bobby Quantitative Model
Teradyne is a leading provider of automated test equipment (ATE) for semiconductors, system testing for hard disk drives and electronics, and wireless testing for devices, operating within the semiconductor capital equipment industry. The company is a market leader in semiconductor testing, particularly for complex, high-performance chips, and has diversified into industrial automation through its collaborative and autonomous robotics segment. The current investor narrative is intensely focused on Teradyne's critical role in enabling the AI chip revolution, with its stock experiencing extreme volatility as investors debate whether its recent blockbuster revenue growth driven by AI-related demand is sustainable or if the company faces near-term margin pressure and cyclical lumpiness in orders.

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TER 12-Month Price Forecast

Historical Price
Current Price $432.41
Average Target $432.41
High Target $497.2715
Low Target $367.5485

Wall Street consensus

Most Wall Street analysts maintain a constructive view on Teradyne's 12-month outlook, with a consensus price target around $562.13 and implied upside of +30.0% versus the current price.

Average Target

$562.13

10 analysts

Implied Upside

+30.0%

vs. current price

Analyst Count

10

covering this stock

Price Range

$346 - $562

Analyst target range

Buy
3 (30%)
Hold
5 (50%)
Sell
2 (20%)

A cohort of 10 analysts provides coverage on Teradyne, and the institutional ratings show a unanimous bullish sentiment with recent actions from firms like Baird, Goldman Sachs, and Citigroup all maintaining Buy or Outperform ratings. The consensus revenue estimate for the upcoming period is approximately $6.92 billion, with an average EPS estimate of $13.58, implying strong forward growth expectations from the analyst community. The target price range derived from EPS estimates suggests a low target around $10.10 and a high target near $17.98 on a per-share basis, indicating a wide spread that reflects significant uncertainty about the near-term earnings trajectory and the sustainability of the current growth cycle amidst potential cyclical headwinds.

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TER Technical Analysis

The stock is in a powerful, sustained uptrend, evidenced by a staggering 369.33% gain over the past year, but is currently experiencing volatile consolidation near its recent highs. With a current price of $403.2, it is trading at approximately 95.5% of its 52-week high of $422.11, indicating it is near the peak of its recent range, which reflects strong momentum but also suggests potential overextension and vulnerability to a pullback. The 1-month and 3-month price changes of +10.96% and +40.77%, respectively, show that short-term momentum remains robust and is accelerating relative to the broader market, as indicated by a relative strength of +11.04% over one month, though the price action has been highly volatile with a recent maximum drawdown of -26.73%. Key technical support is anchored at the 52-week low of $83.0, but more relevant near-term support lies in the $300-$320 zone where the stock consolidated in March, while immediate resistance is at the 52-week high of $422.11; a decisive breakout above this level could signal a continuation of the powerful uptrend, while a breakdown below $300 might indicate a deeper correction. The stock's beta of 1.79 confirms it is approximately 79% more volatile than the broader market, which is critical for risk management as it implies amplified moves both up and down.

Beta

1.79

1.79x market volatility

Max Drawdown

-26.7%

Largest decline past year

52-Week Range

$84-$438

Price range past year

Annual Return

+420.5%

Cumulative gain past year

PeriodTER ReturnS&P 500
1m+28.0%+2.1%
3m+44.4%+12.5%
6m+133.5%+12.4%
1y+420.5%+26.4%
ytd+108.3%+10.7%

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TER Fundamental Analysis

Revenue growth has been explosive, with Q4 2025 revenue of $1.08 billion representing a 43.9% year-over-year increase, and the sequential trend from Q1 to Q4 2025 shows revenue accelerating from $686 million to over $1 billion, indicating strong demand momentum, particularly in its core semiconductor test business. The company is highly profitable, with Q4 2025 net income of $257.2 million and a gross margin of 57.49%, and while the quarterly net margin has fluctuated between 12.0% and 23.7% in 2025, the most recent quarter's net margin of 23.7% and operating margin of 28.6% demonstrate significant operating leverage and margin expansion as revenue scales. The balance sheet is exceptionally strong with a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.124, a healthy current ratio of 1.76, and robust cash generation evidenced by trailing twelve-month free cash flow of $450.4 million and an ROE of 19.82%, indicating the company can fund its growth and shareholder returns internally without reliance on excessive debt.

Quarterly Revenue

$1.1B

2025-12

Revenue YoY Growth

+0.43%

YoY Comparison

Gross Margin

+0.57%

Latest Quarter

Free Cash Flow

$450404999.0B

Last 12 Months

Revenue & Net Income Trends (2 Years)

Revenue Breakdown

Product
Service

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Valuation Analysis: Is TER Overvalued?

Given a positive net income of $257.2 million in the latest quarter, the primary valuation metric is the P/E ratio. The trailing P/E is 54.64x, while the forward P/E is 42.43x, with the forward multiple being 22% lower, indicating the market expects significant earnings growth over the next year. Compared to the provided industry average P/E of 22x (implied from the premium calculation), Teradyne's trailing P/E of 54.64x represents a substantial 148% premium, which may be justified by its superior growth profile and dominant position in the high-demand AI semiconductor test market, but also leaves the stock vulnerable to multiple compression if growth expectations falter. Historically, the stock's own trailing P/E has ranged from around 17x to over 67x over the past several years; at 54.64x, it is trading near the upper end of its historical range, suggesting the market is pricing in highly optimistic future earnings growth and leaving little room for disappointment.

PE

54.6x

Latest Quarter

vs. Historical

High-End

5-Year PE Range 16x~67x

vs. Industry Avg

N/A

Industry PE ~N/A*

EV/EBITDA

39.5x

Enterprise Value Multiple